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Arctic Oscillation Index vs. FFC Temperatures DJF 1997-2012

Arctic Oscillation Index vs. FFC Temperatures DJF 1997-2012. Will Lanxto n. Scientific Question.

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Arctic Oscillation Index vs. FFC Temperatures DJF 1997-2012

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  1. Arctic Oscillation Indexvs. FFC TemperaturesDJF 1997-2012 Will Lanxton

  2. Scientific Question • We want to analyze the possible correlation between the Arctic OscillationIndex and winter high temperatures in Peachtree City, Georgia. The nullhypothesis is that there is no correlation between the AOI and temperaturesin Peachtree City. The alternative hypothesis is that there is a correlation,and that in general the cold air outbreaks are directly correlated with alargely negative AOI trend.

  3. Arctic Oscillation

  4. Analysis Methods • Pearson's Correlation Coefficient • Periodogram • Cross-spectral analysis

  5. Data Time Series

  6. Correlation Coefficient • R = 0.23 • P = 4.43x10-19

  7. Periodogram

  8. Cross-Spectral Analysis

  9. Conclusion • Winter-time surface high temperatures in Peachtree City are slightly correlated to the AO index for that day, but the correlation is significant.

  10. Further Steps To Take • Gather and use continuous data from 1997-2012 – not just winter months. • Histograms of each AO phase • Re-do CC – expect it to be more correlated • Periodogram – expect it to be less noisy • Expect to actually get something from the cross-spectral analysis

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