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Influenza – What in the world do YOU need to know?. Seasonal Avian Pandemic. Influenza. Acute, febrile respiratory illness affecting nose, throat, bronchial tubes and lungs Epidemics caused by influenza viruses A and B (Type C uncommon in people; no epidemics)
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Seasonal Avian Pandemic Influenza
Acute, febrile respiratory illness affecting nose, throat, bronchial tubes and lungs Epidemics caused by influenza viruses A and B(Type C uncommon in people; no epidemics) Occurs worldwide, causing considerable morbidity (illness) and mortality (death) each year Symptoms appear rapidly What is Seasonal Influenza?
How You Get the Flu? • Typical incubation: 2 days Range: 1-4 days • Viral shedding • Can begin 1 day before symptom onset • Peak shedding first 3 days of illness • Correlates with temperature • Subsides after 5 days in adults, can be 10+ days in children • Transmission is predominately droplet spread
The Burden of Seasonal Influenza • Globally: 250,000 to 500,000 deaths each year • In the United States each year: • 36,000 deaths • >200,000 hospitalizations • $37.5 billion in economic costs from influenza and pneumonia
What is Avian Influenza? • All flu is bird flu • Current concern is H5N1 • Worldwide poultry outbreak • Rare, but severe in humans • NOT EASILY SPREAD HUMAN TO HUMAN
Nations With Confirmed Cases H5N1 Avian Influenza (May 19, 2006) Source: http://www.pandemicflu.gov/#map
Current H5N1 situation in humans • 229 human cases, world-wide since December of 2003 (as of 7/4/06) • 130 deaths • 57 % mortality rate (fatality)
Situation Summary: Avian Influenza • Widespread occurrence in migratory birds • Continued outbreaks among domestic poultry • Asymptomatic infections in domestic ducks • Lethal infections in mammals (cat, pigs) • Still lacks ability to travel easily human to human, but every infection provides another opportunity for the virus to change
How Influenza Viruses Change? • Antigenic Drift: • Small changes in virus over time • New strains appear and replace older strains • May not be recognized by antibodies to older strains • Antigenic Shift: • Abrupt, major change (reassortment) • Results in novel strain or new subtype • Can cause pandemic influenza
Will Avian (Bird) Flu Cause the Next Pandemic? • No one knows! • The H5N1 virus could change to spread more easily among humans-but it might not. • It could “swap genes” with another animal virus, or with a human flu virus
What is Pandemic Influenza ? • A global influenza outbreak • Caused by a brand new (novel) flu virus • Can occur at any time of year • Because it is a new virus, few or no people would be immune • Many people would get sick in every part of the world • Asia is the source of many outbreaks because swine, birds and humans live under the same roof, providing opportunity for viral mixing
Credit: US National Museum of Health and Medicine Influenza Pandemics 20th Century 1918: “Spanish Flu” 1957: “Asian Flu” 1968: “Hong Kong Flu” A(H1N1) A(H2N2) A(H3N2) 20-40 m deaths 675,000 US deaths 1-4 m deaths 70,000 US deaths 1-4 m deaths 34,000 US deaths
If a Pandemic Happens: What to expect… • At the peak of a moderate pandemic influenza outbreak (i.e. 35% attack rate, 6 week duration), New York State (excluding New York City) can expect: • 14,916 influenza-related hospital admissions per week • 3,728 influenza-related deaths per week • 2,609 deaths in the hospital • Influenza patients will most likely utilize: • 63% of hospital bed capacity • 125% of intensive care capacity • 65% of hospital ventilator capacity.
Unprepared Impact Prepared Weeks HHS Pandemic Influenza Doctrine: Saving Lives • Slow spread, decrease illness and death, buy time • Antiviral treatment and isolation for people with illness • Quality medical care • Quarantine for those exposed (antiviral prophylaxis if available) • Social distancing, travel restrictions • Infection control • Vaccine when available • Maintain essential services • Local decisions • Communication
Federal Partners Healthcare Delivery System Local/State/ Federal Public Health System Businesses & Workers Education System Public Health Emergency Preparedness - A Shared Responsibility! • Local – state – federal • Domestic – international • Public – private • Multi-sector • Animal – human • Health protection – homeland security – economic protection
What is Ontario County doing to prepare? • Public Health Emergency Planning since 2003 • White Powder Plan • ChemPak Plan • Medical Reserve Corps • Isolation and Quarantine Protocol • Strategic National Stockpile Plan • 9 County Public Health Mutual Aid Agreement • Points of Distribution Plan • Surveillance Program in Hospitals and Schools • Pandemic Flu Plan
Pandemic Flu Plan • Based on NYSDOH Guidelines • Involves Multiple Local Stakeholders • Joint Planning with other counties in our region to create a standardized plan
General Assumptions in a Pandemic • Vaccine may not be available initially • Antivirals may be limited or ineffective • Neighboring communities will also be affected We need to prepare
Community-Based Infection Control Strategies Social Distancing • Voluntary self-shielding • Stay at home • Cancellation of public events • concerts, sports events, movies, plays • Closure of schools and workplaces • office buildings, shopping malls • Closure of recreational facilities • community swimming pools, youth clubs, gymnasiums
Businesses, school systems, community infrastructure providers, and other employers should develop plans for continuity of essential operations and modified operation with a significantly reduced workforce. • 25 to 30% of persons may become ill during a 6 to 8 week outbreak. • An additional 10% of the workforce may be absent due to illness of a family member. • Others may stay home due to a fear of becoming infected.
Work or School Based Infection Control Strategies • Respiratory hygiene/cough etiquette, hand hygiene • Stay away if ill (staff stay home, students do not go to classes) • Encourage self-reporting of illness that develops • Active screening for illness in staff/students • Send staff/students homeif ill
What is Respiratory Hygiene/Cough Etiquette? • Cover mouth/nose when sneezing or coughing • If no tissue, use elbow instead of hands • Use tissues and dispose of appropriately • Perform hand hygiene after contact with respiratory secretions • Distance yourself from others (more than 3 feet)
What is Hand Hygiene? • Traditional hand washing • Soap and hot water • Minimum of 20 seconds (the time it takes to sing “Happy Birthday” twice) • Alcohol based hand rubs • Acceptable means to disinfect/sanitize EXCEPT when hands are visibly soiled
Individual and Family Preparedness Checklist • Store a supply of food and water • General emergency supplies • Flashlight, batteries, radio, etc. • Have non-prescription drugs and other health supplies on hand • Get involved in your community • Talk to your families, friends and neighbors DO IT NOW!!!!!
On-Line Resources www.pandemicflu.gov www.ontariocountypublichealth.com Ontario County Public Health 585-396-4343 1-800-299-2995
God Bless You! Achoo!