1 / 15

Cork and Foran Part 2

Cork and Foran Part 2. “A Biofuel Economy”. Biophysical economics. Human population Marine fishing Energy and greenhouse Land and water Urban infrastructure. Thermochemical. Biomass. methanol. DME. Electricity Options. Renewables transition. Conventional wisdom. Fuel Options.

ninon
Download Presentation

Cork and Foran Part 2

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Cork and Foran Part 2

  2. “A Biofuel Economy”

  3. Biophysical economics Human population Marine fishing Energy and greenhouse Land and water Urban infrastructure

  4. Thermochemical Biomass methanol DME

  5. Electricity Options Renewables transition Conventional wisdom

  6. Fuel Options Shale Ethanol Methanol/DME CNG

  7. Energy Profit Ratios energy ‘out’/energy ‘in’ Methanol from wood

  8. Bio-methanol Transition wood production million m3 90% Methanol 90% Methanol + Trans Efficiency

  9. Changes to Land Use Rules for each region: 10% crop, 10% pasture 10% rough land

  10. Reduction in Continental Runoff at 2051 due to Plantations for Bio-Methanol Average Continental Runoff = > 400,000 GL (12% of rain) 6 million ha 57 million ha 39 million ha

  11. National Headline Indicators accumulated over 45 year scenario period Low growth economy

  12. Outcomes? still battling

  13. A Safe Operating Space for Humanity Futures Work ? http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v461/n7263/fig_tab/461472a_F1.html#figure-title

  14. Process of Futures ….a bit like marriage • delight of the first engagement • optimism and inquiry • analysis and creation • delivery (of the report) • dead silence from policy/action • start again ? Mid career people Skill them up, enthuse them Send them back to the real world Recruit a new team, still optimistic ‘Future Woolscapes’ workshop, North Head, Sydney

  15. Structural Issues For Futures Work • Institutions • Commission for the Future • Intergenerational reports • Climate change and hydrology currently Skills • Wide knowledge, not prone to cynicism/depression • Structure and numeracy across sectors • Good political skills but not slippery or politicised Boundaries • Whole-economy but depth in ten+ zones • Trade off capability across environment-social-economy

More Related