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Ronald Van der Linden

European Resources for Space Weather Applications An Overview of Existing and Planned Data, Tools and Services. Ronald Van der Linden. Mission: impossible. COST – ES0803 WG Structure. WG2 of COST – ES0803. WG 2. Space weather products and service s

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Ronald Van der Linden

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  1. European Resources for Space Weather ApplicationsAn Overview of Existing and Planned Data, Tools and Services. Ronald Van der Linden

  2. Mission: impossible

  3. COST – ES0803 WG Structure

  4. WG2 of COST – ES0803 WG 2. Space weather products and services WG Leaders: R. Van der Linden & H. Lundstedt SG 2.1: Identification of current space weather resources WG Leaders: I. Stanislawska & D. Heynderickx SG 2.2: Market segmentation including cartography and users requirements SG 2.3: Feasibility study for new market-oriented products and services + at this conference: splinter “Data and Application Services”

  5. European Resources for Space Weather ApplicationsAn INCOMPLETE Overview of Existing and Planned Data, Tools and Services,Easily Accessible, Near-Real-Time and Known to Me Ronald Van der Linden

  6. Why ‘EUROPEAN’? • autonomy? • redundancy? • ease of networking and • existence of frameworks • relevance depends on category: • data • tools • services

  7. Which Resources? DATA Image analysis tools Event catalogs Event warnings Integrated service Data browsing tools Modeling tools Client • SERVICES: • monitoring (nowcasting) • Post-event analyses (postcasting) • Forecasting

  8. Data Sources • Space • Solar • In-situ • Solar Wind • Magnetosphere • Mixed • GNSS-based ionospheric profiles • Ground-based • Solar • Images • Indices • Geomagnetic • Ionospheric (atmospheric) • Other

  9. Data browsing: SolarMonitor http://www.solarmonitor.org • solar images with active region information • contains links to other solar data • includes per regions details, with event information • includes statistical solar flare prediction

  10. Data browsing: SIDC Latest SW Data http://sidc.be/LatestSWData/LatestSWData.php • part of RWC Belgium website • contains mainly links to external data sources • includes all categories of SW data • needs some updating

  11. Data browsing: Solar Weather Browser Download it at: http://sidc.be/swb SWB is a quick-look solar data browser It’s an answer to a challenge regarding science data access: • Solar data & metadata are spread over the Internet • New observatories produce huge amount of data • Increasing complexity of instruments & processing software It is aimed at: • Scientists & Operators (Quick contextual event analysis) • Space weather forecasters • Public (outreach & education) SWB summary: • Client-Server design • Displays & combines Sun-centered images & contextual information: flares, CMEs... • Client available for popular OS (open source)

  12. Data browsing: European Space Weather Portal http://www.spaceweather.eu • developed under COST724 • pan-European, multi-site web portal • multi-language • strong outreach component • promising ‘centralized access to European SW resources’ • contains links to many external datasets & model websites • contains some model capacity (includes SOLPENCO) • would benefit from some updating, expansion & homogenisation

  13. Data browsing: European Space Weather Portal

  14. Data browsing: other sources • SWENET, http://www.esa-spaceweather.net/swenet • see splinter session at this meeting • EGSO, http://www.egso.org/ • no longer updated (?) • contains also features catalogs • follow-up: HELIO (?) • BASS2000 http://bass2000.bagn.obs-mip.fr/ • data from Meudon, Pic du Midi and THEMIS • see also other talks in this session • …

  15. Integrated service Digital Upper Atmosphere Server (DIAS) DIAS consortium was formed around 11 partners National Observatory of Athens, Greece Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, UK National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Italy Swedish Institute of Space Physics, Sweden Leibniz-Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Germany Space Research Center, Poland University of Athens, Greece Blustaff, Italy BAE Systems, UK Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Republic Observatorio de l’ Ebre, Spain the DIAS project was funded by the eContent Programme of EC FP6

  16. Aim of DIAS • To improve access to data from all possible ground-based ionospheric stations in Europe • To develop a European service for the specification and the prediction of the state of the ionosphere

  17. DIAS products 1. Ionospheric Specification • Ionogramswith the results of the automatic scaling [from the network of DIAS stations in a common layout] • Ionospheric scaled parameters [f-plots and ASCII values of foF2, fmin, and M(3000)F2] • Electron Density Ne(h) profiles over each DIAS station • Maps for the specification of the ionosphere over Europe [maps of foF2, M(3000)F2, MUF, Electron Density Ne] • Daily plot of the Effective Sunspot Number • Point to point calculation of the MUF for user-defined coordinates

  18. DIAS products 2. Ionospheric Forecast • Long term ionospheric predictions for the next 3 months - maps of foF2 - maps of M(3000)F2 - maps of MUF • Short-term ionospheric forecasting24 hours ahead - maps of foF2 - plots of the forecasted foF2 over each DIAS station • Ionospheric Activity Index (alerts and warnings)

  19. DIAS delivers data, products and services since August 2006 http://dias.space.noa.gr

  20. Operational Services: SWENET SDAs http://www.esa-spaceweather.net/swenet/index.html • SAAPS • SEIS • SOARS • DIFS • Ionosfera • Scintillation Quickmaps • SFC • SIDC • SOARS • SPECTRE • STIF • SWIPPA • TSRS • GEISHA • GEOSHAFT • Auroras Now! • BINCASTS • GAFS • GIC Forecast • GIC Now! • GIC Simulator • GIFINT • GPS Validation • ISGI • MuSTAnG • Pipeline SWS • SWIMIC Not all equally active!!

