Connecting Higher Education with the Future of Louisiana

1. Connecting Higher Education with the Future of Louisiana Postsecondary Education Review Commission Baton Rouge, Louisiana August 10, 2009

2. Educational Attainment & Rank Among StatesLouisiana 2007 (percent) Rank 45 Rank 47 Rank 50 Rank 47 Rank 48 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2007 American Community Survey.

3. $30,000 High Income, Low Educational Attainment High Income, High Educational Attainment CT State New Economy Index (2002) Top Tier Middle Tier NJ Low Tier MA MD $25,000 CO VA NH NY DE MN IL WA CA AK Personal Income Per Capita, 2000 NV MI RI US FL HI WI GA OH OR PA VT KS IN NC AZ $20,000 MO IA ME NE TX TN WY SC AL UT KY ND ID OK SD NM MT LA AR WV MS Low Income, Low Educational Attainment Low Income, High Educational Attainment $15,000 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher Relationship Between Educational Attainment, Personal Income, and Economic Strength

4. $50,000 1980 $43,000 $36,000 AK Personal Income Per Capita CT $29,000 CA NV WY NJ HI MD NY IL CO WA DE MA MN VA US OR PA MI OH WI KS FL NH RI TX IA AZ OK IN MO $22,000 NE MT LA VT UT ID GA ME NM TN NC WV Correlation = 0.64 KY SD ND AL SC AR MS $15,000 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with Bachelor’s Degrees Educational Attainment and Income Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census’ and American Community Survey

5. $50,000 1990 $43,000 CT NJ $36,000 NY MA MD AK Personal Income Per Capita HI CA DE IL NH VA NV MN RI WA CO PA FL $29,000 US OH MI KS WI WY NE OR VT MO GA IN IA ME NC AZ TX TN OK SD ND SC AL ID MT KY LA UT NM $22,000 WV AR MS Correlation = 0.76 $15,000 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with Bachelor’s Degrees Educational Attainment and Income Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census’ and American Community Survey

6. $50,000 2000 CT NJ $43,000 MA NY MD CO NH CA MN IL $36,000 WA VA DE NV AK US PA Personal Income Per Capita RI MI FL WY WI HI OH OR GA TX KS VT NE MO IN NC IA ME TN SD $29,000 AZ ND SC OK KY UT ID AL LA MT NM WV AR MS $22,000 Correlation = 0.80 $15,000 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with Bachelor’s Degrees Educational Attainment and Income Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census’ and American Community Survey

7. $50,000 2005 CT NJ MA $43,000 MD NY NH CO MN VA WY DE CA IL $36,000 NV AK WA RI PA US HI FL WI NE KS VT SD OR MI TX OH IA Personal Income Per Capita ND MO IN NC GA ME TN AZ OK AL $29,000 MT SC ID KY NM UT AR WV MS LA $22,000 Correlation = 0.83 $15,000 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with Bachelor’s Degrees Educational Attainment and Income Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census’ and American Community Survey

8. Increasing Levels of Education Attainment Leads to Improved Societal Outcomes • Increased levels of workforce participation • Decreased rates of incarceration • Improved health outcomes • Reduced participation in Medicaid and other social service programs • Greater participation in artistic, cultural, and civic pursuits • Higher levels of volunteerism and social engagement

9. Percent of Civilians Age 25-64 Not Participating in the Workforce by Education Attainment, 2005 U.S.Louisiana Less than High School 37.0 44.1 High School 24.7 28.5 Some College 21.0 23.1 Associate Degree 17.4 20.8 Bachelor’s Degree 16.5 15.6 Graduate/Prof. Degree 13.9 12.6

10. Percent of Adult Population with at Least a Baccalaureate Degree, 2000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

11. Louisiana Per Capita Personal Income, 2004 $18,248 - $21,176 $21,177 - $24,104 $24,105 - $27,032 $27,033 - $29,960 $29,961 - $32,886 Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis Census, 2004

12. Percent of Total Gross State Product by Industry and Comparison to U.S. Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce

13. Employment in High-Technology Establishments as Share of Total Employment by State, 2004 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Corporation for Enterprise Development (CFED)

14. 253,287 Projected Change in Louisiana Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity, 2006-25 (in Thousands) 102,927 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

15. Difference in Education Attainment Between Whites and African Americans(2006, Percent)

16. If all racial/ethnic groups had same educational attainment, annual personal income in Louisiana would be $10 BILLION higher! Louisiana Population With Bachelor’s Degree Source: Measuring Up 2008: The National Center for Public Policy in Higher Education

17. Louisiana in a National & International Context

18. Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher by Age Group - Louisiana, U.S. & Leading OECD Countries Source: OECD, Education at a Glance 2008

19. Educational Needs Index

20. State Scores on the Overall Educational Needs Index Most Critical Critical Less Critical Least Critical South Dakota Maine Vermont Iowa Hawaii Minnesota Connecticut Massachusetts New Hampshire North Dakota New York Wisconsin Rhode Island Pennsylvania Maryland Montana Wyoming New Jersey Nebraska Ohio Colorado Delaware Kansas Washington District of Columbia Virginia

21. Educational Needs Index - Louisiana

22. Percent of Population Age 25-64 with an Associate Degree or Higher, 2006 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS

23. For Every 100 9th Graders in Louisiana Source: NCHEMS

24. B B B B B B B B B 57 Students Graduate from High School B B B B b Source: NCHEMS

25. 38 Students Enter CollegeWithin 2 Years B B B B B B B B B B Source: NCHEMS

26. 14 Students Earn a Degree in 6 Years B B B B B B B B B B Source: NCHEMS

27. Of 100 9th Graders, How Many… Student Pipeline, 2006 Sources: (1) Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity; Chance for College by Age 19. (2) NCES, IPEDS 2006 Retention Rate File and 2006 Graduation Rate File. (3) U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 American Community Survey.

