1 / 18

Canadian Institute Vancouver, BC November 20, 2006 James Kendell, Director, Natural Gas Division

Understanding the Impacts of Incremental Gas Supply on the Flow Dynamics Across the North American Grid. Canadian Institute Vancouver, BC November 20, 2006 James Kendell, Director, Natural Gas Division Energy Information Administration (EIA) James.Kendell@eia.doe.gov. www.eia.doe.gov.

nicole
Download Presentation

Canadian Institute Vancouver, BC November 20, 2006 James Kendell, Director, Natural Gas Division

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Understanding the Impacts of Incremental Gas Supply on the Flow Dynamics Across the North American Grid Canadian Institute Vancouver, BC November 20, 2006 James Kendell, Director, Natural Gas Division Energy Information Administration (EIA) James.Kendell@eia.doe.gov www.eia.doe.gov

  2. U.S. Natural Gas Production, Consumption, and Net Imports, 1960-2030 Natural Gas Net Imports, 2004 and 2030 (trillion cubic feet) U.S. Natural Gas Production, Consumption, and Net Imports, 1960-2030 (trillion cubic feet) History Projections 26.9 22.4 Net Imports 21% Consumption 15% 20.9 Production 18.8 Average Wellhead Price (dollars per thousand cubic feet) 2004 2030 2004 Dollars $5.49 $5.92 Nominal Dollars $5.49 $11.20 Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2006

  3. Sources of Incremental U.S. Natural Gas Supply, 2004-2030 Sources of Incremental U.S. Natural Gas Supply, 2004-2030 (trillion cubic feet) Growth in Alaskan Production Growth in LNG Imports Growth in Unconventional Base Production (all sources) Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2006

  4. Incremental U.S. Natural Gas Supplyby Region, 2004-2030 Incremental U.S. Natural Gas Supply by Region, 2004-2030 (trillion cubic feet) 1.70 West Canada 0.62 0.56 Canada LNG Alaska East Canada 1.39 0.08 -2.15 West Coast Everett 0.59 -0.11 2.48 Mid-continent 0.71 Pacific Offshore -0.30 Rocky Mountain Northeast 0.46 Cove Point -0.03 0.44 Gulf Coast Southwest Elba Is. Gulf Offshore Positive -1.07 Gulf LNG Negative -0.26 Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2006

  5. U.S. Natural Gas Consumption by Census Division, 2004 and 2030 (trillion cubic feet) U.S. Natural Gas Consumption by Census Division, 2004 and 2030 Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2006

  6. Pacific Census Division Natural Gas Consumption,2003-2030 (trillion cubic feet) History Projections Electric Power Industrial Commercial Residential Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2006

  7. Natural Gas Consumed for Canadian Oil Sands Production, 2005-2030(trillion cubic feet) Source: EIA, Office of Oil and Gas

  8. Interstate Natural Gas Pipeline Capabilities into California, Oregon, and Washington Interstate Natural Gas Pipeline Capabilities into California, Oregon, and Washington (million cubic feet per day) From Canada Capacity as of November 2005 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 To/From Central Region From Central Region From Central and Southwest Regions From Southwest To Mexico Source: EIA, Office of Oil and Gas

  9. Natural Gas Transmission and Distribution Model Regions and Network Natural Gas Transmission and Distribution Model Regions and Network Primary Flows Secondary Flows Pipeline Border Crossing Specific LNG Terminals Generic LNG Terminals MacKenzie Alaska Canada Offshore and LNG W. Canada E. Canada New Engl. (1) Pacific (9) Mountain (8) Mid. Atlantic (2) W. North Central (4) E. North Central (3) CA (12) AZ/NM (11) S. Atlantic (5) E. South Central (6) W. South Central (7) Mexico FL (10) Bahamas Source: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting

  10. Natural Gas Flows into the Pacific Region, 1990-2030 (billion cubic feet) Natural Gas Flows into the Pacific Region, 1990-2030 Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2006

  11. Natural Gas Flows into California, 1990-2030 (billion cubic feet) Natural Gas Flows into California, 1990-2030 Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2006

  12. U.S. Lower 48 Natural Gas Wellhead Price in Three Cases, 1990-2030 (2004 dollars per thousand cubic feet) U.S. Lower 48 Natural Gas Wellhead Price in Three Cases, 1990-2030 Projections History $7.71 $5.92 High Price $4.97 Reference Low Price Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2006

  13. Natural Gas Production in Three Price Cases, 1990-2030(trillion cubic feet) Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2006

  14. U.S. Net Imports of Liquefied Natural Gas in Three Price Cases,1990-2030 (trillion cubic feet) U.S. Net Imports of Liquefied Natural Gas in Three Price Cases,1990-2030 History Projections Low Price Reference High Price Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2006

  15. Natural Gas Flows into the West Coast in the High Price Case, 1990-2030 (billion cubic feet) Natural Gas Flows into the West Coast in the High Price Case, 1990-2030 Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2006

  16. U.S. Net Imports of Liquefied Natural Gas in Three Technology Cases, 1990-2030(trillion cubic feet) History Projections Slow Slow Reference Reference Rapid Rapid Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2006

  17. Natural Gas Flows into West Coast in the Rapid Technology Case, 1990-2030 (billion cubic feet) Natural Gas Flows into West Coast in the Rapid Technology Case, 1990-2030 Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2006

  18. Periodic Reports Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report, weekly Short-Term Energy Outlook, monthly Annual Energy Outlook 2006, February 2006 International Energy Outlook 2006, June 2006 Examples of Special Analyses “Economic Effects of High Oil Prices,” Annual Energy Outlook 2006 “Restricted Natural Gas Supply Case,” Annual Energy Outlook 2005 Analysis of Oil and Gas Production in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, March 2004 The Global Liquefied Natural Gas Market: Status and Outlook, Dec. 2003 Periodic Reports www.eia.doe.gov James Kendell James.kendell@eia.doe.gov

More Related