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Optimising Capacity and Competence ISMOR August 2002

Optimising Capacity and Competence ISMOR August 2002. Dr Craig Smith, Head of Capability Analysis, MBDA (UK). Scope. Competence and Technical Risk Capacity and Operational Risk Capability - System of Systems Developing the requirements and the solution Smart Acquisition opportunities

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Optimising Capacity and Competence ISMOR August 2002

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  1. Optimising Capacity and CompetenceISMOR August 2002 Dr Craig Smith, Head of Capability Analysis, MBDA (UK)

  2. Scope • Competence and Technical Risk • Capacity and Operational Risk • Capability - System of Systems • Developing the requirements and the solution • Smart Acquisition opportunities • Summary

  3. Capability Options Competence (1) • The ability to meet a technical requirement • Thresholds • Black or white, or shades of gracefully degrading grey

  4. Surveillance Engagement Command Option 1 Option 2 Flexibility Mobility Survivability Support Competence (2) • Trade-offs between different levels of competence • Technical risk is associated with the level of competence • focus for risk reduction/ technology demonstrators

  5. Capacity • The quantity of equipment/ men/ systems • The force mix between components of the total system • “Soft” • measured in scenarios • thresholds are assumption dependent • how much operational risk can be tolerated? • Where is the risk reduction for operational risk • exercises? • testing of tactics/ CONOPS?

  6. DOCTRINE Capability B Capability C CONOPS Organisation C4I STAR Architecture Fuzzy Boundaries Portfolio of complementary systems Support & training concept Support philosophy The Total System of Systems • Optimise total capability not individual systems

  7. Potential elements of EIAD Key questions • How many systems? • Overlap • Synergy • Complementarity • Co-ordination • Architecture MSAM GB Sensors BMD VSHORAD BMC4I AirborneSensors SHORAD FighterAircraft

  8. URD BoI CapacityHow much of it CompetenceHow well do we do the task Range - depends on density 1000 or 2000 missiles Bad weather performance Architecture Platform numbers Requires iteration to get the trade-off right Competence & Capacity Capability • Need to work competence and capacity together as part of the same study

  9. Decision Systems Engineering Process Identify & Challenge Boundaries Ensure these are Underlying Needs Explore the Problem Capture Requirements Propose Total System Options Analyse Innovate - Cost Reduction - Synergy - Modularity Broad Consideration of Measures of Comparison

  10. Developing the requirements and the solution • Complex problems require iteration • too difficult to get requirements right first time • impact can only be determined by a view of solutions • interdependence of competence and capability • need to perform trade-off studies • Allow for evolution / incremental acquisition • in the threat, and in the responding systems • balance goals with affordable steps

  11. Smart Acquisition Opportunities • Partnership between MoD and Industry • Allows each analysis community to share their insights • industry to provide insight how requirements affect cost and technical risk • Dstl to provide insight into campaign issues and operational risk • Expose the high level trade-offs in capability, cost and risk

  12. Summary • Competence and capacity together drive many key system requirements • Applying systems engineering to the whole problem can provide the optimised solution • Optimisation of the capability must address both capacity and competence within the same study • Do it SMART - analysts of the UK unite!

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