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SRM Scenario. St. Augustine, FL to Washington, D.C. Pre Flight. St. Augustine, FL to Washington, D.C. Weather Information METAR for KSGJ 25 1700Z 27010KT 10SM CLR 12/7 A2995 RMK A01 TAF for KSGJ 251800Z 251818 2505KT 10SM FEW 0500 METAR for KIAD 25 1700Z 3105KT 3SM BKN 020 00/M14 A2990
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SRM Scenario St. Augustine, FL to Washington, D.C.
Pre Flight • St. Augustine, FL to Washington, D.C. • Weather Information • METAR for KSGJ 25 1700Z 27010KT 10SM CLR 12/7 A2995 RMK A01 • TAF for KSGJ 251800Z 251818 2505KT 10SM FEW 0500 • METAR for KIAD 25 1700Z 3105KT 3SM BKN 020 00/M14 A2990 • TAF for KIAD 251800Z 251818 3305KT 3SM BKN 010 • Area Forecast • Occasional light turbulence, negative icing, and improving ceilings and visibilities as the cold front moves south
Pre Flight • St. Augustine, FL to Washington, D.C. • Background Information • Pilot/Owner SR 22 (PFD/TKS/Datalink Weather/Traffic) • Just completed recurrent training • Leaving SGJ Sunday afternoon with two business associates • One is a friend • One you've not met before • All three meeting at FAA HQ Monday Morning at 0900 • VFR at SGJ, MVFR IAD, MVFR en route • GPS database is not current
SRM Quiz • Pre Flight • 5P’s • What are the risk factors? • What do we know that will help? • What don’t we know that may help? • What can we do to improve our situation? • Abort or Continue?
Pre-Takeoff • Engine shows 1 quart lower than you expected • A friend asks you to carry an additional 100 lb • Clearance delivery gives you an IFR ATC ground hold for 30 minutes • Landing Light is inoperative • Passenger No 2 is quiet and makes several trips to the rest room but is very positive about the trip • 5P’s • What are the risk factors? • What do we know that will help? • What don’t we know that may help? • What can we do to improve our situation? • Abort or Continue?
CHS – One Hour After Takeoff • In clear at 9000 • Cloud tops are at 8000 • FSS - SDZ Special Weather 500-2 at 2045Z • IAD 1500-3 at 2007Z • United flight is holding over SBV • Oil Temp is down 3 degrees • Oil Pressure is up 2 lbs • Jacksonville Center directs a new routing direct --- --- flight planned route and asks you to descend to 7000
SDZ – Two Hours After takeoff • Groundspeed is down 10 knots from planned • ATC assigns new route clearance V373 GSO V266 SBV Flight Planned Route • ATC requests an altitude change. Your choice of 7000’ or 11,000’. Temp at 7000’ is 4 C and temp at 11,000’ is 1 C. • Winds aloft at 11000 – headwind of 10 kts and at 7000 – headwind of 25 kts What are the risks now? What are we going to do about it?
SBV • Washington Center reports a radar outage and asks you to report the next intersection • Back seat passenger asks “are we there yet?” • Oil Pressure up one more lb and temp down 2 degrees • You notice the autopilot is having more trouble maintaining wings level and is appears less stable in pitch • Becoming dark outside and you are in and out of the clouds Have the risks changed? Has our plan changed?
GVE – Start Descent • ATC advises to report FLUKY for resumption of ATC services • Front seat passenger says they feel tired and queasy • Back seat passenger is very quiet but asks several times if everything is OK • ATC requests reporting over Fluky for an approach into IAD • ATIS report active runway is 19L, expect vectors to the ILS and sequencing around heavy jet traffic. • After the altitude change, ice begins to form on the windshield. • Oil pressure is up 2 more lbs and oil temp is down 5 degrees What are the risks now? What are we going to do about it?
Fluky - IAF • ATC radar back in service • NX 211 expect vectors to runway 19R, you are number four for the runway behind heavy jet traffic, what speed can you maintain on final? • Autopilot is very sloppy now and seems unable to maintain heading or altitude, airspeed has dropped 20 knots What is my physical and emotional state? Is it too late to change the plan? What are the risks now?
On the approach • ATC loses radar again • ATC assigns you a full VOR approach to another runway • After established outbound on the VOR approach, you recheck fuel • Passenger tells you they really need to use the bathroom • More ice on leading edge of wings • Do you declare an emergency? • Where do you land?