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Outline. IntroductionForward Curves in the Debt MarketConstructing Forward CurvesCost of Carry RelationshipForward Price Bounds for EnergiesSeasonality in PricesForward Curves in the Electricity MarketArbitrage Pricing ApproachThe Econometric ApproachThe Spot Price Modeling Approach. Introd
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1. Book Review: Energy Derivatives: Pricing & Risk Management, Clewlow L., Strickland C., 2000Chapter 4: Energy Forward Curves Li Xu
“Lunch at Lab” Talk
Department of Mathematics & Statistics
University of Calgary
2. Outline Introduction
Forward Curves in the Debt Market
Constructing Forward Curves
Cost of Carry Relationship
Forward Price Bounds for Energies
Seasonality in Prices
Forward Curves in the Electricity Market
Arbitrage Pricing Approach
The Econometric Approach
The Spot Price Modeling Approach
3. Introduction The forward curve contains information about the prices an investor can lock into today for different times in the future.
Forward prices are also the key inputs to many derivative pricing models (See Chapter 8).
Further discussion can be found in Gabillon (1995), Humphreys and Shimko (1997) and Leong (1997).
4. Market Forward Curves