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MGTO 231 Human Resources Management. Personnel selection I Dr. Kin Fai Ellick WONG. Questions for you. The objective of selection is very simple: Choosing the “correct” person However, we do not have magic, there are often many “incorrect choices” in our decisions
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MGTO 231Human Resources Management Personnel selection I Dr. Kin Fai Ellick WONG
Questions for you • The objective of selection is very simple: • Choosing the “correct” person • However, we do not have magic, there are often many “incorrect choices” in our decisions • A more realistic objective for selection seems to be: • Minimizing the probability of making an incorrect selection • How? • I hope you will get some insights at the end of this class
Outline • In Personnel selection I • The basic concepts • Measurement errors • Reliability • In Personnel selection II • Validity • Selection tools • Letter of recommendation, ability tests, personality tests, interviews, handwriting analysis, etc.
Selection as prediction • I want to have employees with good performance • I cannot know their performance before hiring • I can just predict from applicants’ various characteristics • Some individuals are more likely to have better performance than others (remember the idea of individual differences)
What are the predictors • Any characteristics associated with individual differences • Age, gender, IQ, EQ, interpersonal skills, education level, openness, extroversion, academic performance, etc. • Some may be better predictors than others (more reliable and valid)
All selection methods are to measure these characteristics and the associations between these characteristics with different aspects of performance • Selection individual characteristics performance • Tools predictors performance
Two major issues in selection • How consistent is the prediction (reliability) • How well is the prediction (validity) • Is it really measuring what it is supposed to measure?
An example of a good and a bad predictor Job Performance Job Performance Y Y Academic Results Interview’s rating Which one has positive relationship with job performance?
Measurement errors • Please answer questions 1 and 2
Measurement errors • Error is not equal to mistake • Error is a kind of inaccuracy and variability • Error can be reduced if the measuring device is precise, but it cannot be completely eliminated
Observed score = • True score + systematic errors + random errors • Systematic errors • A constant is added to every measure • Observed score = True score + constant • Random errors • A random value is added to every measure • The random values are normally distributed, with mean = 0 • Observed score = True score + random value
Sources of errors • Systematic errors • Basic characteristics of the measuring device • Random errors • Physical • Temperature, humanity, loudness, brightness, etc. • Psychological • Fatigue, motivation, adaptation to new environments • Sampling error • domain sampling model
Reliability (可靠度) • Definition • (Textbook) The consistency of scores obtained by the same person when retested with the identical or equivalent tests
Measurement errors and reliability • Which kind of errors, systematic or random, may affect the reliability of a measurement?
The purpose of testing • Assessing individual difference • The influence of systematic errors on this purpose is, everyone’s score is biased by a constant. The relative performance is unchanged • Low T always gets low X, and high T always gets high X • The influence of random errors: • Low T may obtain high X, and high T may obtain low X • The probability of Low T getting high X increases as random error increases
What is a reliable measurement? • A test that can truly reflect the “True score” is claimed as a reliable test • For a perfectly reliable test • The correlation between the true score (T) and the observed score (X) is 1 • X can be fully accounted by T • For a perfectly unreliable test • The correlation between T and X is 0 • T accounts for nothing about X
Tests that are relatively free of measurement (random) errors are deemed to be reliable • There is much less concern with systematic errors • The term “errors” usually refers to random errors
Which one is more reliable? • Tests that are relatively free of measurement random errors are deemed to be reliable • Reliability refers to consistency of measurement or repeatability
Methods measuring reliability • Test-retest • Parallel/alternate forms • Split half • Alpha (internal consistency)
How do you interpret this picture? • Please tell me a story about the picture • Is this test reliable? • Why?
Conclusion • I’ve asked: • A more realistic objective for selection seems to be: • Minimizing the probability of making an incorrect selection • How? • Step 1:Using test with high reliability • Checking the reliability before and after using • I’ll discuss the other step about “validity” in next lesson