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For Board Discussion: How Many People Will We Serve in the Future?. May 2012. Step 1: Identify Our Service Area. What are the zip codes of our admissions over the past five years. Our service area is where the majority of these zip codes are clustered/located.
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For Board Discussion: How Many People Will We Serve in the Future? May 2012
Step 1: Identify Our Service Area • What are the zip codes of our admissions over the past five years. • Our service area is where the majority of these zip codes are clustered/located.
Step 2: Look at Our Service Use • What percentage of people aged 65+ in our service area reside in a nursing home? (National average = 3.6%. Statewide average = 5.7%. Kansas rural average = 6.8%.) • What percentage of people aged 85+ in our service area reside in a nursing home? (Statewide average = 27.5%. Kansas rural average = 33.2%.)
Step 2: Look at Our Service Use • What was our average daily census ten years ago? • What has our average daily census been in the last year?
Step 3: Trends in Our Service Area • What are the projected demographic trends in our service area? • Who are our competitors? (ex. hospital, assisted living, home health, other)
Step 3: Trends in Our Service Area • How will KanCare impact us? (A goal of KanCare is to care for people in lower cost settings.) • What services do older adults in our service area want? • What services do their adult children want for their parents?
Step 4: Reflect on Our Future • What will our census be in 10 years? • What will this mean for our operations, finances and programs? • How will our services need to change and diversify to meet future demand? • What actions should we take now to begin to prepare for this?
This presentation was prepared by LeadingAge Kansas, the statewide association providing advocacy, education, information, networking opportunities and dollar-stretching programs for not-for-profit aging service providers. For further information, www.leadingagekansas.org 800.264.5242