  21. http://www.spenvis.oma.be/ Operational Service: SPENVIS

  22. Operational Service: International Space Environment Service (ISES) Worldwide network for data exchange and services http://www.ises-spaceweather.org Each node (RWC) is an independent service center with its own specificity ‘One stop shopping’

  23. ISES in Europe • RWC Belgium (Brussels) • RWC Czech Republic (Prague) • Associated RWC France (Toulouse) • RWC Poland (Warsaw) • RWC Russia (Moscow) • RWC Sweden (Lund) • Collborative expert centre: ESA/ESTEC (Noordwijk)

  24. Standard RWC Service Contents Our standard daily messages contain: • Forecasts of probability of solar flares (next 3 days) • Forecasts of possibility of proton events (next 3 days) • Forecasts of 10.7cm flux (next 3 days) • Forecasts of geomagnetic conditions (next 3 days) • Overview of current SW conditions • Summary data of previous day(s) Other date or information distributed is often RWC-specific and client-related. This may include e.g.: • “All-quiet alerts” • (Fast) warnings of significant events, often based on automated data and image processing SIDC@STCE: a European Space Weather Service

  25. Regional Warning Center Belgium Operational component & information gateway Monitoring Forecasts Fast Alerts Data & Tools Flares 10cm solar radio flux Proton events Geomagnetism CME propagation Coronal hole outflow Solar Wind predictions Prediction of B_z CME occurrence Coronal Holes Space Weather: international affairs and beyond

  26. Signatures of CMEs in EUV flares EIT waves Prominence eruptions dimmings Solar image processing Limb signatures

  27. SIDC operational product: NEMO http://sidc.be/nemo/ NEMO = 'Novel EIT wave Machine Observing' = A software package for automated EIT wave detection • Online catalogue for EITdata: • Monthly scans • Real-time detection: 2 runs per day Space Weather interest: EIT wave = CME precursor Also applied to STEREO data

  28. 07h45 10h00 15h00 SIDC operational product: CACTus • Online LASCO-based catalog September 1997 – January 2007 • Automatic near-real-time detection based on LASCO • Automated alert distribution in case of important event • Human verification and follow-up message

  29. Associated RWC France (Toulouse) SFC Solar Forecast Centerdaily monitoring of Solar Energetic Particles Events J.-J. Valette, Ph. Yaya CLS (Collecte Localisation Satellites)

  30. Presently, there is no forecast model of SEPE • At CLS : development of an empirical approach based on continuous analysis of the solar structures and evolution of favorable conditions : • location & morphology of the sunspots • magnetic connection to Earth • past activity: flares, radio bursts, proton flux variation (even under SWPC threshold) • Daily bulletin at SFC (7 days a week)

  31. Applications & studies • Application for ESA & CNES during the ATV demo flight • CNES R&T 2007-2008 study to improve the method and to evaluate the performance on a statistical basis over the last solar cycle • Co-operation with LESIA (Paris/Meudon Observatory), CPHT (École Polytechnique), ONERA (French Aerospace Lab.)

  32. Example of a daily bulletin

  33. RWC Poland (Warsaw) Contact: Tel: + 48 22 8511165 +48 22 8403766 ext.371, 380 Fax: + 48 22 8403131 E-mail: marz@cbk.waw.pl http://www.cbk.waw.pl/rwc/ ftp://www.cbk.waw.pl/rwc/idce/ http://rwc.cbk.waw.pl/sw_europe http://rwc.cbk.waw.pl/cost296/ http://rwc.cbk.waw.pl/cost296/wg1 Actual team: Beata Dziak-Jankowskabeata@cbk.waw.pl Grzegorz Juchnikowskigrzesiek@cbk.waw.pl Zbigniew Kłosklos@cbk.waw.pl Maria Miłodrowskamm@cbk.waw.pl Zenka Sawickazenka@cbk.waw.pl Iwona Stanisławskastanis@cbk.waw.pl Anna Świątek ana@cbk.waw.pl Łukasz Tomasik tomasik@cbk.waw.pl

  34. RWC Warsaw is operating as Heliogeophysical Prediction Service of Space Research Centre Polish Academy of Sciences and performs duty as: • data provider, • service provider, • applied science developer related to space weather data assessment, modeling and prediction techniques

  35. Data Provider RWC Warsaw is involved in current collection of large portion of data received directly from: • various international observatories in the frame of ISES, • Polish operated geophysical stations inside the country and at Spitsbergen and Antarctic, • continuously carried out monitoring of the ionosphere with the ionosonde in Warsaw, is managing the ionospheric data Dispatch Centre

  36. Service Provider PRESENT • On the basis of continuous flow of data daily the expected influence of heliogeophysical activity on monthly forecasts of communication conditions trough-out the world is prepared for Governmental and commercial customers • The SRC-developed software package for data processing and system of prediction of HF communication is continuously modified and new versions are provided to users.

  37. Ionospheric activity (review and forecast) characteristics from about 25 stations, regional maps Quiet days and disturbances catalogues

  38. HF propagation conditions

  39. Still many not so known services…

  40. To be continued … in 4 years

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