28. High School Graduation Rates - Public High School Graduates as a Percent of 9th Graders Four Years Earlier, 2006 Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity

29. High School Students Graduating With CORE Percent • From 2003 to 2006, number of high school graduates reported in STS: • declined by 4,245 or 9.4% • those completing the core increased by 941 or 3.7% Source: STS Public and Private HS, September of Graduation Year

30. College-Going Rates—First-Time Freshmen Directly Out of High School as a Percent of Recent High School Graduates, 2006 Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity

31. Louisiana Public Sector – First-Time Undergraduates Directly Out of HighSchool as a Percent of High School Graduates, 2006-08 Annual Average Public 4Yr Public 2Yr, CC LTC Louisiana = 56.5 Sources: Louisiana Board of Regents. Louisiana Dept. of Education. Note: High school graduates not available for 2008. High school graduates for Orleans Parish for 2007 only (2006 affected by hurricane).

32. Louisiana Public 4-Year Sector – First-Time Undergraduates Directly Out ofHigh School as a Percent of High School Graduates, 2006-08 Annual Average Louisiana = 42.1 Sources: Louisiana Board of Regents. Louisiana Dept. of Education. Note: High school graduates not available for 2008. High school graduates for Orleans Parish for 2007 only (2006 affected by hurricane).

33. Louisiana Public 2-Year/CC Sector – First-Time Undergraduates Directly Out of High School as a Percent of High School Graduates, 2006-08 Annual Average Louisiana = 12.1 Sources: Louisiana Board of Regents. Louisiana Dept. of Education. Note: High school graduates not available for 2008. High school graduates for Orleans Parish for 2007 only (2006 affected by hurricane).

34. Louisiana Technical College Sector – First-Time Undergraduates Directly Out of High School as a Percent of High School Graduates, 2006-08 Annual Average Louisiana = 2.3 Sources: Louisiana Board of Regents. Louisiana Dept. of Education. Note: High school graduates not available for 2008. High school graduates for Orleans Parish for 2007 only (2006 affected by hurricane).

35. First Time Freshmen Enrollment Trends in Louisiana Public Postsecondary Education

36. Undergraduate FTE Enrollment by Sector (2006-07)

37. Average ACT Scores of First-Time Freshmen Source: Board of Regents

38. Developmental Education, Four-Year Institutions Percent of First Time Freshmen enrolled in Developmental Education courses at 4-year institutions. Source: Board of Regents

39. United States Louisiana Undergraduate Credentials & Degrees Awarded at All Colleges per 1,000 Adults Age 18-44 with No College Degree, 2006 58.7 33.5 14.7 Source: NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey 2005-06; U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS

40. Bachelor’s Degrees Awarded at All Colleges per 1,000 Adults Age 18-44 with No College Degree, 2006 Source: NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey 2005-06; U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS

41. Associate Degrees Awarded at All Colleges per 1,000 Adults Age 18-44 with No College Degree, 2006 Source: NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey 2005-06; U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS

42. Certificates & Diplomas Awarded at All Colleges per 1,000 Adults Age 18-44 with No College Degree, 2006 Source: NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey 2005-06; U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS

43. Return on Investment Degrees Awarded (Public Institutions) Source: Board of Regents

44. Adult Education & LiteracyTarget Populations as a Percentage of All Adults Age 18-64, 2005 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS; PUMSNote: Incarcerated population not separated out.

45. 40.1 Enrollment of Residents Age 25-49 as a Percentage of those Residents with a High School Diploma but No College, 2005 Source: NCES, IPEDS Enrollment Survey; U.S. Census Bureau 2005 ACS

46. For LouisianaTo Reach International Competitiveness by 2025 55% of Population Age 25-64 with College Degrees

47. Educational Attainment in Louisiana (Percent) Current, in 2025 with current degree production, and best-performing countries in 2025

48. Reaching Top Performance by 2025 (55%) Louisiana 1,259,349 Number of Individuals to Match Best-Performing Countries (55%) 340,337 Number of Individuals (Age 25-44) Who Already Have Degrees 919,012 Additional Degree Production Needed (2005 to 2025) 544,560 Degrees Produced at Current Annual Rate of Production -101,097 Additional Residents with College Degrees from Net Migration 475,549 Additional Degrees Needed 23,777 Additional Degrees Needed per Year (currently produce 27,228 in all Sectors) 108.5% Increase in Annual Associate and Bachelor’s Degree Production Needed (in Public Sector Only)

49. How Can Louisiana Reach International Competitiveness? Current Degree Production Combined with Population Growth and Migration and Improved Performance on the Student Pipeline Measures Degrees Produced 2005-25 with Current Rate of Production Additional Degrees from Population Growth Additional Degrees from Net Migration of College-Educated Residents Reaching Best Performance in High School Graduation Rates by 2025 Reaching Best Performance in College-Going Rates by 2025 Reaching Best Performance in Rates of Degree Production per FTE Student Total Degrees Produced 2005-25 If All of the Above Degrees Needed to Meet Best Performance (55%) Pipeline is cumulative Source: 2005 ACS, PUMS

50. 1,333,645 893,504 Even Best Performance with Traditional College-Age Students at Each Stage of the Educational Pipeline Will Leave Gaps in More than 30 States In order to reach international competitiveness by 2025, the U.S. and 32 states cannot close the gap with even best performance with traditional college students. They must rely on the re-entry pipeline—getting older adults back into the education system and on track to attaining college degrees.