1 / 13

Outline

Outline. Why farm type models ? FADN as data source Integration in the data base Integration in the modeling system Exploitation Unresolved issues. Why farm type models. Farm specialization matters: regarding environmental impacts (stocking densities etc.)

monty
Download Presentation

Outline

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. Outline • Why farm type models ? • FADN as data source • Integration in the data base • Integration in the modeling system • Exploitation • Unresolved issues

  2. Why farm type models • Farm specialization matters: • regarding environmental impacts(stocking densities etc.) • regarding policy impacts(farm specific ceilings) • regarding model behavior<=> linkages between activities, especially fodder crops and animals

  3. FADN as data source • Farm Accounting Data Network (FADN): • single farm records covering revenues and costs, production program and certain yields, premiums • but no input allocation • not always clear link to administrative NUTS regions(instead own “FADN” regions) • differences in activity/product breakdowncompared to CAPRI • restricted access due to confidentiality issues

  4. Integration in the data base • Four Step Procedure: • (1) Selection from FADN records • (2) Perfect aggregation of single farms to NUTS II • (3) Aggregation from single farm to farm types • (4) Integration in CAPRI data base

  5. Integration of FADN, Step 1 • select/aggregate/distribute FADN itemsaccording to CAPRI product list Mapping toCAPRI product list FADNrecords FADNCAPRIrecords • Per farm in sample: • Activity levels • Production • Aggregation weights • Farm classification

  6. Integration of FADN, Step 2 • ensure perfect aggregation from individual FADN recordsto NUTS II data in CAPRI data base Consistency(Levels, Output) FADNCAPRIrecords CAPRI database

  7. Integration of FADN, Step 2 • Ensure perfect aggregation by simultaneous determination of optimal correction factors of single farm records for : • activity levels (ha, herd sizes) • yields • aggregation weights • aggregation weights are distributed over regions(a single farm in one region may be “typical” for farmsin other regions as well) => more observations for specific types => no problems with confidentiality limit • Technically: entropy penalty function

  8. Integration of FADN, Step 3 • select the five most frequent types per region • aggregate remaining farms into “residual type” Consistency(Levels, Output)Assignmentto NUTS FADNrecords 6 Typesper region CAPRIdatabase

  9. Integration of FADN, Step 3 • How are types selected ? • Three-digit classification of economic specialization(e.g. 202 Specialist flowers and ornamentals) • Sum up aggregation weights per type and region=> represent number of farms • Select five most frequent ones=> selection by number of agents, not necessarily by economic/environmental impact • all remaining farms aggregated into “residual group”

  10. Integration FADN in the data base CoCo REGIO Consistency(Levels, Output)Assignmentto NUTS 6 Typesper region FADNrecords CAPREG CAPRIdatabase

  11. Integration in the modeling system • Each farm type is treated like a “NUTS III” region • No change in the structure of the supply models • Consequently, now about 1050 regional aggregate modelson the supply side • aggregation to NUTS II/Member State/EUfor premium and market modules

  12. Exploitation CAPRIRegionalisedData Base Mappingtool EXCELetc. CAPRIModellingSystemFarm types Aggregation NUTS II Aggregation MS,EU HTMLtables CAPRIResultData Base DAOUT

  13. Unresolved Issues • Continuous access to FADN data • Farm specific constraints ? • Farm specific policy ceilingse.g. stocking density restrictions • tremendous increase in memory allocationand solution time of complete modelling system

More Related