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Bacteriology for Engineers for the 21 st Century . Tom Curtis Newcastle University. Mara, D. D. (1974) Bacteriology for Sanitary Engineers , Churchill Livingstone, Edinburgh and London, 209 p . “Bacteriology for Engineers [17] is an excellent reference on the bacteriology of wastewater ”
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Bacteriology for Engineersfor the 21st Century Tom Curtis Newcastle University
Mara, D. D. (1974) Bacteriology for Sanitary Engineers, Churchill Livingstone, Edinburgh and London, 209 p “Bacteriology for Engineers [17] is an excellent reference on the bacteriology of wastewater ” • Metcalf and Eddy 1979 • 1974! • Duncan was 29!
Mara, D. D. (1974) Bacteriology for Sanitary Engineers, Churchill Livingstone, Edinburgh and London, 209 p “Engineers put bacteria to work sewage treatment systems”
Chapter 14: Waste Treatment 1974 Activated Sludge Waste Stabilisation Ponds Attached Growth Anaerobic
Waste Treatment 2011 1914 1910 1899 1930/74
"European and North American practices do not represent the zenith of scientific treatment, nor are they the product of a logical and rational and design process.” “Rather, treatment practices are the products of history, a history that started about a 100 years ago when little was known about the fundamental physics and chemistry of the subject and when practically no applicable microbiology had been discovered." Feachem, Bradely, Garelick and Mara (1983) Feachem et al., 1983
Evolution: 2010 Stylised Representation of Carl Woese’s 3 Domain Tree of Life
An Explosion in methods DGGE LH-PCR TGGE CARD-FISH PCR SIP RT-PCR Microarrays TTGE RNA-SIP Macroarrays Real Time-PCR T-RFLP ARISA RSGP Clone libraries MICRO-FISH LAMP FISH MAR-FISH Arrays Pyrosequencing STARFISH IS-PCR
Explosion in data • Cost falling • Efficiency growth now exceeding Moore’s law • Moore’s law vs sequencing Economist June 2010
An explosion in hubris “The ability to routinely write the software of life will usher in a new era in science, and with it, new products and applications such as advanced biofuels, clean water technology... “ http://www.jcvi.org/cms/research/projects/first-self-replicating-synthetic-bacterial-cell/overview/
The scale of the microbial world • ~1021 stars in Universe • ~1030 bacteria in the world • ~1029 bacteria in the sea • ~4x1011 Stars in the galaxy • ~1018 bacteria in a modest activated sludge plant • >2.8 billion years of evolution • Untutored observation is futile Sample of a map of the million brightest galaxies within 109 light-years from earth
Species diversity in Activated Sludge • 30,000 sequences from UK AS plants • Sequencing noise removed • 1000s of species in AS plants! • Just to sequence 90% of diversity in 0.25 ml requires • 2-8 MILLION sequences Number of Species Davenport et al., in prep
The largest railway bridge:1725 The second largest bridge in the Roman World Severan Bridge, Turkey ~200 AD Causey Arch, Built 1725
The Forth railway bridge:1885 • Designed 1882 • Rationally designed and new materials • Classical structural theory
Engineering without theory is possible • “avoids risks, but stops the progress of all improvement” • “Lavish expenditure of material and labour” • “Failure within a limited number of years” • “Misdirected ingenuity….vain pursuit of unworkable innovations W M Rankine 1853: The Harmony of Theory and Practice in Mechanics Prof. Civil Engineering Glasgow 1853-82
Photo by J Harrison /ASU What kind of theory do we need? • Parsimony, • Generality, • Consilience, • Predictiveness. • Calibration Wilson, E.O (1998) Consilience, The unity of knowledge Random House, New York.
Good Company "Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication" • Leonardo Da Vinci “KISS: Keep it simple stupid” • Clarence Johnson, Lockheed "Very good Tom..... but it is too f@*%ing complicated” • Duncan Mara
Ecological Theory McArthur and Wilson 1965
Tools to predict diversityTheory of Island Biogeography McArthur and Wilson 1965
Still too f@%ing complicated • Island biogeography theory • Cannot be parameterised • We do not know • How many species there are on an island (S) • How many species in the “source” (ie P) • Immigration rates • Extinction rates
Stochastic assembly of a functional group Sloan (2006) theory (after Bell/Hubbell)
Sloan’s Stochastic Model q • Source community q • Local community NT • (NT predicted by ASMx) • Sampling from qinto NT m m m NT Sloan et al., 2006
Immigration rate affects relationship between frequency and abundance
The Sea With thanks to Ake Hagstrom
We can find m • memerges from NTm • But a sort of fitted parameter • It has a biological reality.. • The number of immigration events for each birth
Immigration Scales Clone FISH DGGE TRFLP
What Scaling Means • If 1016 individuals, NTm = 10 • Probability of a death being replaced • from outside 10-15 • by growth 1-10-15 • Immigration • very rare in mature community • Very very high in new community
Implications Engineers Ecology and Evolution Explains the founder effects (qv babies and teeth) Rates of Immigration & Evolution can be compared • Dynamics might be slower than we think • Even “unsuitable” microbes may disappear slowly • Start up crucial • Practitioners have always known this • We should “design” the seeding process • Design is not always intuitive
Dynamics will be crucial • Neutral dynamics are slow • We know that taxa vary • Selective pressure could wipe out neutral dynamics
Incorporating biological effects • The Sloan model has an advantage parameter • ai • Can confer advantage or disadvantage • Over time • Over community • Advantage sums to zero • Σ a = 0
Criddle/Well’s dataset in Palo Alto WWTP Criddle et al., 2009
Beta distribution calibration NTm = 19 m = 6.13e-007 Ofiteru et al., PNAS 2010
Gammadistribution calibration NTm = 19 θ = 4 Ofiteru et al., PNAS 2010
Most abundant AOB - a = 0 model is totally neutral R2 = 0.2
Most abundant AOB Including environmental factors R2 = 0.39
“if a theory can explain 70% of the observed phenomena it will have served its purpose well” MacArthur and Wilson 1967
Preliminary Application • Using models to guide seeding and to predict dynamics • EG Low temp anaerobic digestion
The future Energy use in the UK water sector Telephony costs Kwh/Ml of wastewater State of Working America 2006-2007; Federal Communications Commission
Energy content of wastewater;15-20 Kj/g COD • 0.4-0.5 Kwh/person • Energy demand of Conventional WWT • 0.2 Kwh/person ACTIVATED SLUDGE IS DEAD Heidrich et al., 2011
Mara, D. D. (1974) Bacteriology for Sanitary Engineers, Churchill Livingstone, Edinburgh and London, 209 p “ ‘water bacteriology is really more than just the total count’ ”*