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ACA Summit Salzburg Global Seminar. “New Rules for Global Finance” Nicholas W. Conger (WVWC) & Nora Myers (UCWV) October 15, 2011. Appalachian College Association (ACA) Mellon Foundation Fellowship. Salzburg Global Seminar. Austria. Austria. Austrian Alps – The Sound of Music.
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ACA Summit Salzburg Global Seminar “New Rules for Global Finance” Nicholas W. Conger (WVWC) & Nora Myers (UCWV) October 15, 2011
Appalachian College Association (ACA) • Mellon Foundation Fellowship Salzburg Global Seminar
Vienna, Austria - 1st Time in Vienna Salzburg Global Seminar
Tram Hotel Hotel & Tram to VNB
2008 Global Financial Crisis Review of the Carnage…
http://www.cfr.org/world/crisis-guide-global-economy/p19710 2008 Global Financial Crisis
2008 Global Financial Crisis “The Worst Crisis Since 1929” • Commercial Bank Failures in Ireland, UK, Iceland • Hedge Fund Failures • Investment Bank Failures or Near Failure • Two GSE’s placed into Conservatorship • Global Insurance Company – CDS • Massive U.S. Central Bank & U.S. Treasury Infusion of Capital New Rules for Global Finance
Architect's of the Multi-Trillion* Fiscal Bailout • Hank Paulson – U.S. Treasury Sec • Tim Geitner – NY Fed President • Ben Bernanke – FED Chairman • White House – President’s Bush & Obama • Congress: Chris Dodd-Barney Frank New Rules for Global Finance
Northern Rock Bear Stearns Lehman Brothers Merrill Lynch Bank of America Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Citibank AIG Troubled Global Financial Institutions
Salzburg Global Seminar New Rules for Global Finance: Proposals for Regulatory Reform – Topics: • Capital Adequacy • Regulatory Structure Reforms • Oversight of Derivatives • Risk Management • Systemic Risk Europe – Asia - USA Salzburg Global Seminar
Financial Stability: The Role of the EU & the UK FSB & FSA • European Union (EU) Stimulus Plan • UK: Financial Stability Board (FSB) and FSA (Financial Services Authority) Starting with the EU… Salzburg Global Seminar
27 Member Nations • European Council • European Commission • European Central Bank • Maastricst Treaty - 1993 The European Union
The Euro 1€ Coin The Euro - The Common Currency of 17 of the 27 member countries of the European Union
The European Central Bank HQ: Frankfort, Germany -- President: Jean-Claude Trichet
November 2008 • €200 Billion = $300 Billion • Macro Economic Plan to Limit the Economic Slowdown: • S-T Stimulus to increase Demand and maintain employment • L-T investment in strategic sectors (Research & Innovation) EU Stimulus Plan
October 2008 • £500 Billion = $850 Billion • Restore Market Confidence and Stabilize Banks • S-T: Loans & Guarantees • Direct Investment in Bank Capital • Anglo Irish Bank Corp Act 2009 UK Bank Rescue Package
European Financial Regulatory Reform and Impact on Banks • UK: Centre for Regulatory Strategy: Need for Coordinated Regulatory Framework Reforms • London School of Economics: Capital Adequacy (Charles Goodhart: Basel II was a “miserable failure”) • Austrian Financial Market Authority: Euro Zone Problems are Country Concerns “We are moving in the right direction” Salzburg Global Seminar
Asian Financial Stability and Reform • Asian Development Bank-Manila (President Kuroda) • Financial Institutions Stability – Deputy Governor Vanikkul, Bangkok, Thailand • China Banking Regulatory Commission Fan Wenzhong “My SGS A-Ha - OMG Moment” Salzburg Global Seminar
Asian Development Bank: President Kuroda • Global Challenge is Economic Growth & Economic Reform Concurrently (Stimulus & Restraint) • Implementation Challenge Within and Across All Regions of the World Financial Stability Reforms - Asia
Thailand Financial Institutions Stability – Governor Vanikkul • 1997 Currency Crisis (Baht) – Lessons Learned • Traditional Conservative Banking Model:10% Growth (ROE)… • …Not 25% (Western Target) Financial Stability Reforms Asia
China China Banking Regulatory Commission Fan Wenzhong • 1997 Currency & Crisis (Baht) - Russia LTCM NPL @ 25% • China Hired Banking Experts • New Business Model & Risk Management… Financial Stability Reforms - Asia
Basel III - Already Implemented Staggered Implementation (2019) (12% Average) • Regulatory Agencies Centralized • New Risk Management Metrics: Risk Adjusted-ROE NPL’s now at 1-2% Capital @ 12% PLL > 200% China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC)
U.S. Financial Regulatory Reforms Center for American Progress (David Min) The Brookings Institution (Douglas Elliott) • History of US Banking System – Glass Steagall • Regulatory Structure Fractured – Needs Harmonized • Large Banks Getting More Concentrated = ^ Risk • Lesson Learned: Due Diligence for PLS Salzburg Global Seminar
US Financial Regulatory Response • Initial Stimulus Packages (TARP): $700 Billion • Multiple Follow-On FED Programs: • Asset-Backed Commercial Paper • CP Funding Facility • GSE Debt & MBS Purchases • Money Market Investor Funding Facility • Term ABS Loan Facility • US Gov’t Bond Purchases Over $3 Trillion…and still counting Salzburg Global Seminar