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SEVERE WEATHER FORECAST

SEVERE WEATHER FORECAST. as of 11:00pm Sept. 29 (Source: JAPAN Meteorological Agency). Tropical Storm Pepeng. BASED ON MANILA TIME. 02 OCT / 11PM. 01 OCT / 11PM. 30 SEP / 11PM. 29 SEP / 11PM. LAGUNA. Tropical Storm Pepeng.

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SEVERE WEATHER FORECAST

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  1. SEVERE WEATHER FORECAST as of 11:00pm Sept. 29 (Source: JAPAN Meteorological Agency)

  2. Tropical Storm Pepeng BASED ON MANILA TIME 02 OCT / 11PM 01 OCT / 11PM 30 SEP / 11PM 29 SEP / 11PM LAGUNA

  3. Tropical Storm Pepeng Tropical Storm PARMA (PRE-PEPENG) slightly turns Westward while intensifying to the SE of Yap Island.This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. + Forecast Outlook: PARMA is expected to resume its Westward movement w/in the next 06 hours, before heading WNW-ward. It shall enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow afternoon. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system turning more to the NW'ly across the Philippine Sea...becoming a Category 1 Typhoon on Thursday, Oct 01. PARMA shall pass about 750 km ENE of Metro Naga/CWC on Friday, Oct 02...and shall be about 500 km East of Batanes Islands on Saturday, Oct 03. Please be aware that long-range forecast changes every now and then. Continued monitoring on this potential typhoon is a must for disaster preparedness agencies. + Effects: PARMA's circulation continues to improve with expanding spiral outer bands on all quadrants except the northeastern portion...its western outer rainbands continues to spread across Ulithi-Yap Islands and Palau Island. Passing rains, squalls, thunderstorms w/ gale-force winds may be expected along the outer bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 25 up to 50 mm can be expected along PARMA's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of up to 100 mm near the center of this storm. + Current SW Monsoon Intensity: WEAK >> Light southwesterly winds not in excess of 35 kph with occasional widespread showers, squalls (subasko) & thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: PALAWAN & WESTERN VISAYAS. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

  4. Tropical Depression 18W (Unnamed) LAGUNA TS MELOR TS PEPENG TD UNNAMED (Forecast shows it will merge with TS PEPENG)

  5. Tropical Depression 18W (Unnamed) Tropical Depression 18W (UNNAMED) has accelerated NW-ward while being disorganized.This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. + Forecast Outlook:18W is expected to remain a weak storm throughout the forecast outlook...this due to TS PARMA (located to the WSW) which is expected to inhibit further development. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range forecast shows the system just reaching minimal tropical storm and passing very close to Guam tomorrow evening.18W shall enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on early Friday evening (Oct 2) as a downgraded Depression. Later in the forecast, on Oct 4 - 18W might be absorbed into the circulation of TS PARMA, which is a much stronger system. + Effects: 18W's circulation has become obscurred and disorganized. This system may just bring light to moderate rainfall across the Marianas beginning tomorrow.

  6. TD UNNAMED (Forecast shows it will merge with TS PEPENG) TS MELOR LAGUNA TS PEPENG

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