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OUTLINE - THREE PARTS OF A STRATEGIC ANALYSIS (INFORMATION). 1. ASSESS FIRM'S INDUSTRY AND/OR MARKET2. ASSESS FIRM'S CAPABILITIES3. ASSESS THE BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY. PART 1 - OUTLINE -- ASSESS FIRM'S INDUSTRY/MARKET (INFORMATION). A. Determine industry/market characteristicsB. Check list of c
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1. STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT ANALYSIS OUTLINE Prepared for:
Master of Science ProgramMaster of Business Adm. Program
NJIT Management 692
2. OUTLINE - THREE PARTS OF A STRATEGIC ANALYSIS(INFORMATION) 1. ASSESS FIRMS INDUSTRY AND/OR MARKET
2. ASSESS FIRMS CAPABILITIES
3. ASSESS THE BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY
3. PART 1 - OUTLINE -- ASSESS FIRMS INDUSTRY/MARKET(INFORMATION) A. Determine industry/market characteristics
B. Check list of characteristics.
C. Porters five forces.
D. Trend analysis of industry sales.
E. Sources of economic forecasts.
F. Sources of industry information.
G.Five year forecast of industry sales.
4. PART 1A - ASSESS FIRMS INDUSTRY AND/OR MARKET CHARACTERISTICS(OUTLINE)) Determine industry requirements
Resources - labor, capital, information
Technology - high tech, rate of change
Assess Porters five forces
Assess buyer characteristics
Assess supplier characteristics.
Summarize as a statement of industry opportunities and threats.
Using a published economic forecast, forecast industry revenues for 5 years.
5. PART 1B - A CHECK LIST FOR INDUSTRY ASSESSMENT(INFORMATION) RESOURCES: Concentration of suppliers; number of suppliers; location of suppliers; research assessments by financial analysts.
TECHNOLOGY: Flexible or inflexible; engineering or skill; machine or labor intensive; barriers to entry; R&D requirements; patents; value added, rate of change.
PRODUCT/SERVICE: Value density; product diversity; industry life cycle; profit levels; value chain.
MARKETS: Overall size; geographic scope; number of buyers; concentration of buyers; location of buyers; number of competitors; character of competitors; role of advertising; share of advertising; market share; distribution channels.
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6. PART 1C - PORTERS FIVE FORCES INDUSTRY ASSESSMENT(REQUIRED) Threat of new entrants.
Bargaining power of customers.
Threat of substitute products.
Bargaining power of suppliers.
Jockeying for position among current competitors.
7. PART 1D - TEN YEAR TREND ANALYSIS OF INDUSTRY/MARKET SALES(REQUIRED)
8. PART 1E - SOURCES OF ECONOMIC FORECASTS(INFORMATION) Fortune Magazine - 18 month forecast every quarter.
Business Week - 12 month forecast in January
Forbes - 12 month forecast in January
Long term forecast - project trend of 2.5 % per year. Forecast a recession within five years.
Inflation -
When forecasting, assume that inflation will affect prices and costs equally. In other words, margins will remain constant.
9. PART 1F - SOURCES OF INDUSTRY INFORMATION(INFORMATION) PREDICASTS F&S INDEX - Index to periodical literature organized by company name and industry (SIC) code.
ABI COMPUTER SEARCH SYSTEM - Search by key words - industry name, product name, etc. Less precise than SIC code.
VALUE LINE INVESTMENT SERVICE - Most industries are reviewed once every 24 months.
PREDICASTS INVESTMENT SERVICE - Most industries are reviewed once every 24 months.
TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
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10. SUMMARIZE INDUSTRY ANALYSIS (REQUIRED) Identify opportunities in the industry.
Markets - future buyers
Suppliers - new sources of supply
Technology - future developments
Identify threats in the industry
Markets - new competition
Suppliers - dwindling source of supply
Technology - new substitute technologies
Summary statement of impact on next five years and forecast revenues.
