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Lecture 10. Sino-US R approchement 1969-1972. Nixon ’ s Dilemma. Soviet ’ s challenge in nuclear weapons competition; Vietnam War; Economic competition with Western Europe & Japan ’ s. China ’ s Deteriorating Security. Sino-Soviet Border Clashes; Sino-US hostility in Vietnam War;
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Lecture 10 Sino-US Rapprochement 1969-1972
Nixon’s Dilemma • Soviet’s challenge in nuclear weapons competition; • Vietnam War; • Economic competition with Western Europe & Japan’s.
China’s Deteriorating Security • Sino-Soviet Border Clashes; • Sino-US hostility in Vietnam War; • Sino-Japan’s Stalemate; • Sino-India’s deteriorating relations; • Sino-North Vietnam subtle relations in Brezhnev’s Era.
Nixon’s Measures • National Strategy: return from idealistic to realistic thinking; • Pivotal position in US, Soviet and China trilateral relations; • Centralize decision-making to NSC; • Secret Diplomacy.
Mao Zedong’s Measures • Strategic thinking: “Borrowing strength of the barbarians to check the barbarians”; “Pursuing a united front with a less dangerous enemy in order to focus on the contest against the primary enemy”; “Making friends with the country far away and defend the neighboring enemy;” • Oct., 1968,normalizing of diplomatic affairs since CCP’s 12th Plenary Session of 8th Central Committee; • Zhou Enlai in charge of foreign affairs.
Communication Channels • Warsaw Channel; • Pakistan Channel; • Paris Channel; • New York Channel.
Sino-US Leaders’ Talks • July 9-11, 1971,Kissinger’s secret trip (4 talks); • Oct. 20-26, 1971, Kissinger’s 2nd China trip (10 talks); • Jan. 3-10, 1972, Haig’s China trip (4 talks); • Feb. 21-28, 1972, Nixon’s China trip Nixon Vs. Zhou Enlai; Kissinger Vs. Qiao Guanhua; Rogers Vs. Ji Pengfei.
Comparison of Bilateral Power Position(Macroscopic Perspective) • developed nation Vs. developing nation; • Superpower Vs. Regional Power; • Decreasing of US power Vs. increasing of China power.
Reevaluation of Bilateral power position(Microscopic Perspective) • Host Vs. Guest; • Negotiation duration, tempo; • Communication with headquarter; • International situation matters: India-Pakistan conflict, stalement of Paris Talks.
Preparations before Negotiations • Individual needs & exchange interests; • Bottom line on every issue; • Skill in the negotiation.
Forms of Negotiation • Pre-summit talks; • Summit talks; • Cross-level talks.
Contest in the Negotiation • Kissinger’s ambiguity Vs. Zhou Enlai’s uncertainty; • Issue Vs. Question; • Pragmatism Vs. Ethic norms; • Prestige & Honor.
American Features in the Negotiation • Floating leverage; • “Stick” &. “Carrot”; • Cordial & sincere wording.
Key Variables in Negotiation • Power • Culture • Emotion
Interfering Variables • Location; • Duration; • Frequency.
Diplomatic Etiquette • Clothing • Food • Housing • Traffic
US Perception on Chinese Government • Top officials: determined and high moral standard; • Good control of public.
Negotiators • Mao Zedong, Zhou Enlai, Qiao Guanhua, Ji Pengfei; • Nixon, Kissinger, Rogers, Jenkins;