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Communicating With Your Patients About the Risks of Therapies . Meenakshi Bewtra , MD MPH University of Pennsylvania Division of Gastroenterology Center for Clinical Epidemiology & Biostatistics. CCEB. Outline:. Risks of immunosuppressant therapy* Benefits of immunosuppressant therapy*
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Communicating With Your Patients About the Risks of Therapies MeenakshiBewtra, MD MPH University of Pennsylvania Division of Gastroenterology Center for Clinical Epidemiology & Biostatistics CCEB
Outline: • Risks of immunosuppressant therapy* • Benefits of immunosuppressant therapy* • Putting it all together: for the physician • Putting it all together: for the patient • Conclusion • Immunosuppressant therapy: thiopurine analogs, biologics, calcineurininhibitors, methotrexate
Outline: • Risks of immunosuppressant therapy • Benefits of immunosuppressant therapy • Putting it all together: for the physician • Putting it all together: for the patient • Conclusion
Risks in Immunosuppressant Therapy* • Serious/Opportunistic Infections • Lymphoma • Hepatosplenic T-Cell Lymphoma (HSTCL) • Progressive Multifocal Leukoencepholapthy (PML) *All following risks estimates are approximations based upon (my) calculations of available data
Disclaimer All risks estimates are approximations based upon calculations of available data
Risks in Immunosuppressant Therapy • Serious/Opportunistic Infections • 3% / year risk monotherapy • 5% / year with combination therapy • Lymphoma • Hepatosplenic T-Cell Lymphoma (HSTCL) • Progressive Multifocal Leukoencepholapthy (PML)
Risks in Immunosuppressant Therapy • Serious/Opportunistic Infections • 3% / year risk monotherapy • 5% / year with combination therapy • Lymphoma • 4x increased risk (monotherapy) • 8x increased risk (combination) • Hepatosplenic T-Cell Lymphoma (HSTCL) • Progressive Multifocal Leukoencepholapthy (PML)
Risks in Immunosuppressant Therapy • Serious/Opportunistic Infections • 3% / year risk monotherapy • 5% / year with combination therapy • Lymphoma • 4x increased risk (monotherapy) • 8x increased risk (combination) • Hepatosplenic T-Cell Lymphoma (HSTCL) • 160x increased risk • Progressive Multifocal Leukoencepholapthy (PML)
Risks in Immunosuppressant Therapy • Serious/Opportunistic Infections • 3% / year risk monotherapy • 5% / year with combination therapy • Lymphoma • 4x increased risk (monotherapy) • 8x increased risk (combination) • Hepatosplenic T-Cell Lymphoma (HSTCL) • 160x increased risk • Progressive Multifocal Leukoencepholapthy (PML) • 1 out of every 7000 treated; infinitely increased risk
Risks in Immunosuppressant Therapy • Serious/Opportunistic Infections • 30/1000 annual risk (monotherapy) • 50/ 1000 annual risk (combination therapy) • Lymphoma • 0.8/1000 annual incidence (monotherapy) • 1.6/1000 annual incidence (combination) • Hepatosplenic T-Cell Lymphoma (HSTCL) • 0.0034 /1000 annual incidence • Progressive Multifocal Leukoencepholapthy (PML) • 0.14/1000 (not necessarily annual incidence)
Outline: • Risks of immunosuppressant therapy • Benefits of immunosuppressant therapy • Putting it all together: for the physician • Putting it all together: for the patient • Conclusion
Risk of medication cessation: • Azathioprine Trenton X et al. ClinGastroenterolHepatol 2009;7:80-5
Risk of medication cessation: • Infliximab Intra-abdominal surgeries CD-related hospitalizations Rutgeerts P et al. Gastroenterology 2004;126(2):402
Risk of medication cessation: • Cessation of anti-TNF therapy when on combination therapy Louis E et al. Gastroenterology 2012;142(1):63-70
Corticosteroids: are bad • Fluid retention • CHF • Metabolic abnormalities • Hypertension • Muscle weakness • Loss of muscle mass • Osteoporosis • Compression fractures (spine) • Aspectic necrosis (femoral/humeral head) • Pathologic fractures • Tendon rupture • Hyperglycemia • cataracts • Gastric ulcers • Pancreatitis • Impaired wound healing • Bruising • Pseudotumorcerebri • Emotional disturbances • Menstrual irregularities • Cushingoid features • Growth suppression (children) • Secondary adrenocortical /pituitary unresponsiveness • Diabetes mellitus • Glaucoma • Weight gain
