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Pathways to Deep Decarbonization: Strategies and Challenges for a Sustainable Future

This overview delves into E3's deep decarbonization study, focusing on key strategies for reducing greenhouse gas emissions in California. It highlights short-term and medium-term solutions such as renewable electricity, energy efficiency, zero-emission vehicles, and sustainable biofuels. The study also outlines long-term strategies including zero-emission heavy-duty trucks and industrial electrification. Key challenges related to consumer decisions, cost implications, and sustainability are addressed throughout the text.

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Pathways to Deep Decarbonization: Strategies and Challenges for a Sustainable Future

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  1. Overview of E3’s Deep Decarbonization Study Publicly available at www.ethree.com

  2. Introductionand Purpose Statewide Emissions by Sector (CARB, 2016)

  3. Short-Term GHG Reducing Strategies Scale Up and Deploy Smart Growth Renewable Electricity Energy Efficiency in Buildings and Industry • Reduced Vehicle Miles Travelled • Increase use of Public Transportation • Walking and Biking • Telecommuting • Denser mixed-use community design Deployment of LED lighting Higher Efficiency Plug Load Improved Shell in Existing Buildings Continued Improvements and Enforcement of Building Codes Industrial Energy Efficiency • 70% - 80% zero-carbon electricity with renewable integration solutions • Flexible Loads • Market-Based Curtailment • Cost-Effective Grid Storage Key Challenges ● Consumer Decisions ● Market Failures ● Implementation of Integration Solutions ●

  4. Medium-Term GHG Reducing Strategies Market Transformation Advanced Building Efficiency & Electrification Zero-Emission Light-Duty Vehicles (ZEV) At least 6 million ZEVs More than 60% of new sales are zero-emission vehicles Drivers have Access to day-time charging and time-of-use charging 50% of new water heater and HVAC sales are high efficiency heat pumps Methane Capture F-Gas Replacement Methane capture from manure, fugitive and process emissions, landfills and wastewater Replace F-gases (used in refrigeration, AC units, blowing agents for foam and aerosol propellants) with lower global warming potential refrigerants Key Challenges ● Consumer Decisions & Costs ● Equity of Cost Impacts ● Cost and Retrofits of Existing Buildings ●

  5. Long-Term GHG Reducing Strategies Reach Technologies Zero-Emissions Heavy-Duty Trucks Advanced Sustainable Biofuels Demonstrated use of sustainable, carbon-neutral biomass feedstocks to produce commercial-scale biofuels Commercial deployment of battery-electric and/or hydrogen trucks Electrolysis Hydrogen Production Industrial Electrification Improved cost and efficiency at commercial scale. Business model for flexible hydrogen production Cost-competitive electrification of industrial end uses, including boilers, machine drives, and process heating Key Challenges ● Cost ● Sustainability Challenges ●

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