Welcome To The 45 th HPC User Forum Meeting April 2012

1. Welcome To The 45thHPC User ForumMeetingApril 2012

2. Important Dates For Your Calendar • FUTURE HPC USER FORUM MEETINGS: • 2012 International Meetings: • Imperial College, UK, July 5 & 6 • HLRS/University of Stuttgart, July 9 & 10 • Next 2012 US Meeting: • 2012 September 17 to 19, Dearborn, Michigan

3. Thank You To Our Sponsors! • Monday: • Dinner – AMD & Platform Computing • Tuesday: • Breakfast -- Mellanox • AM Break – Raytheon • Lunch – Altair Engineering • PM Break – Bright Computing • Dinner – Intel and HP • Wednesday: • Breakfast -- Panasas • AM Break – IDC • Lunch – Appro International • PM Break – Gnodal • Gold • Intel • HP • Silver • Altair Engineering • AMD • Platform Computing • Bronze • Appro International • Bright Computing • Gnodal • Mellanox • Panasas • Raytheon

4. DinnerThanks to:AMD & Platform Computing

5. Tuesday Dinner Vendor Updates: 10 Minutes • Parallel Scientific • Appro • Altair • AMD • Bright Computing • Gnodal • Panasas • Platform

6. Welcome To The 45thHPC User ForumMeetingApril 2012

7. DinnerThanks to:AMD & Platform ComputingBreakfastThanks to: Mellanox

8. Thank You To Our Sponsors! • Monday: • Dinner – AMD & Platform Computing • Tuesday: • Breakfast -- Mellanox • AM Break – Raytheon • Lunch – Altair Engineering • PM Break – Bright Computing • Dinner – Intel and HP • Wednesday: • Breakfast -- Panasas • AM Break – IDC • Lunch – Appro International • PM Break – Gnodal • Gold • Intel • HP • Silver • Altair Engineering • AMD • Platform Computing • Bronze • Appro International • Bright Computing • Gnodal • Mellanox • Panasas • Raytheon

9. Introduction: Logistics • Ask Mary if you need a receipt • We have a very tight agenda (as usual) • Please help us keep on time! • Review handouts • Note: We will post most of the presentations on the web site • Please complete the evaluation form

10. www.hpcuserforum.com

11. New HPC Innovation Award Program:www.hpcuserforum.com/innovationaward/

12. WelcomeSteve FinnHPC User ForumChairman

13. Important Dates For Your Calendar • FUTURE HPC USER FORUM MEETINGS: • 2012 International Meetings: • Imperial College, UK, July 5 & 6 • HLRS/University of Stuttgart, July 9 & 10 • Next 2012 US Meeting: • 2012 September 17 to 19, Dearborn, Michigan

14. HPC User Forum Mission • To Improve The Health Of The • High Performance Computing Industry • Through Open Discussions, Information-sharing And Initiatives Involving • HPC Users In Industry, Government And Academia • Along With HPC Vendors • And Other Interested Parties

15. Steve Finn, Cherokee Information Services, Chairman RupakBiswas, NASA Ames, Vice Chairman Earl Joseph, IDC, Executive Director Vijay Agarwala, Penn State University Alex Akkerman, Ford Motor Company Doug Ball, The Boeing Company Paul Buerger, Avetec Steve Conway, IDC Research Vice President Jack Collins, National Cancer Institute Jeff Broughton. NERSC/Lawrence Berkeley National Lab Merle Giles, NSCA/University of Illinois Chris Catherasoo, Caltech James Kasdorf, Pittsburgh Supercomputing Center Doug Kothe, Oak Ridge National Laboratory Paul Muzio, City University of New York Michael Resch , HLRS, University of Stuttgart Vince Scarafino, Industry Expert Allan Snavely, Livermore National Lababoratory Steering Committee Members

16. IDC HPCMarket Update

17. Earl Joseph IDC HPC research studies, HPC User Forum and strategic consulting Steve Conway Strategic consulting, HPC User Forum, market trends, Big Data ChiragDeKate HPC QView, technology trends, Big Data, innovation awards program Lloyd Cohen HPC market analysis, data analysis and workstations Beth Throckmorton Government account support and special projects Charlie Hayes Government HPC issues, DOE and special studies Mary Rolph HPC User Forum conference planning and logistics IDC’s HPC Team

18. Top Trends in HPC The global economy in HPC is growing again • 2010 grew by 10%, to reach $9.5 billion • 2011 grew by 8.4% to reach $10.3 billion • We are forecasting ~7% growth over the next 5 years Major challenges for datacenters • Power, cooling, real estate, system management • Storage and data management continue to grow in importance Software hurdles are rising to the top for most users • GPUs are seeing real tractions in certain verticals • The worldwide Patascale Race is in full speed

