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AgClimate Outlooks: Delivering climate-based information to stakeholders in agriculture

AgClimate Outlooks: Delivering climate-based information to stakeholders in agriculture. Joel O. Paz, Clyde W. Fraisse, Norman E. Breuer, John G. Bellow and David F. Zierden. NOAA 32 nd Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop Tallahassee, FL October 22-26, 2007.

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AgClimate Outlooks: Delivering climate-based information to stakeholders in agriculture

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  1. AgClimate Outlooks: Delivering climate-based information to stakeholders in agriculture Joel O. Paz, Clyde W. Fraisse, Norman E. Breuer, John G. Bellow and David F. Zierden NOAA 32nd Climate Diagnostics and Prediction WorkshopTallahassee, FLOctober 22-26, 2007

  2. Agricultural Production in the Southeast • Cotton, peanut, corn, soybean, wheat

  3. Agricultural Production in the Southeast • Cotton, peanut, corn, soybean, wheat • Cattle and calves

  4. Agricultural Production in the Southeast • Cotton, peanut, corn, soybean, wheat • Cattle and calves • Pasture and hay • Vegetables • Poultry • Blueberry, strawberry • Peaches, citrus & other fruits

  5. Market Value of Agricultural Products Sold Source: USDA 2002 Census of Agriculture

  6. ENSO and Agriculture in the SE • ENSO significantly influenced the value of corn, peanuts, soybean and tobacco (Hansen et al., 1998). • ENSO phases explained an average shift of $212 million, or 26%, in the value of corn.

  7. ENSO and Agriculture in the SE • $165 million of losses due to the 1997-1998 El Niño event (Florida Dept. of Ag)

  8. ENSO Farmer Joe’s Questions SST

  9. Management Decisions • Variety selection • Planting dates

  10. Management Decisions • Variety selection • Planting dates • Acreage allocation • Amount and type of crop insurance • Marketing • Purchase inputs

  11. Florida State University – climate studies, coupled modeling, climate forecasts, forestry University of Alabama Huntsville – climate, water resources Auburn University – extension, economics, insurance University of Florida – extension, crop modeling, decision support tools, water resources University of Georgia – extension, crop modeling, decision support tools, climate,water resources, assessment University of Miami – climate, economics, water resources, assessment Southeast Climate Consortium

  12. Major Activities • AgClimate (www.AgClimate.org) • Training and education • Interaction with growers and producers

  13. AgClimate • Main mechanism for dissemination of information • Tools • Outlooks

  14. AgClimate Website http://www.agclimate.org

  15. AgClimate Tools

  16. El Niño Oct 1-Jan 15: 560 chill hours

  17. La Niña Oct 1-Jan 15: 462 chill hours

  18. Seasonal Outlooks

  19. SECC Climate Outlook

  20. Press release Farmers &Ranchers SECCClimate Outlook State ClimatologistsAL, FL, and GA Extensionmailing list Regional TV & Radio SECC Climate Outlook

  21. SECC Climate Outlook

  22. SECC Climate Outlook

  23. State ClimatologistsAL, FL, GA Press release Farmers &Ranchers SECCAg Outlook Extensionmailing list Research & Extension (Auburn, UGA, UF) Regional TV & Radio SECC Agricultural Outlook SECCExtensionSpecialists

  24. SECC Agricultural Outlook

  25. Extension Articles

  26. Extension Newsletter

  27. Specific management recommendation- developed by Commodity Extension Specialist

  28. County Agent Trainings AgClimate workshop (Jan 26, 2005)

  29. County Agent Trainings AgClimate workshop for county agents (Statesboro, Georgia; Feb 7, 2006) AgClimate workshop for county agents (Griffin, Georgia; Feb 7, 2007)

  30. Working with Farmers and Stakeholders Meeting with adivsory group in Headland, Alabama (February 26, 2007).

  31. Working with Research and Extension Faculty John Bellow showing the different features of the AgCclimate chill accumulation tool to Kathy Taylor (UGA Stone Fruit Specialist) and Frank Funderburk (Peach Co. Extension Coordinator). L-R: Joel Paz and Rabiu Olatinwo with Bob Kemerait (Extension Plant Pathologist) and Albert Culbreath (Plant Pathologist).

  32. Challenges • Provide improved El Niño/La Niña forecasts • Improve availability of timely updates • How can the SECC improve the partnership with the Ag. Research Faculty and Cooperative Extension Service?

  33. Thank you! Dr. Joel O. Paz University of GeorgiaGriffin, GA770-228-7399jpaz@uga.edu

  34. Regional Yield Maps

  35. Rainfed Peanut (Georgia)

  36. SECC Objectives • Outreach • Research and Development • Partnerships • Monitoring & Assessment

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