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Side Events: Disaster Risk Reduction: Government to Governance. Professional Management and Integrated Governance. Peijun Shi 1,2,3 , Ming Wang 1,3 ,Jing'ai Wang 1.4 , Qian Ye 1,3 , Saini Yang 1,3 , Yanli Lv 1,3
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Side Events: Disaster Risk Reduction: Government to Governance Professional Management and Integrated Governance Peijun Shi1,2,3, Ming Wang1,3,Jing'ai Wang1.4 , Qian Ye1,3,Saini Yang1,3, Yanli Lv1,3 1. State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University; 2.Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster, Beijing Normal University; 3.Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management, Beijing Normal University; 4. School of Geography, Beijing Normal University Beijing Normal University ,Beijing, China spj@bnu.edu.cn
Contents Complexity of Disaster System Integrated Disaster Risk Governance
Contents Complexity of Disaster System Integrated Disaster Risk Governance
Japan's earthquake and tsunami disaster in 2011 (15,000 deaths) • 2005 U.S. Hurricane Katrina (1300 death) • Myanmar typhoon disaster in 2008 (70,000 deaths) • 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake - tsunami (275,000 dead)
Response to environmental risks caused global changes is the major issue facing the sustainable development. Examples of major disasters related to climate (precipitation and temperature) Mississippi River floods in the United States in 2011 Drought disasters in south China in 2011 Snow and ice storms in south China in 2008 Hurricane Katrina disaster in the United States in 2005
Disaster System(DS) DS=E∩H∩S • Environments (E) • Hazards (H) • Socio-economic system (S) (P. Shi, 1991) • 6
Multi -hazards Flood Drought Windstorm Hail Dust Storm Typhoon Low Temperature and Freeze Snow Earthquake Landslide Debris Flow • 8
Disaster-chain Japan 311 Earthquake and tsunami co-triggerednuclear crisis in 2011
Earthquake - Tsunami Disaster Chain of Japan in 2011 Source: Peijun Shi et al., 2011
Heavy rain Collapse Landslide Debris flow Quake-lake Earthquake Earthquake Disaster Chain of Wenchuan, China in 2008 Source: Peijun Shi et al., 2009
Hazards(Disasters) compound The large-scale sleet&snow disaster in South of China(2008)
Multi-hazard, Disaster-chain, Hazards(Disasters) compound and LSD Multi-hazard, Disaster-chain, Hazards(Disasters) compound are often used in various references of disaster studies, but there is still different understanding about their essential difference (Shi et al., 2010a). Disaster-chain, Hazards(Disasters)compound triggered by a severe or enormous disaster event are generally the reason for the huge losses of LSD. The existence of multi-hazards is not a necessary condition for the formation of a LSD; only when the regional disaster prevention capacity is extremely low will it be possible to trigger a LSD.
Contents Complexity of Disaster System Integrated Disaster Risk Governance
The Nation-wide Paradigm of Integrated LSD Risk Governance in China (Top-down) Consilience between Disaster Risk Reduction and Development
Year's Loss Ratio and Death population rate Caused by Natural Disaster in China Annual economic loss to GDP ratio (expressed as percentage of GDP) and annual death rate (number of deaths per million people) caused by natural disasters in China, 1990-2011 (excluding the Wenchuan earthquake event, 2008). Based on data from Fang et. al.
Covers of the three atlases of natural disaster risk in China. Source: The People’s Insurance Company of China, 1992; Shi, 2003 and 2011. Disaster Risk Maps of CHINA
Establishing and Improving the Disaster System ( D S)Warning Information Integration Platform Monitoring. Warning and Forecasting System DS Warning Information Integration Platform Prepareness and Manage System Material Storage and Security System
Governments Community Institutes Forming integratedDS governance paradigm Family Place mitigation Local resilence Regional Global Integration adaptation Coordination Cooperation Construction Communication Government:Development and Disaster Reduction (Governance) Community: Safety Construction (Legislation) Institute:Risk Transformation (Mechanism) Family:Risk Awareness (Education)
Improving mitigation to response ER we propose to establish “global integrated disaster risk governance paradigm” under the development strategy for “living with global climate diversity . Global Integrated Disaster Risk Governance Paradigm under Development Strategy for Living with Global Climate Diversity
Integrated Disaster Risk Governance of Climate Change For this reason, humans must establish corresponding defensive measures based on the integrated characteristics of CCR, improving mitigation to response ER, improving resilence to response FR and improving adaptation to response TR. Only by improving mitigation, resilience and adaptation of human beings gradually to response climate change and form cohesion of integrated CCR governance, can we promote sustainability comprehensively from local, regional to global under the background of climate change.
Key Points AThe nature of disaster system shows the characteristics of deep complexity. The human society as a whole should fully address the deep complexity and establish governance paradigms for better and more effective disaster risk reduction. The parameters in a disaster system usually experience the slow onset change, the rapid sudden change or the fluctuation in between, and these changes can often be observed as multiple hazards, disaster chain or disaster compound
Key Points B As a traditional fashion, based on the regional variation of hazards, exposures and environments that form the essential of a disaster system, government emphasizes the various professional structure measures including safety construction, disaster relief, emergency management and risk transfer, along with professional functional measures such as preparedness, emergency response, recovery and reconstruction. However, in face of the deep complexity within the disaster system, traditional measures face significant difficulty of balancing and enhancing the efficiency and efficacy of resources used for disaster risk reduction.
Key Points This article proposes a strategy of integrated disaster risk reduction (DRR) : • The unity of development and protection • The equalization of technological and institutional innovation in DRR • The synergy between professional/industrial and regional DRR implementation • The integration of DRR structures and functions • The systemization of all-level DRR from (inter)national plans to community actions
总结(史培军) 科学研究 国家需求 Thank you! 谢谢 诊断全球变化对环境风险的影响机理与途径(如何影响?) 解决渐发-突发综合环境风险评估中量化、模拟与预估的问题(影响多少?); 揭示中国环境风险在全球环境风险水平中的位置,构建应对范式(责任多大?) 服务于我国针对全球变化与环境风险的关系、制定科学有序的应对环境变化政策 服务于我国提高环境变化总体的预估水平和能力 服务于解决我国以制度设计为核心的综合环境风险防御的范式问题 科学问题关键、国家需求紧迫、国际竞争激烈,且我国已有较好研究基础!