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Economic Indicators. Magnitudes/statistics of interest. Latest data Percentage change (growth) over last quarter, last year Longer term past behaviour: trends and breaks Short/Medium/Long term forecasts. Economic Indicators. Sources of Information: The Economist. Latest data
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Economic Indicators Magnitudes/statistics of interest • Latest data • Percentage change (growth) over last quarter, last year • Longer term past behaviour: trends and breaks • Short/Medium/Long term forecasts
Economic Indicators Sources of Information: The Economist • Latest data • Percentage change (growth) over last quarter, last year • Short/Medium term forecasts
Economic Indicators Sources of Information: The ‘blue book’ or more formally the UK National Accounts. The Office of National Statistics web site, at www.statistics.gov.uk. Perman and Scouller, chapter 15, Box 1 International organisations such as the OECD or IMF Financial institutions such as Goldman Sachs.
Economic Indicators Further Sources of Information: IMF annual reviews of member states The Economist Intelligence Unit The annual World Competitiveness Report of the IMD in Switzerland. OECD web site
Economic Indicators Further Sources of Information: Inflation: central bank web sites. Examples: Britain: the Bank of England web site with information on inflation in various countries. US we have the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Bank web site, bog.frb Japan: the Bank of Japan web site in English.
Output, Demand and Jobs • GDP • Industrial Production • Retail sales • Unemployment • See Economist ‘Economic and Financial Indicators’
Developing economies Economic indicators also provided in The Economist but is less detailed form.
Other relevant information Money and interest rates Stock markets Trade, exchange rates and budgets
Other relevant information And possibly….. Commodity price indices
Other relevant information The Lehman Brothers Index Examines the following; Policies affecting long-run growth potential, policies affecting the performance of the labour market, and policies affecting competition in product markets.
Other relevant information The IMD World Competitiveness Index The IMD (Institute for management development) in Switzerland provides an annual report on the competitive position of nations around the world. This ‘competitiveness’ index ranks 49 countries using 286 different criteria covering current economic performance, government efficiency, business efficiency and infrastructure. A summary of the IMD report can be found on its web site at www.ind.ch/wcy/summary .
Other relevant information PEST Analysis Political, (Economic), Social and Technological + Natural environment
Other information And possibly…..