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Is the choice of running-mate significant?. Yes. Tickets will need balance. Yes. Cheney provided experience and gravitas to the Bush 2000 campaign. Yes. Biden provided experience, foreign policy expertise and working-class roots to Obama 2008. Yes.
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Yes • Tickets will need balance
Yes • Cheney provided experience and gravitas to the Bush 2000 campaign
Yes • Biden provided experience, foreign policy expertise and working-class roots to Obama 2008
Yes • Burst of excitement to the ticket, at least temporarily providing bounce
Yes • Can help to firm up the base
Yes • Help in a key state
Yes • Help in a whole region
On the other hand … • Not chosen recently for geographic gain
Yes • Major decision – window into how he would govern
Yes • VP can go on to play a significant role
No • The choice is not a game-changer. The choice for voters is between Obama and Romney
No • Often the VP goes on to be an irrelevant player in the governing game
No • VP debate is usually a dull stalemate • 2012 may be an exception: • US Vice Presidential debate 2012 highlights – YouTube
No • Bush won in spite of Quayle
No • Biden may have helped Obama but Palin may have damaged McCain less than conventional wisdom: other factors were more important.
No • That’s the key point: other factors are much more important