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Institutional Framework for Economic Statistics in Decentralized System. J. Steven Landefeld Director. Friends of the Chair Group on Integrated Economic Statistics, Work Group Meeting June 6-8, 2007. How Do Things Get Done in A Decentralized System?.
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Institutional Framework for Economic Statistics in Decentralized System J. Steven Landefeld Director Friends of the Chair Group on Integrated Economic Statistics, Work Group Meeting June 6-8, 2007
How Do Things Get Done in A Decentralized System? • The U.S. system produces a set of statistics that pretty well reflects what the U.S. public wants: • Timely data that answers the “big picture” questions, gets the answer “about right,” and doesn’t ask “too much” information from respondents
How Do Things Get Done in A Decentralized System? • The system achieves this through: • Coordination of selected infrastructure issues • Strong degree of independence of major statistical agencies • Working with and listening very carefully to customers (balancing needs of all customers) • Responding to these customers by • Specializing and coordinating across agencies in research, innovation, and implementation in the development of new measures for these customers.
Role of the Chief Statistician & Inter-Agency Council on Statistical Policy (ICSP) • Infrastructure • Education – JPSM • Best practices – OMB Quality and Documentation Standards • Principles for statistical agencies • Confidentiality, Independence, Professionalism • Common data dissemination – FEDSTATS • Classification systems – NAICS, NAPS, Regional • Standards and Guidelines for: Data releases, survey response rates, and accuracy
Role of Chief Statistician & ICSP • Integration • Forms review – avoid duplication, minimize response burden • Cross cutting budget review • Data sharing – CIPSEA and IITSA
Role of Federal Economic Statistics Advisory Committee • Review of Cross cutting BEA, BLS and Census issues • Recommendations for improvements, including: • Expansion of payroll survey • Development of time use survey • Development of financial services prices
Role of Intra-Agency Coordination • BEA/BLS • PPI expansion for services, export-import prices, new non-residential construction process, and integration of BEA-BLS employment and productivity data • BEA/Census • Domestic services data expansion and assistance on international services sample frame • BEA/FRB • Stock options, pensions, LAN prices and integration of Flow of Funds and NIPAs. • BEA/FRB/Treasury • Derivatives, short-term instruments, and tax havens
Professional Associations & Interest Groups • BEA/NABE • chain and hedonic indexes, more timely regional and industry data, NAICS time series • BEA/Coalition of Services Industries • expanded detail on international trade in services • BEA/NBER-CRIW • Multinational Corporations, capital stock and deprecation, prices for new goods and services, medical care, intangibles and integration • BEA/AEA • “New Economy,” “off-shoring”, corporate profits and medical care • BEA/ACCRA/AUBER • more timely, detailed, comprehensive regional data
Role of BEA Advisory Committee • Blue ribbon panel of academics and business leaders • Recommendations carry weight beyond BEA • Key role in all BEA and related system-wide improvements in recent years • Integration efforts across agencies • Capitalization of R&D • Better measurement of health care expenditures
Role of Other Government Agencies • Federal Reserve Board, President’s Council of Economic Advisors, Treasury, Congressional Budget Office and others • Important for filling “gaps” where there is no constituency: • Data sharing, services expansion, chain indexes, and international capital flows
What works in the Decentralized System • Resulting system good at providing timely measures on issues of interest to public and private decision makers: • Rich set of monthly current indicators • Timely quarterly GDP accounts data on key issues of relevance to policymakers • Regularly updated measures to reflect changes in the economy. • “Big Picture” accuracy through innovation and the adoption chain indexes, hedonic measures, and other quantitatively important new methods.
What Are the Challenges? • Challenges associated with decentralized system: • Providing consistent and well integrated data • Developing measures on issues/areas with no constituency and Federal agency management • Challenges for all systems: • Lack of well established conceptual foundation and organizational framework (true of all national accounts)