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Do employment-productivity tradeoffs exist?

World Employment Report 2004-05 Employment, Productivity and Poverty Reduction Marva Corley Employment Strategy Department International Labour Office. Do employment-productivity tradeoffs exist?. Yes, but relationship is time specific:

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Do employment-productivity tradeoffs exist?

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  1. World Employment Report 2004-05Employment, Productivity and Poverty ReductionMarva CorleyEmployment Strategy DepartmentInternational Labour Office

  2. Do employment-productivity tradeoffs exist? Yes, but relationship is time specific: • Long Run: positive correlation between productivity, employment and income per capita • Medium Run: frequency of trade-offs due to • External restructuring of firms (Disney 2003, et al) • Structural changes in economy • Short Run: trade-offs result from employment adjustments during business cycles

  3. Short Run Trade-offs in the U.S.

  4. Do employment-productivity tradeoffs exist? Yes, but relationship is time specific: • Long Run: positive correlation between productivity, employment and income per capita • Medium Run: frequency of trade-offs due to • External restructuring of firms (Disney 2003, et al) • Structural changes in economy • Short Run: trade-offs result from employment adjustments during business cycles

  5. Medium Run: External Restructuring in Hungary

  6. Do employment-productivity tradeoffs exist? Yes, but relationship is time specific: • Long Run: positive correlation between productivity, employment and income per capita • Medium Run: frequency of trade-offs due to • External restructuring of firms (Disney 2003, et al) • Structural changes in economy • Short Run: trade-offs result from employment adjustments during business cycles

  7. Economic Growth and the Service Sector

  8. Do employment-productivity tradeoffs exist? Yes, but relationship is time specific: • Long Run: positive correlation between productivity, employment and income per capita • Medium Run: frequency of trade-offs due to • External restructuring of firms (Disney 2003, et al) • Structural changes in economy • Short Run: trade-offs result from employment adjustments during business cycles

  9. Productivity and employment growth, 1980-2000

  10. Complex Realities • There are many other determinants of long run growth and development: • Human and physical capital, quality/type of institutions, regulatory and macro-framework, infrastructure, governance… • Trade-offs exist, important to protect and prepare workers • Compensation for dislocated workers. • Skills retraining & employability programs

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