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Module 9: Sensitivity Analysis

Module 9: Sensitivity Analysis. Brian Phelan. Agenda. Background on HP Value Line Data Abnormal Enterprise Income Sensitivity Analysis. Industry Structure. Source: Ibis World US. Industry Structure. Source: Ibis World US. Background. Restructuring Billions in Impaired acquisitions

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Module 9: Sensitivity Analysis

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  1. Module 9: Sensitivity Analysis Brian Phelan

  2. Agenda • Background on HP • Value Line Data • Abnormal Enterprise Income • Sensitivity Analysis

  3. Industry Structure Source: Ibis World US

  4. Industry Structure Source: Ibis World US

  5. Background • Restructuring • Billions in Impaired acquisitions • Layoffs • 5 year plan -> growth by 2015

  6. HP SWOT Analysis Source: OvidijusJurevicius at Strategic Management Insights

  7. Value Line

  8. Equity Estimate using Residual Income

  9. Abnormal Enterprise Growth Model

  10. Value per Share

  11. Sensitivity Analysis

  12. Sensitivity Analysis

  13. Concerns • Positive growth after 2014 may not be likely • New leadership and restructuring create forecasting challenges • Adjustments to growth rate

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