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Introduction

Introduction . Research World International, an independent global research company commissioned this opinion poll between 25 th September - 3 rd October 2012 with the aim of assessing the opinions of the FDC delegates about the on going party primaries to chose the leader of FDC.

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Introduction

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  1. Introduction • Research World International, an independent global research company commissioned this opinion poll between 25th September -3rd October 2012 with the aim of assessing the opinions of the FDC delegates about the on going party primaries to chose the leader of FDC. • Research World International designed and implemented a Public Opinion Telephonic Survey to assess the opinions and drivers of choice for the FDC leadership • The total sample was 500 but we managed to reach 445 delegates who were talked to and their opinion sought. This poll is given with a margin of error of +-2

  2. Introduction Cont’d… The population investigated • The population (universe) investigated in this study was made up of all Ugandan persons who are FDC delegates both in rural and urban areas.For the purpose of sample design, FDC delegates register 2010 was used as the basis for estimating population distribution across regions. Uganda has four regions namely Central, Eastern, Northern and Western Regions. The sample was therefore distributed proportionate to the delegate samples in each region. You will also find that we did sub-regional analysis. See sampling below.

  3. Study objectives This opinion poll had five main objectives, namely: • To get the delegates opinion on who they consider to be a most suited person to lead FDC. • Measuring the drivers of choice among the delegates • To Understand issues that are shaping the campaign

  4. Sampling and research Methods • The sample is proportionate to the population of the delegates in each region • We used a telephonic method where the respondents were called while recording the responses on the a questionnaire • We had 5 interviewers and the interviews took approximately 8 days • Data entry and tabulation were done in house at RWI Source of data : FDC electoral commission register 2010 This excludes the Executive members/NEC Members

  5. Qn1. Are you a delegate eligible to vote in the delegates conference?

  6. Qn2. What is your position?

  7. Qn3. a)In the last one month have you been contacted by: Ekanya

  8. Qn3. b)In the last one month have you been contacted by: Muntu

  9. Qn3. c)In the last one month have you been contacted by: Nandala

  10. Qn4. How were you contacted?

  11. Qn5. On the scale of 1-10, one being the lowest and ten being the highest, please tell me what matters to you: a) Region where the Candidate comes from?

  12. Qn5. On the scale of 1-10, one being the lowest and ten being the highest, please tell me what matters to you: b) Member of parliament

  13. Qn5. On the scale of 1-10, one being the lowest and ten being the highest, please tell me what matters to you: c) Trusted?

  14. Qn5. On the scale of 1-10, one being the lowest and ten being the highest, please tell me what matters to you: d) Charismatic Leadership?

  15. Qn5. On the scale of 1-10, one being the lowest and ten being the highest, please tell me what matters to you: e) Good character?

  16. Qn5. On the scale of 1-10, one being the lowest and ten being the highest, please tell me what matters to you: f) Similar Religion?

  17. Qn5. On the scale of 1-10, one being the lowest and ten being the highest, please tell me what matters to you: g) Gives money?

  18. Qn5. On the scale of 1-10, one being the lowest and ten being the highest, please tell me what matters to you: h) Military background?

  19. Qn5. On the scale of 1-10, one being the lowest and ten being the highest, please tell me what matters to you: i) A good mobilizer in your view?

  20. Qn6. Who of the three candidates has the message that appeals to you? First Choice

  21. Qn6. Who of the three candidates has the message that appeals to you? Second Choice

  22. Qn6. Who of the three candidates has the message that appeals to you? Third Choice

  23. Qn7. In your view, what do you think will happen to FDC party after the election? Will the party be;

  24. Qn8. Having listened to the campaign, who of the campaign team has showed maturity and care for the party during campaign?

  25. Qn9. Talking about the choice for the FDC presidency, if elections were held today, which candidate would you vote for to take FDC ahead?

  26. Qn10. Generally, in your district, which candidate is likely to be supported by delegates?

  27. Qn11. Please mention three things why that candidate is best to lead FDC

  28. Qn11. Please mention three things why that candidate is best to lead FDC

  29. Qn11. Please mention three things why that candidate is best to lead FDC

  30. Gender of Responds

  31. Voting by Gender

  32. Regional Distribution (4 regions)

  33. Voting by Four Regions

  34. Regional Distribution (7 Regions)

  35. Voting by Seven Regions

  36. Voting By Sub-Regions

  37. Age Group of Respondents

  38. Voting by Age Group of Respondents

  39. Voting by Level of Education

  40. Overall responses in September and October

  41. Comparison of responses by regions

  42. Comparison of responses by regions

  43. Comparison by Gender

  44. Comparison by Age group of respondents)

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