19. IDC PRESS RELEASE: HPC Server Market Delivers Record Revenues and 8.4% Growth in 2011 FRAMINGHAM, Mass., March 20, 2012 – Worldwide factory revenue for the high performance computing (HPC) technical server market increased by 8.4% in full-year 2011 to reach a record $10.3 billion, up from $9.5 billion in 2010, according to the newly released International Data Corporation (IDC) Worldwide High-Performance Technical Server QView. The 2011 results exceeded IDC's forecast of 7.2% year-over-year revenue growth. Unit shipments in 2011 declined 6.9% year over year as average selling prices grew, indicating a continued shift to large system sales. IBM and HP ended the year in a statistical tie for leadership with 32.6% and 32.1% of overall factory revenue market share, respectively. (Note: IDC declares a statistical tie in the worldwide server market when there is less than one percent difference in the factory revenues of two or more vendors.) The brightest spot was the "Supercomputers" segment for HPC systems selling for $500,000 and up, which jumped 24% to reach revenues of nearly $4.4 billion during a year of continuing worldwide economic recovery. At the other end of the price spectrum, revenue from "Workgroup" HPC systems sold for below $100,000 fell 4% to $1.2 billion as buyers continued to delay or cancel some planned acquisitions in this segment that is characterized by purchases based on shorter sales cycles and more discretionary spending. These results reflect a continuing, dramatic shift of HPC technical server revenue share toward the Supercomputers segment. "HPC technical servers, especially Supercomputers, have been closely linked not only to scientific advances but also to industrial innovation and economic competitiveness. For this reason, nations and regions across the world are increasing their investments in supercomputing even in today's challenging economic conditions," said Earl Joseph, program vice president for HPC at IDC. IDC expects the HPC technical server market to grow at a healthy 7% to 8% yearly rate to reach revenues of $13.4 billion by 2015. Vendor Highlights: • IBM had an exceptionally strong year, achieving 19.3% revenue growth over 2010. • HP revenue increased by a robust 9.6%, enabling the company to tie IBM for HPC market share leadership. • Dell grew revenue by 2.1% and maintained its number three position with nearly 14.5% market share.

20. 2012 IDC HPC Research Areas • New And Potentially Disruptive Technologies & New Approaches • Big data • Co-processors • All types of flash/SSDs • New software solutions • Government programs to help bring to market new capabilities • Special HPC Research Areas & Reports: • A new user-based data tracker product • End-user based MCS reports: clusters, processors, accelerators, storage, interconnects, system software, and applications • The evolution of government HPC budgets • Emerging markets including China, Russia, etc. • SMB and SMS research • The HPC award program • The evolution of clouds in HPC • Scaling of software – issues and soultions • Worldwide Petascale and Exascale Initiatives S

21. IDC Top 10 HPC Predictions for 2012 • The HPC Market Will Continue to Benefit from the Global Economic Recovery • The Worldwide High End Race Will Accelerate • Exascale Decisions Could Shift Future Leadership • Software Leadership Will Become the New Battleground • The Processor Arena Will Become More Crowded • National/Regional Technology Development Will Gain Momentum • Big Data Methods Will Start to Transform the HPC Market, Including Storage • Cloud Computing Will Make Steady Progress • There Will Be Shifting Sands in the Networking Market • Petascale Performance on Big Systems Will Create New Business Opportunities S

22. 2011 HPC WW Market Results: By Competitive Segments C

23. 2011 HPC WW Market Results: By Price Bands C

24. 2011 HPC WW Market Results: By Region C

25. 2011 HPC WW Market Results: Processor Packages Shipped C

26. 2011 HPC WW Market Results: By System Units Sold C

27. HPC Vendor Revenue Shares C

28. HPC ForecastsAndGrowth Areas E

29. New HPC Forecasts • 2011 was a very strong year and we are projecting 7% yearly growth to 2016 • 2016 should exceed $14 billion

30. New HPC Forecasts: By Competitive Segment

31. New HPC Forecasts: By Verticals

32. National Use Of HPCAndSupercomputers

33. Why Is HPC Becoming So Important To Nations? • Worldwide political leaders increasingly recognize this trend: • In 2009, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev warned that without more investment in supercomputer technology, “Russian products will not be competitive or of interest to potential buyers.” • In June 2010, Rep. Chung Doo-un of South Korea’s Grand National Party: “If Korea is to survive in this increasingly competitive world, it must not neglect nurturing the supercomputer industry, which has emerged as a new growth driver in advanced countries.” • The Korean National Assembly then called for the creation of a national five-year plan for advancing HPC • In February 2012, the European Commission announced that it has adopted a plan to double spending on HPC to €1.2 billion, with much of that money aimed at the installation of additional petascale supercomputer systems

34. Supercomputer WW Growth Is Reshaping The Market • The overall HPC market was hard it by the recession, and has now fully recovered • The worldwide supercomputer segment went into a major growth cycle – from 2008 to 2011

35. USA Supercomputer Growth • The USA HPC market was hard it by the recession, and still hasn’t fully recovered • The USA supercomputer segment grew some, but at a lower rate

36. China Supercomputer Growth • The China HPC market wasn’t impacted by the recession, and is well underway to reach $1 billion in 5 years • The china supercomputer segment grew the most, heavily since 2007

