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Hydrological Cycle Laboratory

P.P. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, RAS. Hydrological Cycle Laboratory. Implementation of the project at IORAS. Sergey Gulev and Pavel Groisman IORAS (Moscow, Russia) and NOAA NCDC (Ashville, USA). Megagrant 14.B25.31.0026 of the Ministry of Education and

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Hydrological Cycle Laboratory

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  1. P.P. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, RAS Hydrological Cycle Laboratory Implementation of the project at IORAS Sergey Gulev and Pavel Groisman IORAS (Moscow, Russia) and NOAA NCDC (Ashville, USA) Megagrant 14.B25.31.0026 of the Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation HCLab

  2. Mid-latitudinal hydrological cycle: key processes and HCL structure Atmospheric dynamics and precipitation group Extratropical cyclones and atmospheric moisture transport Low-level baroclinicity and cyclone intensification Land hydrology group Ocean and air-sea interaction group Continental precipitation and its extremes Diabatic heating and evaporation Coastal processes and land-sea exchanges group Land-sea interactions Climate modelling group HCLab

  3. HCLab operational mode: Think globally, act regionally! Work packages WP-1. Ocean processes and ocean evaporation WP-2. Atmospheric moisture transports WP-3. Atmospheric precipitation, clustering, variability WP-4. Land surface hydrology and land processes WP-5. Land-sea interactions and exchanges WP-6. Climate projections of the hydrological cycle Tasks: Task 1. Components’ assessment (90+%) Task 2. Regional hydrological budgets for the past sixty years (90+%) Task 3. Projections of changes in hydrological cycle (75+%) Task 4. Human interactions with the hydrological cycle (50+%) Key-process and key-region studies (KPKRS) • Excessive water surplus events (KPKRS1 ~ 90%) • Wet/dry summers over European Russia (KPKRS2 ~ 85%) • Thresholds of the terrestrial hydrological cycle (KPSRS3 ~80%) • Aral Sea: anthropogenically altered hydrological cycle (KPSRS4 ~ 75%) • Arctic marginal seas in changing climate (KPSRS5 ~ 60%) • Black Sea water budget (KPSRS6 ~ 80%) HCLab

  4. Populating the lab – Total ~ 45 (+/-) By nation (except for RF): Belorussia: 1 Ukraine: 1 UK: 1 USA: 3 By institution: IORAS - 30 VNNIGMI - 1 IAPRAS – 2 GWU - 1 IWPRAS – 5 UCL – 1 MSU - 4 Bel-RHM – 1 By degree: MS Students: 8 PhD Students: 7 PhD: 13 DSc: 6 By field: Oceanography - 8 Ecology - 3 Meteorology – 7 Geography – 3 Hydrology – 5 Math - 2 By age: > 30 - 9 > 40 - 22 < 50 - 11 Newly / not newly hired: Newly - 14 Not newly – 31 HCLab

  5. Data sets and data server CMIP5 model data ~ 80TB Station data (daily, hourly ~ 20-30 TB Reanalyses ~ 70 TB HCLab

  6. Computer resources 3 systems: CRAY CN5600-XD Intel X5679 processors 8 processors 48 nodes 100 GB RAM 562 GFLOPs SUN 24 nodes 16 GM RAM SMP-multiprocessor WS 16 modes 150 GB RAM Storage: ~ 200 TB HCLab

  7. Mobile coastal hydrological lab (MCL)

  8. Publications Meredith, E.P., Semenov, V.A., Maraun, D., Park, W., Chernokulsky A.V. (2015) Crucial role of Black Sea warming in amplifying the 2012 Krymsk precipitation extreme. Nature Geosceince, 8, doi: 10.1038/NGEO2483. Zyulyaeva Y.A., I.I. Zveryaev, et al., 2015: Observations-based analysis of the summer temperature extremes in Moscow. Int. J. Climatol., doi: 10.1002/joc.4370. Zveryaev, I.I. Seasonal differences in intraseasonal and interannual variability of Mediterranean Sea surface temperature. J. Geophys. Res.- Oceans, 120, 2813-2825, doi:10.1002/2014JC010387. Semenov V.A. and Latif M. (2015) Nonlinear winter atmospheric circulation response to Arctic sea ice concentration anomalies for different periods during 1966–2012. Environ. Res. Lett. 10, 054020, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/054020. Bulygina, O.N., N. M Arzhanova, P. Ya Groisman, 2015: Icing conditions over Northern Eurasia in changing climate. Environ. Res. Lett., 10, 025003 Gelfan A., Semenov V.A., Gusev E., Motovilov Y., Nasonova O., Krylenko I., 2015: Large-basin hydrological response to climate model outputs: uncertainty caused by internal atmospheric variability. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19, 2737–2754, doi:10.5194/hess-19-2737-2015. Kravtsov, S., I. Rudeva, S. K. Gulev, 2015: Reconstructing sea-level pressure variability via a feature tracking approach. J. Atmos. Sci., 72, 487-505, DOI:10.1175/JAS-D-14-0169.1 Volosciuk, C., D. Maraun, V. A. Semenov, and W. Park, 2015: Extreme Precipitation in an Atmosphere General Circulation Model: Impact of Horizontal and Vertical Model Resolutions. J. Climate, 28, 1184–1205. Gelfan A.N., Semenov V.A., Motovilov, Yu.G., 2015: Climate noise effect on uncertainty of hydrological extremes: numerical experiments with hydrological and climate models. Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences, 369, 49–53, doi:10.5194/piahs-369-49-2015. Rudeva, I., S.K. Gulev, I. Simmonds and N. Tilinina, 2014: The sensitivity of characteristics of cyclone activity to identification procedures in tracking algorithms. Tellus A, 2014, 66, 24961, http://dx.doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v66.24961 HCLab

