1 / 22

Uporabniški vpogled UMAR dr. Valerija Korošec govori v svojem imenu.

6. Seja statističnega sosveta za statistiko življenjske ravni in socialne zaščite T orek 11. junija 2016 ob 13. uri Litostrojska 54, Ljubljana, sejna soba 3-059 v III. Nadstropju. Uporabniški vpogled UMAR dr. Valerija Korošec govori v svojem imenu. UVOD: IZZIVI. Nove vrste podatkov ?

nizana
Download Presentation

Uporabniški vpogled UMAR dr. Valerija Korošec govori v svojem imenu.

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. 6. Seja statističnega sosveta za statistiko življenjske ravni in socialne zaščiteTorek 11. junija 2016 ob 13. uriLitostrojska 54, Ljubljana, sejna soba 3-059 v III. Nadstropju Uporabniški vpogled UMARdr. Valerija Korošec govori v svojem imenu.

  2. UVOD: IZZIVI • Nove vrste podatkov? • Nov način zbiranja podatkov (registrski, satelitski? • Nowcasting – novi (časovni) pristopi k obdelava podatkov? • Modelska obdelava podatkov? • Ne/odvisnost raziskav? Vloga EU? • Primer dialoga z uporabniki: Otroški UTD za Belgijo po slovensko s pomočjo mikrosimulacijskega modela MEFISTO (EUROMOD, EU-SILC) na International Conference on Universal Child Grants. 6-8 February 2019, Geneva

  3. Which system is better in fighting child poverty - UBI or current (means-tested, targeted) system (in developed countries)?-------------------------------------------------------- Triangulationmethod: • UBI proposal for Slovenia (2010) • OECD (2017), IMF (2017), IMF (2018) • Unconditional Basic Individual Universal Child Grant for Belgium following the Slovenian approach: child UBI for Belgium (SI_UBI_UCG_BE by MEFISTO, EUROMOD). International Conference on Universal Child Grants Dr. V. KOROŠEC (2019) SI_UBI UCG_BE

  4. Unconditional Basic Individual Universal Child Grant • for Belgium following the Slovenian approach. • Child UBI for Belgium. • Micro-simulation SI_UBI_UCG_BE by MEFISTO (EUROMOD, EU-SILC) Dr. VALERIJA KOROŠEC, independent scientist, Slovenia …speaks in her own name. @ValerijaSlo International Conference on Universal Child Grants 6-8 February 2019 | Geneva

  5. Poverty rates, childrenless then 18 years & total, Slovenia (SI) & Belgium (BE), two high-developed countries, 2005-2017------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- International Conference on Universal Child Grants Dr. V. KOROŠEC (2019) SI_UBI UCG_BE

  6. 1. UBI proposal for Slovenia (2010)---------------------------------------------------------------- • all eligiblemembers UBI =300 €/month UNIVERSAL • NO means test and NO work requirement UNCONDITIONAL • Cash: monthly, flat, ‘round’ amount UNIFORM • Average of: Social Assistance (=230 €/monthGMI; Minimum Income guarantee), ½ Poverty Line,½ MWageand 1/3 of Average Wage BASIC • Re-desing of 10 Personal Tax allowances + 16 benefits on GMI and Child Allowances into UBI (=26 changes) BUDGET NEUTRAL • paid to an individual member not to a household. INDIVIDUAL International Conference on Universal Child GrantsDr. V. KOROŠEC (2019) SI_UBI UCG_BE

  7. 3. Budget & micro-simulation implications:UBI just above current GMI, budget neutral, Slovenia (2010) --------------------------------------------------------------------------- International Conference on Universal Child GrantsDr. V. KOROŠEC (2019) SI_UBI UCG_BE

  8. 3. Design of child UBI for Belgium--------------------------------------------------------- • Budget neutral. • UBI level just above the current GMI schemes. • Evaluation criteria: • Lower child poverty rate (for the lowest deciles). • Gini is smaller. • Income situation for the majority is better. International Conference on Universal Child Grants Dr. V. KOROŠEC (2019) SI_UBI UCG_BE

  9. ad 3. Microsimulation of child UBI for Belgium with MEFISTO, EUROMOD http://www.flemosi.be/easycms/MEFISTO --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 27 x changes of the current system: 22 x → 0 4 x → 200 €/month for each child = child UBI 1 x → 400 €/month for a single parent (mother) UBI International Conference on Universal Child Grants Dr. V. KOROŠEC (2019) SI_UBI UCG_BE

  10. First example: 4 changes out of 27 International Conference on Universal Child Grants Dr. V. KOROŠEC (2019) SI_UBI UCG_BE

  11. First example: 4 changes out of 27 International Conference on Universal Child Grants Dr. V. KOROŠEC (2019) SI_UBI UCG_BE

  12. Another 4 changes – child UBI International Conference on Universal Child Grants Dr. V. KOROŠEC (2019) SI_UBI UCG_BE

  13. Another 4 changes – child UBI International Conference on Universal Child Grants Dr. V. KOROŠEC (2019) SI_UBI UCG_BE

  14. Results/Criteria: Budget neutrality International Conference on Universal Child Grants Dr. V. KOROŠEC (2019) SI_UBI UCG_BE

  15. Results/Criteria: Child poverty rate -1.83 pp. International Conference on Universal Child Grants Dr. V. KOROŠEC (2019) SI_UBI UCG_BE

  16. Results/Criteria: -9.66 1st decile, -8.63 2nd decile International Conference on Universal Child Grants Dr. V. KOROŠEC (2019) SI_UBI UCG_BE

  17. Results/Criteria: theGini coefficient: -0.03 International Conference on Universal Child Grants Dr. V. KOROŠEC (2019) SI_UBI UCG_BE

  18. Results/Criteria: 25.23% losers , the majority winners and unaffected International Conference on Universal Child Grants Dr. V. KOROŠEC (2019) SI_UBI UCG_BE

  19. ….unconditional or means-testing?--------------------------------------------------------------------------------- In fighting child poverty in high developed countries UBI system Universal + Unconditional + Uniform + Basic + Individual + Budget neutral would be better than the current, means-tested system, however….. International Conference on Universal Child Grants Dr. V. KOROŠEC (2019) SI_UBI UCG_BE

  20. The end

  21. III. Conclusion remarks alias open questions--------------------------------------------------------------------------------- • On whose expenses? Child UBI in Belgium? Child UBI in Slovenia? • Coverage?Closer to poverty line? • Poverty? Absolute? Relative? Cultural? Moral?Inequality?Redistribution? • Work? initiative? for single? parents? • The public administration?Experiments? • Research? Responsibility? Manipulation?Objectivity? International Conference on Universal Child Grants Dr. V. KOROŠEC (2019) SI_UBI UCG_BE

  22. ZAKLJUČEK • Modeli: npr. EUROMOD - EU-SILC – registrski • Podatki: AROP – stopnja tveganja revščine – novi podatki? • Koncepti: Relativna revščina (družbena neenakost – premoženjska neenakost -dohodkovna neenakost) vs. absolutna revščina? • Pristojnosti EU glede socialne zaščite (Social Pillars)?

More Related