1 / 27

Labour Supply by Occupation: Available Data and Their Use in Quebec

Labour Supply by Occupation: Available Data and Their Use in Quebec. Richard Legris, Emploi-Québec Alain Rousseau, Quebec department of education, recreation and sport (MELS in French) Workshop on Labour Supply by Occupation FLMM-LMI Work Group October 17 and 18, 2007, Vancouver.

owen-ramsey
Download Presentation

Labour Supply by Occupation: Available Data and Their Use in Quebec

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Labour Supply by Occupation: Available Data and Their Use in Quebec Richard Legris, Emploi-Québec Alain Rousseau, Quebec department of education, recreation and sport (MELS in French) Workshop on Labour Supply by Occupation FLMM-LMI Work Group October 17 and 18, 2007, Vancouver

  2. Presentation Outline • A few remarks about Emploi-Québec and how vocational and technical training is organized in Quebec • Occupational outlook - estimated demand • Training-employment balance - managing supply to demand • Meshing data on labour supply and demand: presentation of the health sector model

  3. Structure of Emploi-Québec • Government agency – part of the Quebec department of education, recreation and sports (Ministère de l’Éducation, des Loisirs et du Sport du Québec – MELS) - employment services to the public / social solidarity services • Major role of labour market partnerships: a labour market partners board (Commission des partenaires du marché du travail – CPMT), regional boards (17) and sectoral committees (30) • Decentralized management: 17 regional boards and approximately 145 local employment centres (CLEs) and delivery points • In 2005-2006: • A budget of approximately $1 billion for the workforce and employers (not including last-resort funding of $2.7 billion) • 259,000 individuals received employability assistance • 128,000 Quebecers obtained employment through Emploi-Québec

  4. Vocational and Technical Training in Qubec • 70 school boards offer vocational training: • 142 programs leading to a vocational diploma (DEP) • 26 programs leading to an Attestation of Vocational Specialization (AVS or ASP in French) • 30 short basic programs leading to a vocational studies certificate (AEP) • 48 general and vocational colleges (CÉGEPs) offer technical training: • 114 programs leading to a college diploma (DEC) • Over 1,000 basic programs leading to an attestation of collegial studies (AEC in French)

  5. Programs of study linked directly to the needs of the labour market and of individuals through training design based on: • a skills-oriented approach (APC in French) • … ensuring that programs of study correspond more closely with labour market requirements (qualitative component) • and actual labour requirements, • thereby ensuring a balance between the training supply and labour market needs in terms of structure and anticipated growth (quantitative component).

  6. Occupational Outlook in Quebec • In Quebec, 16 economic regions and the CMAs of Montreal and Quebec City • Five-year projections for approx. 500 occupations • Prospective analysis supported by a labour market watch and the participation of our partners • Reviewed annually

  7. The Quebec Labour Market • Drop in the unemployment rate (supply) • Aging workforce • Working-age population (aged 15 to 64) will start to decline in 2012 • Effective balancing is increasingly important

  8. Occupational Outlook: Characteristics • 520 occupations: uniformity of method • Similar occupations that follow different courses of training: supply that is not evident in one occupational area will surface in another • Capacity to meet labour market needs is limited by available supply

  9. Labour Demand: The Starting Point... • The Conference Board’s macro scenario • Estimated labour needs by sector (market expansion) • Estimated needs by occupation (market expansion) • Replacement needs (retirement and mobility between occupations) • Total demand by occupation

  10. Labour Supply: Hiring Capacity • Difficulty to produce a forecast for each occupation under study • Option selected: estimate of the supply at the beginning of the time period (estimated unemployment rate by occupation) • Verification by means of EI recipient data • MELS: important input concerning the latest supply of graduates

  11. Labour Market Watch - Objectives • To chart the progress of occupations and corresponding training programs where placement problems are encountered at either the regional level or in Quebec as a whole • To find solutions to these problems where training is just one of many strategies • To involve partners other than the MELS and Emploi-Québec in solving the problems identified • To be able to produce regular updates on the training-employment balance for the principal (critical) occupations identified in a given region

  12. Active Labour Market Watch SUPPLY WATCH DEMAND WATCH Recipients of Employment Assistance and Insurance Analysis of labour market trends Employment outlook Labour force and unemployment rate Analysis of economic and structural conditions Recent and future graduates Demographic evolution Occupations in demand Immigration Hiring surveys (La Relance) Online placement - job vacancies Indicators (regions and Quebec as a whole)

  13. Active Labour Market Watch Diagnosis of Labour Needs Indicators (regions and Quebec as a whole) Action (regions and Quebec as a whole) Immigration Emploi-Québec Education • Course content map • Promotion and validation • Training-employment balance • Alignment plan • Action plan • LMI • Promotion and validation • …

  14. The Training-Employment Balance Use of a diagnostic tool that allows us to determine the number of individuals that need to be trained to ensure that a sufficient quantity of skilled workers is available in every region of Quebec

  15. The Model for Training-Employment Balance • - based on the linkage between training programs and occupations (NOC) • - based on the estimated labour and labour replacement needs specified in Emploi-Québec’s occupational outlooks for 2007-2011 • - takes into account student behaviour with respect to qualifications and the pursuit of higher learning

  16. Planning for Labour in the Health Sector A study conducted by the Quebec department of health and social services (MSSS) and its partners to: • determine the actual situation in each occupation • forecast the size of the labour force over 15 years • define recruitment requirements • reach agreement with partners on possible components of an action plan

  17. An example of integration: supply demand Health Sector DEMAND Departures: retirement, death, resignation Initial workforce Need for recruitment Initial shortage or surplus Annual growth rate - needs Education Network Labour requirements Graduation rate Graduates’ participation rate Need for entrants SUPPLY Expected number of graduates Demographic forecasts Actual entrants

  18. Thank you very much for your attention!! Questions, comments …

  19. APPENDIX

  20. QUEBEC’S EDUCATIONAL SYSTEM: Overall structure Continuous Training DEP 16 yrs old + first language (1L), 2L and level-3 math for certain programs Vocational Training DEP : 600 to 1,800 hrs ASP : 330 to 900 hrs Doctorate Master ’s Undergraduate (3 - 4 yrs) or 16 yrs old + 1L, 2L and level-4 math for certain programs DEP DEC D.E.S. 1re 2 e 3e 4 e 5 e DEC Technical Training (3 years) D.E.S. Prechool - 1 year long (age 5) Secondary - 5 years (age 12-17) Pre-university Training (2 years) DEC University Primary - 6 years (6-12) College Labour Market Specialized Trades Technology Professions

  21. Active Watch Data Available Labour: • Results by occupation for Emploi-Québec’s occupational outlook model for the regions and Quebec as a whole • occupations in demand for the regions and Quebec as a whole Education: • Number of enrolments per vocational and technical program for the regions and Quebec as a whole • Diplomas awarded by program for the regions and Quebec as a whole • Course content map • LaRelance (hiring surveys) • NOC correspondence chart - training programs • Projected graduation numbers

More Related