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The future of cities: levers for creating smart, sustainable and inclusive growth

Explore levers for city growth through sustainability, inclusivity, smartness, and cohesion. Analyze city forms, global links, and future scenarios impacting urban development.

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The future of cities: levers for creating smart, sustainable and inclusive growth

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  1. The future of cities: levers for creating smart,sustainable and inclusive growth Policy conclusions from the project Future Orientations for Cities (FOCI) Moritz Lennert, IGEAT, ULB ESPON Seminar, Lège, November 2010

  2. Policy questions • Sustainable growth: • Is city form important for sustainable growth ? • How sustainably are European cities developing ? • Inclusive Growth: • How inclusive are our cities' economies ? • Smart Growth: • How are cities preparing for smart growth ? • How are cities linking into the global economy ? • Territorial Cohesion: • Where are the missing links of territorial cohesion ? • Where are our cities headed ?

  3. Is city form important for sustainable growth ? City form measured by a compacity index based on Urban Atlas data

  4. How sustainably are European cities developing ?

  5. How inclusive are our cities' economies ? Unemployment rates of lowly qualified as compared to the average unemployment rate in Larger Urban Zones (NUTS 2 proxies)

  6. How inclusive are our cities' economies ? Correlation (R Pearson) between economic wealth (GDP/head) and some social indicators in European cities, in the years 2000. Significant ** at 0.01; * at 0.05 (1) Data come from perception survey or the district statistics of the Urban Audit and only concern core cities while GDP level is defined at the LUZ level Source: Eurostat, urban audit; Eurostat, Perception Survey; Eurostat, Regional Statistics.

  7. How are cities linking preparing for smart growth ? Participation in Framework Programme projects in Nanotech, Biotech, Infotech and Cognitive sciences Based on CORDIS data1986-2000

  8. How are cities linking into the global economy ? European cities as gatekeepers, representatives or platforms in the global economy Based on a selection of all direct and indirect subsidiairies of the 3000 largest global companies from the Bureau Van Dijck ORBIS database

  9. Where are the missing links of territorial cohesion ? Links where best daily return accessibility is by rail (compared to air) between a selected list of metropolitan areas between 5h and 23h (time-table based)

  10. Where are the missing links of territorial cohesion ? Cities centralities in the network of multinational firms with a distance below 100km Based on a selection of all direct and indirect subsidiairies of the 3000 largest global companies from the Bureau Van Dijck ORBIS database

  11. Where are our cities headed ? • Starting postulate: most of what will happen to cities in the future is decided at other scales • Two scenario hypotheses: • “Green Economy”: swift crisis recovery at global scale with a European focus on the green economy and new energy paradigm • “Enhancing the European potential”: no swift recovery at global scale with a European focus on cohesion, reinforcement of European industries and regional potentials

  12. Where are our cities headed ? Summary of territorial impacts of the two scenarios

  13. Thank you ! Moritz Lennert IGEAT – ULB moritz.lennert @ ulb.ac.be http://www.espon.eu/

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