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Examination of Drug Related Data: Economic Factors and Potential Causes in Changes

Examination of Drug Related Data: Economic Factors and Potential Causes in Changes. Cecilia Hegamin-Younger, Ph.D Associate Professor St. George’s University School of Medicine Department of Public Health and Preventive Medicine. Why Data?. Drives decisions Informs Policies

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Examination of Drug Related Data: Economic Factors and Potential Causes in Changes

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  1. Examination of Drug Related Data: Economic Factors and Potential Causes in Changes Cecilia Hegamin-Younger, Ph.D Associate Professor St. George’s University School of Medicine Department of Public Health and Preventive Medicine

  2. Why Data? Drives decisions Informs Policies Monitor, Track & Evaluate Proactive

  3. Data Information Decisions

  4. Outline Background Economic situation Arrests & Conviction Data Types of Offences Data Recommendations Brief Demonstration of GIS

  5. Data: 1998-2008 • GRENDIN Statistical Indicators • Drug arrests • Types of offenses • Admission to Treatment units/facilities • Cia Factbook • Center of Statistics • International Monetary Fund

  6. References for Terms • GDP –A measure of a countries overall performance within the country • Purchasing Power • Income • Employment • Inflation – the rise in the general level of prices of goods and services • How far your money will go • Foreign Investment • External Resources creating jobs • Import of Goods • Dependence on external sources

  7. References (con’t) • Foreign Investment • External Resources creating jobs • Import of Goods • Dependence on external sources

  8. Economy • Labor Force (est. 2003) • Agriculture 5.4% • Bananas, citrus, avocado, root crops, sugar cane, maize, vegetables, cocoa, nutmeg • Industry 18% • Food & beverage, textiles, light assembly operations, construction • Services 76.6% • Tourism, education Taken from www.cia.gov

  9. Economy • Unemployment rate: 12.5% (est. 2000) • Population below poverty: 32% (est. 2000) • Transnational • Small scale cannabis cultivation • Lesser transshipment point for marijuana and cocaine • Taken from www.cia.gov

  10. Imports Food Manufactured goods Machinery Chemicals Fuels

  11. In General Developing a workforce to laborers Dependent on external materials High unemployment High poverty

  12. Statistical Indicators by Time

  13. Economic Trends of Drug Convictions by Age

  14. Trends 15 – 19 year olds • Trend • Decrease in foreign investment • Interpretation • Unskilled • Minimal qualifications • Trying to enter into a competitive job market

  15. Trends: 20 – 24 & 25 - 29 • Trend • Decrease in import of goods • Interpretation • Experimental and exploration ages • Limited external stimuli

  16. Trends: 35 – 39 • Trend • Decrease in GDP • Interpretation • Job loss due to economic conditions

  17. Trends: 40+ • Trend • Increase in foreign investment • Increase in GDP • Increase in GDP growth • Interpretation • Forced out of the labor market • Employers want younger workers

  18. Trends in Type of Offense

  19. Trends Possession of Marijuana • Trend • Increase in foreign investment • Increase GDP • Decrease import of goods • Implications • More disposable income

  20. Trends in Trafficking • Trends • Increase in GDP • Increase in foreign investment • Decrease import of goods • Implications • Reflects disposable income • Policing works (when increase in import of goods)

  21. Trends in Cultivation of Marijuana • Trend • Increase in inflation • Implications • Use of fertile land • Raw materials and food are being imported • Source of revenue

  22. Trends in Intent to Supply • Trend • Decrease import of goods • Increase GDP growth • Implications • More disposable income

  23. Trends in Cocaine Possession • Trends • Decrease import of goods • Implications • Trafficking increases

  24. Trends Drug distribution and use is related to the economy All age groups reflect different economic factors Reflects workforce training

  25. Limitation Does not reflect consumer behavior Examination of trends using external sources of data

  26. Grenada is at risk to drugs High poverty level High unemployment rate Geographic location Imposing of taxes No big industry

  27. What is not Known The impact of drugs on society Drug use and abuse information Impact of alcohol In depth examination of who, what, when where and why Effect of cultural acceptance

  28. What’s Next? • Expand the data that are collected and reported • Ask: what do we want to know? • Include data on: • Employment/unemployment • Enrollment of vocational training • Secondary school dropout • Accidents involving drugs (i.e. automobile) • Use emerging technology to improve tracking

  29. Emerging Technology Free Geographic Information System (GIS) tools for tracking and monitoring Google.maps.com Many-eyes.com

  30. Benefits Geographically represent locations of various activity Impact of policy & programs Include spatial context

  31. Questions?

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