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RURAL DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY (RDS) IN NIGER. Policy Analysis. Alice Stock Ana Carolina Henriques Cristina Maldonado Matthew Muthuri Robert Narvaez. May 2011. Policy Analysis Framework. Programs Objective / where? Budget Instruments Results Indicators Means of verification
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RURAL DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY (RDS) IN NIGER Policy Analysis Alice Stock Ana Carolina Henriques Cristina Maldonado Matthew Muthuri Robert Narvaez May 2011
Policy Analysis Framework • Programs • Objective / where? • Budget • Instruments • Results • Indicators • Means of verification • Possible effects
General observations and remarks • Strong assumptions (hard to happen in reality) • Ambitious and vague objectives • Differences among regions are not taken into account in the programs • Dynamic of interaction between actors is not specified (from construction to implementation of the policy) • Accountability mechanisms are not specified
General observations and remarks • No potential conflict alleviation mechanism is considered (e.g. pastoralist vs. farmers, land use conflicts) • Potential problems of inequality • Gender • Incentives for private sector vs. social inclusion • Previous strategies vs. RDS (differences) • RDS does not take into account cyclical behavior of climate
Unstated and contradictory objectives • Introduce (test) a model designed by donor countries • Obtaining reliable data on land ownership, land use, yields, production. • Possible international interest in Niger’s minerals • Incorporation of international companies in the implementation of the policy and in the country’s economy. • Exports vs. food security
Budget • In some cases the sources of the budget are not clear. • Not detailed (deadlines, management, accountability, overlap between programs) • Too short for ambitious objectives • Criteria to estimate the budget are not clear • Infrastructure projects have the highest budget • Is there a balance between economical, technical and social expected improvements from large scale irrigation projects?.
Instruments • Not explicitly mentioned • Not explained in detail (e.g. how would the selection to access to credit be undertaken?) • They are not integrated with each other (ex. credit and training)
Stated Results • None of the expected results specify the actors included and who is responsible for the implementation and evaluation. • Lack of consistency between results • In general, results are vague and broad • May not consider the change and desires of the society.
Indicators • There is no base line or it is not explicitly specified • When is the evaluation going to be undertaken? • Some indicators are not objectively verifiable (e.g. quality of laboratories, quality of scientific publications) • Not good assessing the effectiveness of the policy (e.g. number of agreements)
Conclusions • Lack of focus in the policy might lead to weak impacts and inefficient use of resources • The interaction between stakeholders from the construction to the implementation of the policy has an effect on the results • A 9-year rural development strategy can hardly change the reality and the political dynamic of all the country • Regional considerations are important to have long term impacts. Cultural, climate and other type of differences among regions can result in unequal development and inapplicability of the policy