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Megatrends. Dr. Dale S. Rogers Professor , Logistics & Supply Chain Management Co-Director , Center for Supply Chain Management Rutgers University Nevada Logistics Institute August 16, 2011 Reno, NV. Megatrends. Introduction Sustainable Supply Chain Complexity & Consolidation
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Megatrends Dr. Dale S. Rogers Professor, Logistics & Supply Chain Management Co-Director, Center for Supply Chain Management Rutgers University Nevada Logistics Institute August 16, 2011 Reno, NV
Megatrends • Introduction • Sustainable Supply Chain • Complexity & Consolidation • Fuel Costs • Logistics and Transportation • Work Patterns • Systems Evolution
Historical Milestones In Conceptualization Shifts in Logistical Thinking • Transportation Efficiency 3000BC • Total Cost Awareness 1950AD • Customer Service 1955 • Comprehensive Outsourcing 1965 • Operational Integration and Quality (Six Sigma) 1975 • Financial Positioning and Operational Excellence 1985 • Globalization 1990 • Customer Relationships and Enterprise Extension 1995 • Supply Chain Integrative Management 2000 • Responsive Supply Chain Management 2005+ Source: Dr. Donald J. Bowersox, FedEx Summit, February 2008, February 2008
The Sustainable Supply Chain
Good Social Responsibility Environmental The Sustainable Supply Chain • Organizational Culture • Deeply ingrained • Organizational citizenship • Values and ethics • Quality culture • Strategy • Sustainability as part of an integrated strategy • Long-term view • Doing more with less Economic Better Better Best • Transparency • Stakeholder Management • Supplier Operations • RFP/RFQ Process • Financial Reporting (SOX) • Leadtimes • Visibility • Risk Management • Contingency Planning • Supply Disruptions • Supply Risk • Headline Risk • Agility
Product Responsibility Curve Product Responsibility Curve Product Life Cycle End of Responsibility End of Life Birth
Secondary Markets • Secondary markets are effective in diverting a large number of products from landfills, creating numerous jobs, resulting in substantial economic value in the process. • Although not reflected in current government metrics, a conservative estimate is that the secondary market represents 2.28 percent of the 2008 U.S. Gross Domestic Product.
Logistics & Transportation
2009 Top 50 World Container Ports • Singapore (Singapore) • Shanghai (China) • Hong Kong (China) • Shenzhen (China) • Busan (Korea) • Dubai (UAE) • Ningbo-Zhoushan (China) • Guangzhou Harbor (China) • Rotterdam (Netherlands) • Qingdao (China) • Hamburg (Germany) • Kaohsiung (Taiwan) • Antwerp (Belgium • Tianjin (China) • Port Kalang (Malaysia) • Los Angeles (USA) • Long Beach (USA) • TanjungPelepas (Malaysia) • Bremen-Bremerhaven (Germany) • New York-New Jersey (USA) • LaemChabang (Thailand) • Xiamen (China) • Guangzhou Harbor (China) • TanjungPriok (Indonesia) • Jawaharial Nehru (India) • Hanshin (Japan) • Tokyo (Japan) • Colombo (Sri Lanka) • Valencia (Spain) • Yokohama (Japan) • GioiaTauro (Italy) • Ho Chi Minh (Vietnam) • Felixstowe (UK) • Algeciras bay (Spain) • Jeddah (Saudi Arabia) • Port Said (Egypt) • Salalah (Oman) • Lianyungung (China) • Manila (Phillipines) • Nagoya (Japan) • Santos (Brazil) • Durban (South Africa) • Georgia Ports (USA) • Barcelona (Spain) • Sharjah (United Arab Emirates) • Le Havre (France) • Port Metro Vancouver, British Columbia (Canada) • Melbourne (Australia) • Marsaxlokk (Malta) • Ambarli (Turkey) Source: The Journal of Commerce, August 3, 2009 edition.
Impact of Large Fuel Cost Increase on Logistics Infrastructure
Impact of Large Fuel Cost Increase on Logistics Infrastructure
Systems Evolution
Logistics Analytics Prescriptive Analytics Predictive Analytics
10 Years 2 Years 2/10 Rule • 2 years of excited “buzz” • 10 years before technology “blossoms”
Complexity & Consolidation
Complexity & Consolidation Focal Firm