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The Keynesian System III: Policy Effects in the IS-LM Model. Professor Steve Cunningham Graduate Macroeconomics I ECON 309. Increasing the Money Supply. r. M s 0. M s 1. LM(M 0 ). r. LM(M 1 ). r 0. r 0. r 1. r 1. M d. IS. Y 1. Y 0. M. Increase in Gov’t Spending. r. IS(G 1 ).
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The Keynesian System III:Policy Effects in the IS-LM Model Professor Steve Cunningham Graduate Macroeconomics I ECON 309
Increasing the Money Supply r Ms0 Ms1 LM(M0) r LM(M1) r0 r0 r1 r1 Md IS Y1 Y0 M
Increase in Gov’t Spending r IS(G1) IS(G0) LM Recall that: Y = C + I + G + NX. When G then Y. r1 r0 Y1 Y0
P • NOTES: • G rises, increasing AD. • Employment and output result from AD increases. • Prices (P) also rise. • As prices rise, the real wages fall, making labor more attractive. • As more workers are employed, and unemployment falls. AS w0 AD AD2 AD1 AD0 w/p Y Y (w/p) N Nd Y=F(N,K) N
Increase in Taxes r IS(T0) IS(T1) LM LM Recall that: Y = C + I + G + NX. When T then Yd, and so must C and Y. r0 r1 Y0 Y1
Investment Falls r IS(I0) IS(I1) LM Recall that: Y = C + I + G + NX. When I then Y. r0 r1 Y0 Y1
P • NOTES: • Rising taxes or falling investment reduces AD. • Final sales and output (Y) fall. • As prices fall, the real wages rise, making labor more expensive to firms. • Firms require fewer workers to build products and find workers more expensive, so they lay off workers. • Unemployment rises. AS w0 AD AD0 AD1 AD2 w/p Y Y (w/p) N Nd Y=F(N,K) N
Monetary Policy Effectiveness r IS r LM1 IS LM1 LM2 LM2 ? Y Y Investment not responsive to interest rate changes Investment is responsive to interest rate changes
Fiscal Policy Effectiveness LM IS2 IS1 r r IS1 IS2 LM ? Y Y Money demand is responsive to interest rate changes Money demand not responsive to interest rate changes
Keynesian Theory of Inflation Bottleneck Region Keynesian or Depression Region P AS AD6 P AD5 AD4 AD3 AD2 Classical Region AD1 P P=0 Y=0 Y Y Y