  9. Publications Groisman, P., S. Gulev, S. Maksyutov, 2014: Earth System Studies in Northern Eurasia. Eos, 95, No. 16, 133–140 Partasenok, I. S., P. Ya. Groisman, G. Chekan and V. Melnik, 2014: Winter cyclone frequency and following freshet streamflow formation on the rivers in Belarus. Environmental Research Letters, 9, N 9 Shiklomanov A.I. and R. B. Lammers (2014). River ice responses to a warming Arctic—recent evidence from Russian rivers. Environmental Research Letters, Vol.9, 035008 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/035008. Gelfan, A.; Motovilov, Yu.; Krylenko, I.; Moreido, V. & Zakharova, E. Testing robustness of the physically-based ECOMAG model with respect to changing conditions. Hydrological Sciences Journal. DOI:10.1080/02626667.2014.935780, 2014. Zolina, O., 2014: Multidecadal trends in the duration of wet spells and associated intensity of precipitation as revealed by very dense observational network. Env. Res. Lett., 9, 025003 Zolina, O., C. Simmer, A. Kapala, P. Shabanov, P. Becker, H. Mächel, S. Gulev, and P. Groisman, 2014: Precipitation Variability and Extremes in Central Europe: New View from STAMMEX Results. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95, 995–1002, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00134.1 Izhitskiy, A, P. Zavialov, 2014: On thermohaline structure and circulation of the Western Large Aral Sea from 2009 to 2011: Observations and modeling. Journal of Marine Systems, 129, 234-247 Korotenko, K.A., A.A. Osadchiev, P.O. Zavialov, R.C. Kao, and C.-F. Ding, 2014, Effects of bottom topography on dynamics of river discharges in tidal regions: Case study of twin plumes in Taiwan Strait, Ocean Sci., 10, 863-879, doi:10.5194/os-10-863-2014. Lockhoff, M., O. Zolina, C. Simmer, J. Schulz, 2014: Evaluation of satellite-retrieved extreme precipitation over Europe using gauge observations. J. Climate, 27, 607-623, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00194.1 Gusev, Ye., Nasonova, 2014: O. Application of a technique for scenario prediction of climate change impact on the water balance components of northern river basins. J. Hydrol. Hydromech., 62, 2014, 3, 197–208. DOI: 10.2478/johh-2014-0025 Tilinina, N., S. K. Gulev, D. Bromwich, 2014: New view of Arctic cyclone activity from the Arctic System reanalysis. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, doi: 10.1002/2013GL058924 HCLab

  10. Conference participation, Young scientists conferences and schools Major international topical conferences: Climate and Future Earth, GEWEX OSC, ESA-TIE Workshop, NASA Ocean Mission Workshop, OHC–CLIVAR-CDP (7 invited talks) Organizing special sessions at the AGU, EGU, and JpGU Annual Meetings (2013-2015, Groisman, Gulev – co-conveners) - altogether 7 sessions, about 15 talks from HCLab Organization or co-organization of the International Workshops with Young scientist training sessions in Tomsk, Barnaul, Prague (2014-2015) Organization of the Earth Science Session at the All-Russia Conference “Nauka Molodykh”, Sevastopol (Sep.-Oct. 2015) – Groisman to chair Organization or co-organization and lecturing at the Early Career Scientists’ Summer Schools in Yoshkar-Ola, Tomsk (2), Shepsi, Kislovodsk, Prague, Petrozavodsk, and Tashkent HCLab

  11. PhD students, PhD and DSci defenses 3 PhD and 2 DSci dissertations (2013-2015), 2 more PhD dissertationsare accepted for consideration already in 2015 9 PhD students, 5 MS students, including one of UCL Fund-rising • GREENICE (Arctic Council) • ARCTIC-ERA (BelmontFund) • исследовательская группа РНФ • 4 гранта РФФИ • TOTAL ~ 10 millions a year HCLab

  12. Web site and INTERNET resources www.hclab.ru HCLab

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