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Climate and Health: from research to policy and practice. Madeleine C. Thomson, International Research Institute for Climate and Society. Bamako 17 th -19 th November 2008. PAHO/WHO Collaborating Centre on early warning systems for malaria and other climate sensitive diseases.
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Climate and Health: from research to policy and practice Madeleine C. Thomson, International Research Institute for Climate and Society Bamako 17th-19th November 2008 PAHO/WHO Collaborating Centre on early warning systems for malaria and other climate sensitive diseases
Sahel 1900-2006 Long term trends 18% Decadal Variability 27 % Year to year variability 56% Climate changes on all timescales
OCP Rainfall in the Sahel 1900-2006 – (Giannini pers. comm)
Areas and seasons where the seasonal rainfall is strongly controlled by sea surface temperatures and therefore potentially predictable Botswana Anon, is the climate right, IRI, 2005
These results used at in SA Regional Epidemic Malaria Outlook Forum, Harare, 2004-2008 Improving epidemic malaria planning, preparedness and response in Southern Africa. (DaSilva, et al. 2004) http://www.malariajournal.com/content/3/1/37
Long term trend: 18% Variance Climate Change models Inter-decadal variability: 27% Variance El Nino Inter-annual variability: 55% Variance ???? ???
Bulletin of the World Meteorological Organization, October 2008 Climate For Development in Africa.
Key messages New Research needed to • Understand climate and health interactions on relevant policy and decision timescales • Understand the predictability of climate and health outcomes on relevant policy and decision timescales Operationalisation of current research • Create partnerships between the climate and health operational research community • Create an operational meteorological community capable of responding to health/development needs Implementation of current operational research • Create a climate smart health community capable of using climate information to improve health outcomes today while learning about the potential risks for tomorrow.