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Learn the fundamentals of time value of money, cash flow analysis, present value, and future value calculations. Understand various compounding frequencies, perpetuity, and annuities. Dive into solving lump sum cash flows for interest rate and number of periods. Explore effective annual rates and multiple cash flow valuations.
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Time Value of Money Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Notation: CF => Cash Flow CF0 => Cash flow now CF1 => Cash flow one period ahead CFt => Cash flow t period ahead PV => Present Value FV => Future Value Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Simple Interest • FV = PV + Interest • FV = PV*(1 + i) Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Value of Investing $1 • Continuing in this manner you will find that the following amounts will be earned: Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Value of $5 Invested • More generally, with an investment of $5 at 10% we obtain Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Generalizing the method • Generalizing the method requires some definitions. Let • i be the interest rate • n be the life of the lump sum investment • PV be the present value • FV be the future value Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
FV with growths from 0% to +6% 3,500 6% 3,000 2,500 Future Value of $1000 4% 2,000 1,500 2% 0% 1,000 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Years Future Value of a Lump Sum Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Present Value of a Lump Sum Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Lump Sums Formulae • You have solved a present value and a future value of a lump sum. There remains two other variables that may be solved for • interest, i • number of periods, n Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Solving Lump Sum Cash Flow for Interest Rate Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Solving Lump Sum Cash Flow for Number of Periods Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
The Frequency of Compounding • Deposit $1,500 in a saving account with 6% annual interest and semi-annual compounding. • What will you have in the account at the end of the year ? Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
The Frequency of Compounding • Assume m microperiods in a macroperiod and a nominal rate i per macroperiod compounded micro-periodically. That is the effective rate is i/m per microperiod. Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
The Frequency of Compounding • We can write r as the microperiod rate such that r=i/m and one macro period future value is (1) FV = PV*(1+r)m • Or (2) FV = PV (1+i/m)m Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
The Frequency of Compounding • When there are n macroperiods (1) FV = PV*(1+r)m*n • Or (2) FV = PV (1+i/m)m*n Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
The Frequency of Compounding • When we are presented with an APR and m compounding periods. • EAR = (1 + APR/m)m Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Effective Annual Rates of an APR of 18% Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
The Frequency of Compounding • Note that as the frequency of compounding increases, so does the annual effective rate • What occurs as the frequency of compounding rises to infinity? Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
The Frequency of Compounding • The effective annual rate that’s equivalent to an annual percentage rate of 18% is then e 0.18 - 1 = 19.7217% • While more precision in the daily compounding will produce an EAR = 19.1764% Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Multiple Cash Flows • Value a promise for $100 one year from today, and $200 two years from today. Given 10% annual rate. • Time line :CF $0 $100 $200Time 0 1 2 Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Multiple Cash Flows • Generalizing the method. Let • i be the interest rate • t time periods counter • T time period of the last cash flow • CFt be cash flow at time t • PV be the present value Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Multiple Cash Flows • Present value of multiple cash flows Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Net Present Value (NPV) • NPV = - PV(All outflows) + PV(All inflows) • If NPV > 0 (inflows exceed outflows) -- Accept the project • If NPV < (inflows are less than outflows) -- Reject the project Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Perpetuity • A stream of cash flows the last forever. • A constant cash flow: Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Perpetuity • A g – constant growth cash flow, growth after the first period and g < i: Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Annuities • a sequence of equally spaced identical (or constantly growing) cash flows • regular annuity with its first cash flow one period from now • annuity due with its first cash flow today Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Annuities Four period annuity replication with two perpetuity. $ $ $ $ $ $ $+0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0 0 0 0 $ $ $-0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 $ $ $ $ 0 0 0 = 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Annuities • Annuity Formula Notation • PV the present value of the annuity • I interest rate to be earned over the life of the annuity • n the number of payments • pmt the periodic payment Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
PV Annuity Formula: Payment Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Annuity Formula: PV Annuity Due Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
Growing Annuities • Annuity cash flows that grow at a constant rate (g) after the first cash flow: Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg
PV Annuity Formula: Number of Payments Bus 512- Time Value of Money | Dr. Menahem Rosenberg