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IEA- BEE Joint Workshop on International Comparison of Industrial Energy Efficiency 27-28 January 2010 New Delhi, India Hisashi Yoshikawa Deputy Director, IEA. Slide details, Presetation Name Date, Reference Nr.
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IEA- BEE Joint Workshop on International Comparison of Industrial Energy Efficiency 27-28 January 2010 New Delhi, India Hisashi Yoshikawa Deputy Director, IEA Slide details, Presetation NameDate, Reference Nr.
I. Energy Demand Trend & Energy EfficiencyII. Energy Technology Transition for Industry
World primary energy demand in the Reference Scenario of World Energy Outlook 2009 12 000 China and India Mtoe Rest of non-OECD 10 000 OECD 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Energy Efficiency offers the greatest potential for CO2 reduction World energy-related CO2 emission savings 42 Reference Scenario GtCO2 World abatement by technology 40 38 2020 3.8 GtCO2 2030 13.8 GtCO2 OECD+ 36 34 Efficiency 13.8 Gt 57% 65% 3.8 Gt 32 OME 30 Renewables & biofuels 23% 19% OC 28 Nuclear 10% 450 Scenario CCS 13% 10% 26 3% 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 (Source: World Energy Outlook 2009, IEA)
Cutting Total Global Energy Related CO2 Emissions - An Energy Technology Revolution Baseline Emissions 62 Gt BLUE Map Emissions 14 Gt 2030
Indicators makes energy efficiency visible and allows progress tracking 180 160 Hypothetical energy use without energy efficiency improvements 140 63 % Savings 120 EJ 100 80 60 Actual energy use 40 20 0 1973 1980 1990 2000 2006 Actual energy use Energy savings due to efficiency improvements Energy efficiency improvements
Aims of the IEA Indicators Work • Establish a harmonised framework for analysis • Harmonisation => Comparability • Produce meaningful cross-country analysis to provide guidance to policy-makers on: • Trends in energy use and CO2 emissions • Energy efficiency opportunities and progress • Promote capacity building at the country level
I. Energy Demand Trend & Energy EfficiencyII. Energy Technology Transition for Industry
Energy Technology Transitions for Industry • Industry is a key actor in the fight against climate change • Some progress to date, but more is needed • Technology can help bring about a low carbon industrial revolution • Global action is needed
Materials Production * Note: the Other non-OECD does not include India and China.
Key Findings • Global deployment of BAT could improve energy efficiency by 20 to 30% • … but this is not enough – energy demand for industry will double or triple by 2050 • New technologies are needed for deep CO2 reductions • De-carbonised power sector is critical
CO2 Emissions in Industry Direct energy and process emissions only
Policy Messages • Long-term Goal: • Moving towards carbon pricing • First Step: • Implement Best Available Technologies • Second Step: • Support new technologies through increased RD&D • More focus on life-cycle and material issues
Way Forward: IEA & India Cooperation on Energy Efficiency • Indian Minister of Power attended IEA Ministerial in October 2009 • The IEA-India Joint Statement • “We will continue and enhance our extensive joint programme of work supporting India’s ambitious programme for improving energy efficiency…” Minister of Power, Sushilkumar Shinde, & IEA Executive Director, Nobuo Tanaka, during the IEA 2009 Ministerial in Paris