1 / 18

automated Vehicles and transportation system sustainability

automated Vehicles and transportation system sustainability. National Conference of the American Planning Association April 26, 2014 Dr. Louis A. Merlin, AICP. Does automation lead to sustainability?. Answer: Either Yes, No, or Maybe. Scenario 1: The end of congestion

ninon
Download Presentation

automated Vehicles and transportation system sustainability

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. automated Vehicles and transportation system sustainability National Conference of the American Planning Association April 26, 2014 Dr. Louis A. Merlin, AICP

  2. Does automation lead to sustainability? • Answer: Either Yes, No, or Maybe. • Scenario 1: The end of congestion • Scenario 2: The beginning of mega-congestion

  3. What do we mean by automated vehicles? • Automation • Connection • Sharing • Convergence??

  4. Automation: the car that drives in real world conditions

  5. Connection: V2V, V2I, V2X Source: Florida Department of Transportation

  6. Car sharing & Ride sharing Source: The Nature Conservancy

  7. Sustainable transport requires the integration of all three components!

  8. Sustainable transport via automation integration • Congestion reduction – Flow and capacity optimized in real time via integration • Built in Pricing – High marginal costs encourages shorter trips • Affordability – Low fixed costs means more people can benefit from mobility • Vehicle fleet – Smaller vehicle sizes and more efficient fleet possible • Multimodalism – Alternative modes can be more competitive without auto oriented urban designs (Less parking!)

  9. Roadblocks to integration • The Vehicle Ownership Paradigm • Automation: The slow rollout model • Market uncertainty: Will consumers want this? • Liability: Shift from driver to manufacturer • Chicken and egg problem: Regulations and infrastructure for integrated automation don’t exist yet

  10. Value of pilot projects • Break through the chicken and egg problem • Demonstrate benefits of integrated automation in real world settings • CityMobil2 – Europe • University of Michigan Mobility Transformation Center

  11. cityMobil2: Cities demonstrating automated road passenger transport • Pilot projects in real cities • How will passengers respond? • Are these systems safe and robust? • How does this system interact with other components of the transport system? • Analysis of legal barriers and standards • Analysis of economic impacts • Link: http://www.citymobil2.eu/en/

  12. University of Michigan Mobility transformation center • Pilot study of connected vehicles with human drivers • What are the safety benefits? • How do drivers react to connected vehicle information? • Link: http://safetypilot.umtri.umich.edu/ • By 2021, Ann Arbor could become the first American city with a shared fleet of networked, driverless vehicles • Link: http://victors.engin.umich.edu/article.php?id=116

  13. A modest Proposal:automated transit for the Atlanta beltline Source: Atlanta Beltline Inc. Source: Induct Technology.com

  14. A modest Proposal:automated transit for the Atlanta beltline • Vehicles designed to work in areas with pedestrian activity • Less expensive than light rail infrastructure • Flexible to a range of demand • Opportunity to be technology pioneer

  15. Questions? Dr. Louis Merlin, AICP University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill louismerlin@gmail.com

  16. automated Vehicles and transportation system sustainability National Conference of the American Planning Association April 26, 2014 Dr. Louis A. Merlin, AICP

  17. Supplemental slides

  18. Long Range Planning and Uncertainty • Infrastructure planning has long lead times, high costs, and irreversibility • Uncertainty over sources transportation finance • Uncertainty over climate impacts on infrastructure • Uncertainty over demographic and economic trends • Uncertainty over vehicular technologies and their implications

More Related