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Aeronautical Decision Making 2007. Downloaded from www.avhf.com. CFI and Accidents . Three-quarters (75%) of the inadvertent gear retractions that occur during flight training happen when a flight instructor is on board.
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Aeronautical Decision Making2007 Downloaded from www.avhf.com
CFI and Accidents Three-quarters (75%) of the inadvertent gear retractions that occur during flight training happen when a flight instructor is on board. Half (50%) of the stall accidents that occur during flight training have a flight instructor on board. One-third (33%) of the fuel starvation accidents during flight training occur with a flight instructor on board. Half (50%) of the mid-airs that happen during flight training had a CFI on board. Forty percent (40%) of the carburetor icing accidents in flight training had a CFI on board. Half (50%) of the wire strikes during flight training had a CFI on board. Source: Aviation, Space and Environmental Medicine Downloaded from www.avhf.com
The Mental Aspects of Flying Aspect: A way in which a thing may be viewed or regarded
The challenge then is to correctly ascertain the significance of what we are doing, or about to do, and what the outcome might be Everything that we are able to perceive, whether visually or mentally, has some meaning Easier said than done.
WHY ??? • Some perceptions are ranked higher than others, in the normal course of events • Some are important, others are urgent • We have a tendency to revert back to a“Conditioned Response”.
Aeronautical Decision MakingStarts Long BEFORE the Flight • Weather • Plane • Self Bottom Line: AM I SAFE ? >>>Options to the Flight>>>.
EGO • Arrogance Plus Plane, Minus Caution, Equals A Foregone Conclusion……J.D. Wettering • After all is said and done, was the flight absolutely necessary when factoring in all of the elements • There are old pilots and there are bold pilots, but are there old, bold pilots????
NEW Meaning: Resignation….Quit…Give up...I’ve Lost...Denial Meanings ofHazardous Attitudes Resignation….What’s the use!!!!! Timid.
NEW Meaning: Impulsive…..Hasty….Irrational…Sudden…Instinctive Meanings ofHazardous Attitudes Impulsive…..Do something quickly Some Good.
NEW Meaning: Anti-Authority… Arrogant..Selfish..Defiant. Meanings ofHazardous Attitudes Anti-Authority…Don’t Tell me
NEW Meaning: Macho…Overly Assertive Aggressive….Dominating. Meanings ofHazardous Attitudes Macho…I can do it
NEW Meaning: Invulnerable….Can not be hurt.. A Very Real False Sense of Security Meanings ofHazardous Attitudes Invulnerable..It won’t happen to me
What Some Fail to Understand • Most Accidents have been Pre-determined before the plane takes off • An accident, willing and able to happen • Think through the Consequences Before, During and After the Flight • If it helps, Draw Mental Picture of the Situation • When things change, you change What is your plan “B”……if you have one.
Basics to Decision Making • Physical…..Impairments • Psychological…..What we have already created in our minds and what we can create during the flight • Denial..Resistance..Uncertainty ..Shock... AcceptanceHopefully Results are good.
An Accident and What We Know • Night Flight….0345Z …. • Pilot is VFR Only • Wx getting worse…..ATIS ..X…..Y • Airport Challenging…..TAXI • No Personal Minimums • No Options for the Trip • Controller & Others Influence Decisions • A Very Powerful Airplane • No Apprehension About Making the Flight
The Background of an Accident Three out of town friends, the Pilot and his wife having finished a late afternoon dinner, climbed into a Twin Cessna 320C for a return trip back home to Salina. The short hop was through a valley with 830’ ridges on either side. The VFR Only pilot and his guests were less than 20 minutes away by car, or, 10 minutes flight time.
ATIS INFORMATION “X”: 0245z(GMT) EC900 OC 7 57/51 290/8 29.94 TOPS 1800’ ILS 10 28 110.7
ATIS INFORMATION “Y”: 0345Z EC 700 OC 7 57/50 260/5 29.97 TOPS 1900 ILS 10 LDG & Departing 10 & 28
7AE : THIS 877AE DOWN AT THE END OF DEL MONTE I WOULD LIKE CLEARANCE TO THE ACTIVE RUNWAY PLEASE ……
MONT GRD: TWIN CESSNA 7AE ..AH .. STATE YOUR DEPARTURE REQUEST… MONTEREY IS BELOW BASIC VFR AND DO YOU HAVE THE CURRENT INFORMATION
MONT GRD: Monterey is below BASIC VFR and I see No break in the Overcast in the area from where we are at…
7AE: ah.. This 7AE is there any possibilities that we can Takeoff on 36 down to Gonzales……
MONT GRD: We are estimating: Ceiling 700 Overcast Visibility 7……
7AE: Will this get me over to ..ah..Salinas Valley and over to the Mountains or is there Overcast there to….?
MONT GRD: OK..Standby and let me check the current Salinas Weather……
MONT GRD: Salinas..Monterey?…Salinas my WX is EC 700 OC 7 57/50 280/5 9.97 Tops 1900..Have you got your up yet…..ah no not at this time…What does look like to the Southeast of you?…ah aircraft report that about SVFR 30 …..15..20 minutes ago
about 4 or 5 miles South Clear….and ONE ECHO CHARLIE is on the ground….ONE ECHO CHARLIE is on the Ground !!!!!!! ….. Thank you.. And Can I have the CONTROL ZONE W….You are going to have to talk to North ..this Ground OK….OK
MONT GRD: Twin Cessna 7AE ..ah Salinas doesn’t have any of their new WX yet…Last hour they were reporting 900 Broken 20000 Broken.. Aircraft Reporting VFR 5 miles Southeast of Salinas..
7AE: We probably can make it out to South end of Salinas Right….?( NEG…………)
MONT GRD: Understand you what to depart Eastbound and then follow the Highway..?
MONT GRD: Roger.. Taxi to Runway 10…you are CLEARED out of the Monterey Control Zone…5 miles East and maintain SPECIAL VFR conditions while you are in the Control Zone…
MONT GRD: Twin Cessna 7AE Runway 10 you are headed for 6…and you are ah…. Familiar…?
MONT GRD: 7AE…. A left turn…take…continue the left turn about another 30 or 40 degrees to the left…7AE continue the left turn and just about ahead of you..you should see some Blue lights
MONT GRD: ….That will take you to the approach end of Runway 10
7AE: Control 7AE …You Say ……..only 900’ altitude in the Salinas Valley and then from there…
MONT GRD: NEGATIVE SIR ..I just reported that Monterey was reporting 700 OC Vis. 7…Salinas last hour was reporting 900 OC with clear skies REPORTED by a pilot up to 45 minutes ago that it was clear 5 Southeast of Salinas.
I HAVE NO IDEA WHAT THE WX IS EAST OF MONTEREY BETWEEN MONTEREY AND SALINAS OR IF THE WX SOUTHEAST OF MONTEREY IS STILL VALID……..!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
7AE: Control this Twin Cessna 7AE………. I GUESS we are ready to takeoff…….