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III/08/653: BIOMASS FUTURES: 'Availability of sustainable biomass: demand & supply issues'. Uwe Fritsche, Oeko-Institut Calliope Panoutsou, Imperial College. contents. BIOMASS FUTURES project Biomass potentials web tool Contacts and more info. Partners.
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III/08/653: BIOMASS FUTURES: 'Availability of sustainable biomass: demand & supply issues' Uwe Fritsche, Oeko-Institut Calliope Panoutsou, Imperial College
contents • BIOMASS FUTURES project • Biomass potentials web tool • Contacts and more info
Partners • Imperial College London (CEP/IC, UK) • International Systems of Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA, AT) • Centre for Renewable Energy Sources (CRES, GR) • Oeko-Institut, Institute for Applied Ecology (Oeko, DE) • Energy Research Centre of the Netherlands (ECN, NL) • Alterra b.v. (NL) • Institute for European Environmental Policy (IEEP, UK) • Insitute of Communication and Computer Systems/ E3M Lab (ICCS, GR) 3
BIOMASS FUTURES workplan Dec 2011 June 2009 4 www.biomassfutures.eu
APPROACH – with regard to potentials • Segment EU27 plus AT, DE, GR, NL, UK markets for heat, electricity-CHP and transport in terms of users, size • Define key factors influencing biomass uptake and quantify demand for biomass in the 2010- 2030 time period • Analyse supply trends for residual (agricultural & forest) feedstocks as well as for 4F crops • Develop linkages to well established models, harmonise data and assumptions and refine spatial resolution • Summarize sustainability criteria and indicators going beyond RED requirements, especially for indirect land use, air, water, soil and social issues. The summary will be validated through a stakeholder communication/ interaction process and feed into EC activities in this field. 5
BIOMASS FUTURES will define & quantify biomass supply under different demands from heat, electricity & CHP and transport sectors (including conflict factors among them) Availability Waste and by-products Cropped biomass Conventional crops Potential maps Supply maps Residual biomass 4F crops Theoretical potential Demand analysis Species Management Sustainability Policy Forest biomass Energy crops Competitive economic potential Synergies and trade-offs Externalities Modeling supply Technical potential “Environmental” potential Economic potential Sustainability WP 4 WP 5 Energy modeling Stakeholder consultation Implementation potential WP 6
AIM: Assist officials at national level get information on biomass potentials for the preparation/ update of NREAPs Review the main biomass potential studies performed at national, EU27 and global levels (web tool- online end of April) Make an inventory of the main biomass resource assessment studies performed in the last 5 years (linked to BEE project www.eu-bee.com) CONCEPT
Biomass potentials at EY27 level : e.g. Types of potentials, all feedstocks
Key topics for future work • Combined evaluation of biomass as feedstock for all energy sectors (heat, electricity and transport). • Integrate the needs of bio-based materials & chemicals in existing modelling capabilities. • Work towards common datasets including European and international organisations/ institutes like EEA, JRC, IIASA, OECD, IEA, Eurostat, FAO, etc. This is expected to increase the credibility of data used by different modelling groups on issues like land area available, types of land use, trade in biofuels/energy, etc. • Assessment of future yield increases in relation to land and water inputs. • Trends in biomass conversion technologies, assumed technological learning curves and future technical efficiencies. • Expand environmental analysis beyond GHG balances to include water issues, soils, biodiversity. • Analysis of social and environmental externalities from bioenergy should be expanded to the other competing sectors – materials/chemicals, food and feed.
Thank you! Dr. Calliope Panoutsou (Project Coordinator) Centre for Environmental Policy Imperial College London c.panoutsou@imperial.ac.uk Uwe R. Fritsche, Energy & Climate Division Oeko-Institut u.fritsche@oeko.de More info: www.biomassfutures.eu