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Tracking Progress of NDCs: Effective Indicators of Mitigation Efforts

This session at the 2019 Global NDC Conference in Berlin, Germany discusses the importance of tracking progress in achieving mitigation targets outlined in countries' Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). It provides insights on relevant indicators and shares country perspectives from Australia and Chile. The session includes group activities to identify indicators and assess progress.

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Tracking Progress of NDCs: Effective Indicators of Mitigation Efforts

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  1. Tracking Progress of NDCs: Effective Indicators of Mitigation Efforts Berlin, Germany 2019 Global NDC Conference Breakout Session

  2. Session Overview Introduction: Pankaj Bhatia (WRI) Country Perspectives Chao Feng (Australia) Jenny Mager (Chile) Group Activity Discussion: Marcia Rocha (OECD)

  3. Introduction

  4. Why Track Progress? Tracking progress of mitigation targets of NDCs is critical to know how countries are doing and what more needs to be done. Source: CAIT, WRI 2018. Levin, K., D. Rich, C. Elliott. 2018.

  5. Katowice Outcome: Tracking Progress Most recent information on the indicator(s) Reference information for the indicator(s) Describe the NDC which will be tracked Select relevant indicators (qualitative or quantitative) Provide and compare: When reporting at the end of the NDC time period, assess whether the target has been achieved

  6. Types of Indicators GHG emissions indicators (net emissions level, percent reduction, emissions intensity, etc.) Non-GHG indicators Policy indicators Sustainable development indicators

  7. Country perspectives

  8. Chile : Reporting and MRV system • BURs elaboration process has built a permanent mechanism of domestic reporting Chile has submitted 3 BUR since 2014 All reports have been presented on time Additionally 3 NIRs have been submitted (and reviewed) voluntarily Chile has faced 3 cycles of International Consultation and Analysis (3rd is undergoing)

  9. Institutional arrangements UNFCCC Secretariat Council of MinistersforSustainability Coordination and BUR preparation ClimateChange Office MMA NationalInventorySystem SectoralMinistries focal points

  10. Institutional arrangements UNFCCC Secretariat Council of MinistersforSustainability ClimateChange Office MMA NationalInventorySystem SectoralMinistries focal points

  11. Katowice Rulebook: some Thoughts There are enough flexibility for developing countries to start the BTR elaboration as soon as possible after 2020. Flexibility should help developing countries to gradually complied with the new requirement ( Countries should provide information on its improvement plans) Collaboration initiatives such as the REDINGEI in Latin America has been prepared countries to implement some of the new requirement (eg: use of IPCC 2006 Guidelines) There are new requirements that could be especially difficult to implement for some developing countries if there are not support (eg: projections).

  12. Tracking progress of commitments

  13. indicators for tracking progress of NDC Problems with • Transparency • Interpretation 2. Current NDC (carbon intensity indicator)

  14. Considerations for indicator in ambitious NDCs Transparent enough : Clear indicator in line with a long term vision following ICTU requirements under the rulebook Reduce the uncertainty of the commitment through the indicator (eg: carbon budgets) Tracking progress cannot be based only in one single indicator in order to assess national driven climate actions Base information should be robust, and it should be consistently collected over time.

  15. Group Activity

  16. Tracking progress Group Activity • Break into groups and select a rapporteur • Two rounds: • Round 1: tracking progress toward implementation (35 minutes) • Round 2: tracking progress toward achievement (15 minutes) PACT paper

  17. Round 1 – Tracking Progress toward Implementation Step 1: Select relevant indicators Step 2: Review data and determine progress

  18. GHG Indicator calculations

  19. Round 2 – Tracking Progress toward Achievement Step 1: Select relevant indicators Step 2: Review data and determine progress Step 3: Report back to the room

  20. Discussion Questions • What is involved in the process of selecting indicators and tracking progress? • What are factors, considerations, difficulties, sensitivities in choosing an indicator and reporting against various indicators (technical, capacity, etc.)? • How well can you understand how each group progressed toward their NDC? Were some indicators easier to understand than others? • How would you aggregate the results in order to understand progress of the room as a whole?

  21. SESSION Debrief Questions • What are the key messages coming out of the discussions? • What are emerging next steps for participants and for the global NDC community?

  22. Thank you! GlobaL NDC Conference Berlin 2019 Contact: Pankaj Bhatia (pankaj.Bhatia@wri.org) www.wri.org

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