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Study of extreme wind speed. for italian wind farm sites. Mattia Boccolini mattia.boccolini@garradhassan.com. Fabrizio Magni magni.fabrizio@gmail.com. Christof Stork christof.stork@garradhassan.com.
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Study of extreme wind speed for italian wind farm sites Mattia Boccolini mattia.boccolini@garradhassan.com Fabrizio Magni magni.fabrizio@gmail.com Christof Stork christof.stork@garradhassan.com EWEC 2007, Milan, 8 May 2007 - Boccolini, Magni, Stork
Study of extreme wind speed Targets: for italian wind farm sites • To assess the validity of three different codes to estimate extreme wind speed; • To identify factors that improve extreme wind speed predictions; • To compare directional roughness length and extreme wind speed values; • To compare the whole data set and the data subset analysis results EWEC 2007, Milan, 8 May 2007 - Boccolini, Magni, Stork - Slide : 02
Study of extreme wind speed Wind shear evaluation: for italian wind farm sites • Analysis of anemometer data; • Roughness length calculation; • Time average calculation; EWEC 2007, Milan, 8 May 2007 - Boccolini, Magni, Stork - Slide : 03
Study of extreme wind speed Wind shear evaluation: for italian wind farm sites Difference between global and sector results Some errors in extreme wind speed evaluation EWEC 2007, Milan, 8 May 2007 - Boccolini, Magni, Stork - Slide : 04
Study of extreme wind speed Extreme wind speeds evaluation: for italian wind farm sites Methods Codes • Standard Gumbel (SG); • Eurocode 1 (EC1) • Modified Gumbel (MG); • Testo Unitario (TU) • Improved Independent Storm (IMIS); • Old Italian Code (DM’96) • Gumbel-Bergström (GB); Too short observation period [m] EWEC 2007, Milan, 8 May 2007 - Boccolini, Magni, Stork - Slide : 05
Study of extreme wind speed Aspects involved in result accuracy: for italian wind farm sites • Extreme wind speed evaluation techniques; • Amplitude of data sets; • Number, height and precision of anemometers; ; • Accuracy of Roughness length evaluation EWEC 2007, Milan, 8 May 2007 - Boccolini, Magni, Stork - Slide : 06
Study of extreme wind speed Extreme wind speed evaluation techniques: for italian wind farm sites Percentage difference between code predictions and data results [Err %] [Err %] EWEC 2007, Milan, 8 May 2007 - Boccolini, Magni, Stork - Slide : 07
Study of extreme wind speed Amplitude of data sets: for italian wind farm sites Less accuracy • SG, MG : 1 value/year Involved data Errors sensitivity • GB : All data recorded • IMIS : ≈ 100 values/year Good accuracy Extreme wind speed in Campania using data subset EWEC 2007, Milan, 8 May 2007 - Boccolini, Magni, Stork - Slide : 08
Study of extreme wind speed Number, height and precision of anemometers: for italian wind farm sites Campania Data set: Roughness lenght evaluation z Few anemometers, too close to each other and to the ground Large errors in wind shear evaluation V EWEC 2007, Milan, 8 May 2007 - Boccolini, Magni, Stork - Slide : 09
Study of extreme wind speed Accuracy of Roughness length evaluation: for italian wind farm sites Accurate evaluation of extreme wind speed EWEC 2007, Milan, 8 May 2007 - Boccolini, Magni, Stork - Slide : 10
Study of extreme wind speed Wind speed amplification coefficient: for italian wind farm sites Exact roughness length Measured roughness length • It is important: • to measure roughness length carefully • to choose accurate time averaging value EWEC 2007, Milan, 8 May 2007 - Boccolini, Magni, Stork - Slide : 11
Study of extreme wind speed Return Period dependence: for italian wind farm sites • TR dependence formula (EC1, TU, DM’96); a • TR dependence formula (SG, MG, IMIS, GB); TR ACCURACY OF THE EXTRAPOLATION EWEC 2007, Milan, 8 May 2007 - Boccolini, Magni, Stork - Slide : 03 Slide : 12
Study of extreme wind speed Concluding remarks: for italian wind farm sites • More extensive study in terms of number and spread of masts as well as longer observation periods should be performed to draw robust conclusions EWEC 2007, Milan, 8 May 2007 - Boccolini, Magni, Stork - Slide : 03 Slide : 13