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Commonwealth Prevention Alliance

Alcohol Outlets in the US: Landscape and trends. Presented by Steve Schmidt, NABCA Sr. VP. Policy/Communications June 13, 2014. Commonwealth Prevention Alliance. ABOUT NABCA.

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Commonwealth Prevention Alliance

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  1. Alcohol Outlets in the US: Landscape and trends Presented by Steve Schmidt, NABCA Sr. VP. Policy/Communications June 13, 2014 Commonwealth Prevention Alliance

  2. ABOUT NABCA Founded in 1938, NABCA is the national association representing the Control State Systems – those jurisdictions that directly control the distribution and sale of beverage alcohol within their borders – such as Pennsylvania

  3. WHO IS NABCA?Membership “The Big Tent” Government Officials / Enforcement Public Health / All Sectors & Tiers of Alcohol Industry Others Interested in Alcohol Issues / International

  4. WHAT WE ARE NOT… We are NOT an advocacy or lobbying organization & We are NOT a beverage alcohol industry organization

  5. CONTROL STATE SYSTEMS  Alaska Alabama Idaho Iowa Maine  MD, Montgomery Co.  MD, Worcester Co. Michigan  Minnesota Mississippi Montana New Hampshire North Carolina Ohio Oregon Pennsylvania  South Dakota Utah Vermont Virginia West Virginia Wyoming

  6. How history has influenced limits and controls on alcohol today…

  7. PRE-PROHIBITION ABUSES • Saloons as havens for crime and debauchery • Tied-house saloons • Unfettered Access • Inefficient tax collection

  8. THE 21ST AMENDMENT Repeal of Prohibition, 1933

  9. “TOWARD LIQUOR CONTROL” Commissioned by John D. Rockefeller IV Overwhelming public support needed for prohibition Light wines and beer are nota serious problem

  10. “TOWARD LIQUOR CONTROL” , CONT. • Recommend eliminating the profit motive • Taxation critical with social control as the most important motive • States should control “heavier” alcohol products • Education of public on appropriate use of alcohol critical

  11. RETAIL CHANNELS – SPIRITS Liquor, Drug & Grocery Stores Liquor, Drug, Grocery & Gas Stations Liquor Stores Liquor and Drug Stores Other

  12. DRETAIL CHANNELS – WINE Liquor, Drug & Grocery Stores Liquor, Drug, Grocery & Gas Stations Liquor Stores Liquor and Drug Stores Other

  13. RETAIL CHANNELS – BEER Liquor, Drug & Grocery Stores Liquor, Drug, Grocery & Gas Stations Liquor Stores Liquor and Drug Stores Other

  14. GROCERY STORE SALES FOR 2014

  15. WHY DEREGULATION? (What ultimately leads to increased outlets) • Retailers – Big Box, Chain and Grocers • Fiscal Distress - State and Local • Consumer Focus and Perceptions • Dissatisfaction with Government • Ideology • Alcohol Abuse Apathy

  16. BIG BOX, CHAIN & GROCERS

  17. FISCAL DISTRESS

  18. CONSUMER FOCUS AND PERCEPTIONS

  19. CONSUMER FOCUS AND PERCEPTIONS

  20. DISSASTISFACTION WITH GOVERNMENTAnti-Government Sentiment

  21. IDEOLOGY

  22. ALCOHOL ABUSE APATHY

  23. ALCOHOL ABUSE APATHY Alcohol’s role in traffic deaths vastly underrreported: Study NEWSPAPER HEADLINES Binge Drinking in US Seniors ‘Cause for Alarm’

  24. How has or might this happen in PA? Do the number and types of outlets matter? A Case Study: Washington State

  25. THE WASHINGTON STATE EXPERIENCE Voters kick state out of liquor business NEWSPAPER

  26. WHAT HAPPENED IN WASHINGTON Initiative funded primarily by Costco – 22M in 2011, 10M in 2010 Had failed in courts and legislature previously First initiatives in 2010 failed 2011 – Initiative 1183 passes with nearly 57% of the vote Full implementation as of June 1, 2012 First control state to become entirely privatized More importantly – the most sweeping deregulation of a state’s alcohol laws since prohibition.

  27. RESEARCH IS TAKING PLACE Applying rigorous research methods to understand the impacts Inform continued policymaking in Washington Multiple other states currently debating similar changes (includng Oregon) JULIA DILLEY Ph.D MES, SENIOR RESEARCH SCIENTIST Program Design & Evaluation Services Multnomah County/Oregon Health Authority FUNDED BY THE ROBERT WOOD JOHNSON FOUNDATION Additional research funded by NIAAA

  28. ALCOHOL DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM More places and times to buy liquor • Pre-1183 State system • 328 stores, with 73 maximum hours per week • Post-1183 Private System • 1,415 stores, with 140 maximum hours per week • 269 former state/contract stores still have active licenses (18% no longer licensed) • Similar resources for enforcement at LCB • Similar compliance check violation rate 90% + compliance for spirits purchase attempts

  29. YOUTH ATTITUDES & BELIEFS Data source: established statewide Healthy Youth Survey Significant increases in pro-alcohol attitudes in among youth Fewer 8th graders, and 10th/12th grade girls, personally believe use is “very wrong” Fewer 8th, 10th and 12th graders (both genders) believe their parents think alcohol use is “very wrong” for them Fewer 8th, 10th and 12th graders (both genders) believe their peers think alcohol use is “very wrong”

  30. YOUTH ATTITUDES & BELIEFS Data source: established statewide Healthy Youth Survey

  31. EMERGENCY DEPARTMENT VISITS Data source: King County (all residents) and Medicaid (minors) to examine trends in Emergency Department (ED) visits pre- and post-law (June 12) • Significant increases in ED visits for alcohol-related conditions post-privatization • Minors (teens and young adults <21) • Men and women ages 40+ • Increases in frequency of drinking for older boys • Significant increases in ED visits for alcohol-related conditions post-privatization

  32. ALCOHOL THEFTS • Themes: Dramatic increase from low theft rate pre-1183; “it’s easy to steal”; organized thefts for resale; some danger for store staff; teens stealing for distribution • Nearly $250,000 in specific thefts reported through September 2013 (most news stories did not report amounts) MEDIA STORY ANALYSIS • Dramatic increases in alcohol thefts reported by multiple depts (e.g. from 5 in 7.5 years to 83 in 10 months), many by juveniles POLICE REPORTS

  33. WHAT TO WATCH FOR • Language • Opinion Editorials • Litigation • Initiative/Referendum/Legislation • Opportunities to criticize the system – scandals, ethics, revenue shortfalls, customer dissatisfaction

  34. WHAT NEEDS TO BE DONE Keep alcohol concern and harm in public eye Know the science and data – reach out to the experts Learn about your regulatory system and the players Interact with the regulatory agency Support alcohol law enforcement Know other organization positions and when they may be allies Be a savvy and engaged media consumer – know the authors, their motivations, and respond when appropriate Legislative interaction when possible – especially local

  35. Steve Schmidt, Sr. VP Policy/Communications steve.schmidt@nabca.org 703-578-4200 THANK YOU.

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