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“Meeting Operational Needs through Comprehensive Tropical Cyclone Research and Development ”

64 th Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference. “Meeting Operational Needs through Comprehensive Tropical Cyclone Research and Development ”. March 1 - 4, 2010. Conference Opening. Mr. Samuel P. Williamson Federal Coordinator for Meteorology. 64 th Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference

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“Meeting Operational Needs through Comprehensive Tropical Cyclone Research and Development ”

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  1. 64th Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference “Meeting Operational Needs through Comprehensive Tropical Cyclone Research and Development” March 1 - 4, 2010

  2. Conference Opening Mr. Samuel P. Williamson Federal Coordinator for Meteorology 64th Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference “Meeting Operational Needs through Comprehensive Tropical Cyclone Research and Development” Sponsored and hosted by: The Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorological Services and Supporting Research

  3. Welcome / Opening Remarks The Honorable Edna Jackson Mayor Pro Tem, Savannah, Georgia 64th Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference

  4. Improve operational capability to provide services to help prevent loss of life and injuries Minimize the nation’s vulnerability to natures most destructive forces Enable a strong homeland defense through a safe overseas presence Build upon synergies / collaboration in the tropical cyclone community Continued improvements in observations, modeling, forecaster tools, and incorporation of social science results into operations are vital to improve services to a myriad of stakeholders Why Are We Here? • Example improvement in observations: SFMR • Has increased confidence in the intensity analysis of hurricanes, especially major hurricanes • Helped better quantify 64 kt & 34 kt wind radii, complementing QuikSCAT and now ASCAT • Still unresolved uncertainties about the SFMR algorithim output at moderate winds with rain present • Will hear more about this in Session 4

  5. For modeling research & development, we’ll hear much more about this in Sessions 7-8 Session 3, Understanding Hurricane Response for Improved Stakeholder / User Reaction, will highlight some important work taking place in social sciences Why Are We Here? • A few examples of improved capabilities and services: • Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook • Overwhelming positive feedback prior to operational implementation at NHC in 2009 • Operational implementation at CPHC in 2010 • Linkage of tropical cyclone track forecast to wave prediction models for commercial and military shipping hazard avoidance • Probabilistic storm surge product • Provides the likelihood of storm surge values from 2 through 25 feet; became operational at NHC in 2009

  6. Conference Objectives • Review the Nation’s tropical cyclone forecasting and warning program • Address actions from previous IHC • Update the National Hurricane Operations Plan for 2010 • Review an assessment of tropical cyclone research and development activities and their contributions toward forecasting and warning center’s operational priorities • Review Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT) projects, and recognize candidates that may be successfully transitioned into operations • Examine aspects of the hurricane forecasting and warning process and ongoing social sciences-related research to aid in improved stakeholder / user response • Build upon tropical cyclone partnerships, leveraging agency capabilities to meet the operational needs of the tropical cyclone forecasting and warning centers

  7. Plenary Opening Speakers (1:00 – 1:40 PM) Conference Agenda This Afternoon

  8. Conference Agenda This Afternoon Moderator:Dr. Elbert W. (Joe) Friday, Professor Emeritus of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma Panelists: Dr. Ramesh Kakar, NASA Weather Focus Area Lead and Program Manager for Atmospheric Dynamics, NASA Headquarters Dr. Fred Lewis, Air Force Director of Weather, HQ Air Force RADM David Titley, Oceanographer and Navigator of the Navy Dr. John “Jack” Hayes, Assistant Administrator for Weather Services, NOAA Panel Discussion: The Power of Partnerships to Meet Operational Priorities (1:40 – 3:00 PM)

  9. Conference Agenda Later This Afternoon and Evening • Session 1: The 2009 Tropical Cyclone Season in Review 3:45 – 5:30 PM Session Leaders: Dr. Steve Lyons (TWC) and CAPT Grant Cooper (NMFC/JTWC) • Reception / Icebreaker: 6:30 - 8:00 PM (Pool Area)

  10. 8:00 – 8:15 AM: Invited Presentation - Mr. Bill Proenza (NOAA/NWS) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 8:15 – 9:30 AM:Workshop/Panel Session 2: Assessment of the Tropical Cyclone R&D Activities in Contributing to the Operational Priorities of the Tropical Cyclone Forecasting and Warning Centers Moderator:Dr. Elizabeth Ritchie, Associate Professor, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Arizona Panelists:Dr. Frank Marks, AOML/HRD (NOAA) Mr. James Franklin, NWS/NHC (NOAA) Mr. Robert Falvey, JTWC (DOD) Dr. Ron Ferek, ONR (DOD) Conference Agenda Tuesday Morning

  11. 10:00 – 11:45 AM:Workshop/Panel Session 3: Understanding Hurricane Response for improved Stakeholder / User Reaction Moderator:Mr. Max Mayfield, Senior Executive Vice President of Governmental Relations, America’s Emergency Network and WPLG-TV Hurricane Specialist Panelists:Mr. David Caldwell, NWS/OCWWS (NOAA) Dr. Brenda Phillips, Oklahoma State University Dr. Jeff Lazo, NCAR Ms. Jennifer Santos-Hernandez, Univ. of Delaware Mr. Walt Dickerson, Diversified Em. Mgmt. Associates Conference Agenda Tuesday Morning

  12. Tuesday Evening Poster Session 6:00 - 8:00 PM

  13. Conference Agenda Wednesday Evening – Conference Banquet • Banquet Address: - Dr. Timothy Killeen Assistant Director for the Geosciences, NSF

  14. Conference Agenda Thursday Afternoon – Final Plenary Session 10:15 – 11:15 AM

  15. Conference Logistics

  16. Conference Logistics

  17. Plenary Opening Mr. William Craig Fugate Administrator of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (DHS/FEMA) 64th Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference “Meeting Operational Needs through Comprehensive Tropical Cyclone Research and Development”

  18. Plenary Opening Ms. Monica Medina Principal Deputy Under Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere (DOC/NOAA) 64th Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference “Meeting Operational Needs through Comprehensive Tropical Cyclone Research and Development”

  19. The Power of Partnerships to Meet Operational Priorities Panel Discussion

  20. Federal Agency Lead Reps NOAA Dr. John “Jack” Hayes NOAA Assistant Administrator for Weather Services/Director, NWS Navy RADM David Titley Oceanographer and Navigator of the Navy CNO N84, US Naval Observatory Air Force Dr. Fred Lewis Director of Weather AF/A3O-W, HQ USAF NASA Dr. Ramesh Kakar NASA Wx Focus Area Lead and Program Manager for Atmospheric Dynamics Army Mr. Bill Birkemeier Field Data Collection Program USACE Field Research Facility NSF Dr. Brad Smull Division of Atmospheric Sciences DOI Brian McCallum Assistant Director, Georgia Water Science Center, DOI/USGS DHS Mr. Dan Catlett National Hurricane Prgram Manager DHS/FEMA

  21. Ground Rules • Questions welcomed...time permitting • Significant agency issues worked through lead agency reps • User community & agency reps are welcome to raise issues for discussion during Q&A periods and at Thursday workshops • Significant issues reviewed daily at OFCM staff meeting • Results of discussions and any action items • Summarized during the Final Plenary Session

  22. Afternoon Break

  23. The 2009 Tropical Cyclone Season in Review (3:45 – 5:30 PM) Session Leaders Dr. Steve Lyons, TWC CAPT Grant Cooper, NMFC/JTWC Session 1 Coordinator: Mr. Mark Welshinger, OFCM

  24. Reception / Icebreaker Harborview Room – top floor 6:30 - 8:00 PM

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