11. PART 1G - GRAPH FIVE YEAR FORECAST OF INDUSTRY SALES(REQUIRED)
12. THREE PARTS OF A STRATEGIC ANALYSIS 1. ASSESS FIRMS INDUSTRY AND/OR MARKET
2. ASSESS FIRMS CAPABILITIES
3. ASSESS THE BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY
13. PART 2 - OUTLINE -- ASSESS FIRMS CAPABILITIES(OUTLINE) A. Definition of Purposes (and objectives)
B. List of purpose areas
C. Determine firms purposes and objectives.
D. Develop trend analysis of firms sales.
E. Analyze firms operating ratios.
F. Analyze firms financial ratios.
G. Assess firms strengths and weaknesses
H. Forecast firms sales for five years.
14. PART 2A - DEFINITION OF PURPOSES AND OBJECTIVES(INFORMATION) PURPOSES (REQUIRED)
Categorized general statements about firms future intent.
OBJECTIVES (WHEN AVAILABLE)
Specific statements about firms future intent.
a. Statement specifies result, not activity
b. Statement describes measurement of result.
c. Statement defines time period for accomplishment.
15. PART 2B - LIST OF KEY PURPOSE CATEGORIES(INFORMATION) Market standing
Profitability
Physical and financial resources
Innovation
Product/service quality and productivity
Worker attitude and training
Management performance and development
Public responsibility
16. PART 2C - DETERMINE FIRMS PURPOSES AND OBJECTIVES(REQUIRED) Read all written information on the firm (INFORMATION).
Identify one or more purposes in each category.
Identify one or more objectives for each purpose.(optional)
Summarize as a statement of firms purposes (and objectives).
17. PART 2D - FIVE YEAR TREND ANALYSIS OF FIRMS SALES(REQUIRED)
18. PART 2E - ANALYZE FIRMS OPERATING CONDITION(REQUIRED) 1. Return on Assets - profit / total assets
2. Return on Sales - profit / sales revenues
3. Asset Turnover - sales / total assets
4. Expenses as percent of sales - gross profit; R&D; G&A; Sales/Mkt.; other.
5. Other asset turnovers - inventory; fixed assets; acct. receivables; other.
FIVE YEAR COMPARISON WITH INDUSTRY MEDIANS AND COMPETITORS
19. PART 2F - ANALYZE FIRMS FINANCIAL CONDITION(REQUIRED)
1. Debt to assets = Total debt / total assets
2. Current ratio =
Current assets/ current liabilities
FIVE YEAR COMPARISON WITH INDUSTRY MEDIANS AND COMPETITORS
20. PART 2G - ASSESS FIRMS STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES(INFORMATION) Marketing and sales
Finance
Management
Operations (use ratios)
Research and development
Quality assurance
Emphasis on actual performance, not on publicity statements!
21. SUMMARY OF STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES(REQUIRED) LIST OF STRENGTHS
LIST OF WEAKNESSES
OVERALL SUMMARY ASSESSMENT ABOUT WHAT THIS MEANS FOR FUTURE REVENUES
DESCRIBE THE REALISTIC FORECAST THAT THIS ANALYSIS SUPPORTS.
22. PART 2H - GRAPH FIRMS SALES FORECAST(REQUIRED)
23. THREE PARTS OF A STRATEGIC ANALYSIS 1. ASSESS FIRMS INDUSTRY AND/OR MARKET
2. ASSESS FIRMS CAPABILITIES
3. ASSESS THE BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY
24. PART 3 - OUTLINE -- ASSESS THE BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY(INFORMATION) A. Analyze business opportunity
B. Assess firm/market match.
C. Prepare a five year financial forecast.
25. PART 3A - ANALYZE BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY(INFORMATION) Assess technical feasibility
Assess competition
Evaluate financial resources
Evaluate product/service
Determine firms position in industry
Evaluate firms organizational capabilities
26. PART 4B - ASSESS FIRM/MARKET MATCH(REQUIRED) Match firms strengths to its purposes (and objectives).
Identify gaps
Do strengths match purposes?
Do purposes match industry forecast?
Do purposes match firm forecast?
What weaknesses restrict performance?
How can this firm achieve its purposes?
RECOMMENDATIONS -- Describe what is required for this firm to achieve its purposes.
27. PART 4C - PREPARE A FIVE YEAR FINANCIAL FORECAST(REQUIRED) Purpose - to show the future of the firms business in financial terms.
Begin by reviewing your five year sales forecast with dollar amounts for each year..
Produce a five year income statement showing cash flows (REQUIRED).
Produce five year balance sheet, and cash flow statement. (OPTIONAL)
28. THE END