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Non-Dividend Paying Stocks and the Negative Value Premium. Discussant Sheng-Tang Huang. Summary of the paper. 1. Because of constraints that restrict external financing, firms finance growth investments internally, but only when profitability permits. These investments increase risk.
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Non-Dividend Paying Stocks and the Negative Value Premium Discussant Sheng-Tang Huang
Summary of the paper • 1. Because of constraints that restrict external financing, firms finance growth investments internally, but only when profitability permits. These investments increase risk. • 2. Consistent with this model, the authors find high returns for high profitability, high market/book, growth-stocks. High return combined with high market/book is a negative value premium for non-dividend paying companies.
3. When the authors benchmark the returns of portfolios formed by ranking forward ROE and return volatility against a conditional asset-pricing model, we find negative abnormal returns for low risk value-stocks and positive abnormal returns for high risk growth-stocks.
4. While rational financial-economic analysis guides our empirical investigation, the authors cannot rule out market-inefficiency as an explanation for abnormal returns. Either equity-markets over-price low-risk stocks and under-price high-risk stocks or current asset-pricing models do not fully capture the negative value-premium for non-dividend paying companies.
Comments • This is a serious paper, and it provides interesting results to the literature. • Is value premium always positive? NO • It shows that, inconsistent with the conventional wisdoms, the value premium is negative for non-dividend paying stocks. • This is another idea to explain the value premium, except for risk, overreaction, and data mining.
A minor suggestion: Problem of equity valuation. • The authors follow the following paper to value equity. • G.W. Blazenko, and A.D. Pavlov. “Investment Timing for Dynamic Business Expansion,” Financial Management 38(6), (2009), pp. 837-860. p.841
However, • Liu (2009, JBF) shows that ROE is not correctly measurable. He suggests that the observable cost of equity only reflects equity normal profit rather than equity economic profit. • Therefore, the forward ROE used in this paper might be a misleading measure. • Another measure of forward ROE should be used for robustness purpose.
Reference • G.W. Blazenko, and A.D. Pavlov. “Investment Timing for Dynamic Business Expansion,” Financial Management 38(6), (2009), pp. 837-860. • Liu, “The slicing approach to valuing tax shield,” Journal of Banking & Finance33, (2009), pp.1069-1078.