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INCREASING FLOOD RISK IN THE CITY OF LONDON. An overview of the human and physical processes driving hydrological change. THE HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE. Natural surfaces promote infiltration , throughflow and a lower flood risk
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INCREASING FLOOD RISK IN THE CITY OF LONDON An overview of the human and physical processes driving hydrological change
THE HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE • Natural surfaces promote infiltration, throughflow and a lower flood risk • Urbanisation brings impermeable surfaces, overland flow and a higher flood risk for rivers
DECREASING URBAN PERMEABILITY • In cities like London, home-owners are paving over their gardens or adding decking • They are following fashion trends or creating parking space • In London, an area of gardens 22 times larger than Hyde Park has been lost • This makes the response of the Thames flashier and increases the fluvial flood risk; it also creates pluvial flooding problems Source: www.cmhc-schl.ga.ca
THE HYDROLOGICAL IMPACT • Urbanisation reduces the storm hydrograph lag time • It also increases the peak discharge • Rivers are more likely to reach bankfull discharge • This increases the fluvial flood risk
THE INCREASED PLUVIAL RISK • Pluvial flooding causes places to become submerged in water, even when they are not near a river or coastline • High-intensity rainfall and impermeable surfaces combine to create temporary lakes in areas where the local topography allows for depression storage
CLIMATE CHANGE & STORM SURGES • London is at risk from a further type of flooding: storm surges can push unusually high levels of sea water up the Thames estuary • Climate change is bringing increased storm activity & higher sea-levels • London is sinking at 1mm a year due to isostatic change • The Thames Flood Barrier is “holding the line” – for now
CLIMATE CHANGE & RIVER FLOODS • Elsewhere in the UK, there is evidence of increased extremeweatherevents causing different types of flooding • The village of Boscastle suffered a major flash flood in 2004 • Pluvial flooding caused £3 billion losses in the UK in 2007
LONDON AT RISK • The River Thames brings many site advantages for London • However, it brings multiple flood risks • These risks are set to increase over time, while the value of assets and population numbers keep rising – meaning disasterpotential is rising
LONDON AT RISK Photograph & image credits: CGIS, www.cmhc-schl.ga.ca, www.bae.ncsu.edu, Flickr user gluemoon, D Ashton, Mark Saltern, Flickr user Foshie, Environment Agency, Geography in the News.