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EU-Mediterranean Agreements and Impact on Trade with North Africa

EU-Mediterranean Agreements and Impact on Trade with North Africa. Michel PETIT petit@iamm.fr “Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs): New developments and expectations” AES-CEAS conference , 24 June 2011 , Canterbury, UK. INTRODUCTION. GEO-STRATEGIC CONTEXT

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EU-Mediterranean Agreements and Impact on Trade with North Africa

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  1. EU-Mediterranean Agreements and Impact on Trade with North Africa Michel PETIT petit@iamm.fr “Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs): New developments and expectations” AES-CEAS conference , 24 June 2011 , Canterbury, UK

  2. INTRODUCTION • GEO-STRATEGIC CONTEXT • LOFTY AMBITIONS OF THE BARCELONA PROCESS • HARD REALITY: BILATERAL NEGOTIATIONS • TWO QUESTIONS: • IMPACT ON AGRICULTURAL TRADE? • IMPACT ON EURO-MED. RELATIONSHIPS

  3. IMPACT ON AGRICULTURAL TRADE • TRADE FLOWS ARE SMALL AND VERY ASYMMETRICAL 2. REFLECTING DIVERSE FACTORS, INCLUDING LIMITED AND VERY FRAGMENTED TRADE LIBERALIZATION SOURCE: <eumed-agpol.iamm.fr > 3. BECAUSE OF GROSSLY EXAGERATED CONCERNS IN THE NORTH AND OF TABOOS AND PARALYSIS OF THE POLICY DEBATES IN THE SOUTH

  4. Relative importance of Mediterranean and World Trade (Agricultural and Food Products, Average 2004-2006)

  5. Product Composition of Mediterranean Agricultura Trade

  6. Cereal Supply/Use Balances in selected MPCs

  7. Main Fruits and Vegetables Exported by Individual MPCs

  8. AVERAGE EU TARIFFS

  9. EU PROTECTION INSTRUMENTS • TARIFFS • QUOTAS • ENTRY/THRESHOLD PRICES • SEASONAL WINDOWS WITH INDIVIDUAL PREFERENCES BILATERALLY NEGOTIATED

  10. Possible Increases in Exports for Five Med. CountriesUnder two Liberalization Scenarios

  11. IMPACT ON EURO-MED. RELATIONS • RESULTS OF BARCELONA PROCESS DISAPPOINTING • OBSTACLES TO SOUTH-SOUTH TRADE ARE FORMIDABLE: CLOSED BORDERS, GREATER ARAB FREE TRADE AREA(?), AGADIR PROCESS(?) • THE TRAVAILS OF THE ‘UNION POUR LA MEDITERRANEE’ • MISPLACED POLITICAL SENSITIVITY OF AGRICULTURE • ‘ARAB SPRING’ AND LAMPEDUSA!

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