Corticosteroids: Infection risk • Serious infections: TREAT registry • Adj OR 2.2 (1.5-3.3), p=0.001 • Opportunistic infection: Mayo Clinic • OR 3.3 (1.8-6.1), p<0.001 • Post-operative infections: elective IBD surgery • Any infection (29%): OR 3.7 (1.2-11.0) • Major infection (20%): OR 5.5 (1.1-27.3) • Higher risk with higher dosages used Aberra et al. Gastro 2003;125:320 Lichtenstein et al Clin Gastro Hep 2006;4:621 Toruner et al. Gastro 2008;134:929-36
Corticosteroids: risk of mortality • Lichtenstein: TREAT • Corticosteroid use: OR 2.1 (1.1–3.8) p=.016 • Lewis: GPRD Lichtenstein et al. Clin Gastro Hep 2006;4:621–630 Lewis et al. Am J Gastro 2008;103:1428–1435
Untreated/Active IBD: risk of mortality Lewis et al. Am J Gastro 2008;103:1428–1435
Outline: • Risks of immunosuppressant therapy • Benefits of immunosuppressant therapy • Putting it all together: for YOU • Putting it all together: for the patient • Conclusion
How do these risks stack up?* Adapted from: Lewis JD et al, Am J Gastro 2008 Lichtenstein G et al. CGH 2006 Kandiel A et al. Gut 2005 Siegel C. et al. CGH 2006 Herrinton L et al Pharm Drug Safe 2012 Trenton X et al. CGH 2009 Rutgeerts P et al. Gastro 2004 Singh S et al, IBD 2012 Toruner M et al, Gastro 2008 Grijalva CG et al, JAMA 2011 Bloomgren G et al NEJM 2012
Why is changing the way we practice so hard? • How one perceives risk: • Epidemiologist: risk is a measured property of a group of people • Physician/patient: risk is a specific property of ME • Perception becomes reality: • Reject statistical reasoning in favor of anecdotal reasoning • Accept common risks we “know” in favor of uncommon risks we “fear”
Outline: • Risks of immunosuppressant therapy • Benefits of immunosuppressant therapy • Putting it all together: for the physician • Putting it all together: for your patient • Conclusion
Discussing risk with patients • Numeracy: basic math skills for health-related activities • Over 50% of Americans lack minimum basic skills to apply to arithmetic operations of numbers in print materials • Patients have problems with risk presentation, framing, proportions/probabilities, denominator neglect Burkell J et al, J Med LibrAssoc 2004 Aptar AJ et al, J Gen Intern Med 2008 Renya VF et al, Individ Differ 2008 Fagerlin A et al, Med Decis Making 2007
Discussing risk with patients • Risk presentation: • Avoid vague labels such as “low,” “very low,” “often” or “very common” which lead to inconsistent interpretations • Framing • Relative risks can make small (rare) risks appear large (infinite) • Absolute risks anchor all risks • Use similar frame (“gain frame” or “loss frame”) Burkell J et al, J Med LibrAssoc 2004 Aptar AJ et al, J Gen Intern Med 2008 Fagerlin A et al, Med Decis Making 2007
Discussing risk with patients • Avoid “artificial” constructs such as proportions, ratios, probabilities, odds • Require conditional math skills • Use frequencies/count data • Denominator neglect: people are very sensitive to numerators • Ex: 1,286 in 10,000 viewed riskier than 24 in 100 • Present all risks with similar denominator Burkell J et al, J Med LibrAssoc2004 Reyna VF et al Learn Individ Diff 2008 Akl EA et al Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2011 Brase GL J BehavDecis Making 2002 Fagerlin A et al Am J Health Beahv 2007 Garcia-Retamero Am J Pub Health 2009 Ancker JS et al, J Am Med Inform Assoc 2006 Yamagishi K. ApplCognPsychol 1997
Discussing risk with patients • Use visual aids!
Outline: • Risks of immunosuppressant therapy • Benefits of immunosuppressant therapy • Putting it all together: for YOU • Putting it all together: for the patient • Conclusion
Conclusions: • There are documented risks with immunosuppressant therapy • The absolute risks are low • Did not discuss: higher-risk populations (elderly, young men) • The absolute risks of active/untreated disease and/or corticosteroid therapy are high • Be aware of numeracy issues when discussing with patients • Avoid vague descriptions of risk, use absolute counts with similar denominators, and consider incorporating visual aids