37. Japan Supercomputer Growth • The Japan HPC market was hard it by the recession • The Japan supercomputer segment is very up and down (Riken will make 2012 very large)

38. Conclusions • 2010 and 2011 were both strong years – and show a return to healthy growth in the HPC market • IDC predicts the HPC market will continue growth in 2012 and grow by 7% over the next five years • The recovery will benefit HPC segments unevenly: • The Supercomputer segment growth will remain turbo-charged by government spending aimed at HPC leadership and “petaflopsclub” membership • And could exceed our current forecasts

39. But There are Still Major Customer Pain Points Software is still the #1 roadblock • Parallel software is lacking for most users: • Many applications can’t grow their parallelism level • Better management software is needed • New buyers – require “ease-of-everything” • Clusters are still hard to use and manage: • System management & growing cluster complexity • Power, cooling and floor space are major issues • Third party software costs • Weak interconnect performance at all levels • RAS is a growing issue • Storage and data management are becoming new bottle necks • Lack of full software support for heterogeneous environments and accelerators

40. Questions? Please email: hpc@idc.com Or check out: www.hpcuserforum.com

41. Agenda: Day One Morning • 8:00am Welcome, Steve Finn, RupakBiswas and Earl Joseph • 8:10am HPC Market Update, Earl Joseph, ChiragDekate and Steve Conway • Morning Session Chair: Steve Finn • 8:30am Data-Intensive Computing: Redefining HPC? (Moderator: Paul Muzio) • Big Data in Cancer Research, Jack Collins, National Cancer Center-ABCC • Stampede: Intel MIC And Data-Intensive Computing, Jay Boisseau, Texas Advanced Computing Center • Big Data Approaches at Convey, John Leidel • Cray Technical Perspective On Data-Intensive Computing, Amar Shan, Cray • 10:15am - 10:45am Break • Data-intensive Computing Research At PNNL, John Feo, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory • Trends in High Performance Analytics, David Pope, SAS • 11:30am Invited Vendor Technology Updates: Intel and HP • 12:00pm Networking Lunch

42. AM Break Thanks to: RaytheonLunchThanks to: AltairPlease Return Promptly at 1:00pm

43. Thank You To:Altair EngineeringFor Lunch

44. Agenda: Day One Afternoon • Afternoon Session Chair: RupakBiswas • 1:00pm Data-Intensive Computing: Redefining HPC? (Part two) • Processing Large Volumes of Experimental Data, Shane Canon, LBNL • SGI Technical Perspective On Data-Intensive Computing, Eng Lim Goh, SGI • Big Data and PLFS: A Checkpoint File System For Parallel Applications, John Bent, EMC • HPC Data-intensive Computing Technologies, Scott Campbell, Platform/IBM • 2:45pm Break • 3:15pm Performance Modeling: Better Understanding Future System Performance • HPCMP Benchmarking & Performance Analysis, Mark Cowan, USACE ERDC ITL • Performance Optimization, Phil Mucci, Minimal Metrics • Modeling Performance, Energy Metrics And Reliability, Robert Sinkovits, San Diego Supercomputer Center • Advances in Parallel Programming Environments, John Tran, NVIDIA • 5:00pm RENCI HPC Activities Update, Charles Schmitt, RENCI • 5:30pm Networking Break and Time for 1-on-1 Meetings • 6:30pm Reception and Dinner Event. Keynote Speaker: Roger Hunter, NASA Kepler Mission Manager, The Search for Exoplanets

45. Thank You To:Bright ComputingFor The Break

46. Dinner Logistics • Special Dinner Event • Sponsored by Intel and HP

47. WelcomeTo Day 2 Of TheHPC User ForumMeeting

48. DinnerThanks to:Intel and HPBreakfastThanks to: Panasas

49. Agenda: Day Two Morning • 8:10am Welcome, Earl Joseph and Steve Finn • Morning Session Chair: Vince Scarafino • 8:15am Potential Disruptive Technologies -- Short Presentations and Panel Discussion: Exploring emerging technologies that have the potential to redefine the HPC market (Moderator: Earl Joseph): • The use of ARM-based processors at HP and Redstone, Scott Misage • ARM-based processors by Calxeda, Karl Freund • The use of DSP technology, ArnonFriedmann, TI • New Aspects of VPI, Virtualization and Co-Design, Todd Wilde, Mellanox • MIC Directions and Ideas, Jim Jeffers, Intel • High Performance Cluster Computing, Charles Kaminski, LexisNexis • Emerging Parallel Programming Approaches, GuangGao, ETI • Phil Mucci, Minimal Metrics • GPUs, David Luebke, NVIDIA • 10:15am Break • 10:30am Update on HPC at HLRS, Michael Resch, HLRS/Stuttgart • 11:00am DOD HPCMP Update, John West, Director, HPCMP • 11:30am DOD PETTT Program: Leveraging National HPC Assets, Patrick Dreher, HPTi • 12:00pm Networking Lunch

50. Lunch Thanks to: ApproPlease Return Promptly at 1:00pm