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VALCON 2010

VALCON 2010. Moderator : Michael P. Richman  Patton Boggs LLP, New York Panelists :  Marc Abrams  Wilkie Farr & Gallagher, New York  Peter Chadwick  Capstone Advisory Group, LLC, Washington, D.C.  Adrian Frankum  FTI Consulting, Inc., New York  Ted Stenger AlixPartners, LLP, New York.

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VALCON 2010

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  1. VALCON 2010 Moderator: Michael P. Richman  Patton Boggs LLP, New York Panelists:  Marc Abrams  Wilkie Farr & Gallagher, New York  Peter Chadwick  Capstone Advisory Group, LLC, Washington, D.C.  Adrian Frankum  FTI Consulting, Inc., New York  Ted Stenger AlixPartners, LLP, New York The Role of the Hypothetical Liquidation Analysis: How Will Approaches in the Auto Cases Affect General Restructuring Practices?

  2. VALCON 2010 Case Study: The Chrysler LLC Restructuring The Role of the Hypothetical Liquidation Analysis: How Will Approaches in the Auto Cases Affect General Restructuring Practices?

  3. The Chrysler Restructuring February 25, 2010

  4. Table of Contents About the Speaker 3 Automotive Industry in Crisis 5 Government Forced Secured Lenders to do a Deal that Violates Bankruptcy Doctrine? 11 About Capstone 15 Appendix: Large Case Experience 22

  5. About the Speaker

  6. About the Speakers Peter Chadwick – Executive Director • Peter Chadwick spent the past six years working with automotive companies and creditors, including Citation, Metaldyne, Dura, JL French, Intermet, Collins & Aikman, and Chrysler • These engagements have provided Peter with a unique perspective on the restructuring of automotive companies (and in some cases liquidating) • Spent five of the six years sitting across from Chrysler representatives negotiating accommodation agreements and financial support on behalf of suppliers • Spent the past year sitting on the same side as Chrysler in negotiating agreements with its supply base • As the team leader on the Chrysler engagement, Peter managed the business planning process, the U.S. Treasury, Canadian EDC, and Fiat due diligence processes and implementation of the Supplier Program • Peter continues to manage the liquidation of Old Carco’s 21 properties and its emergence from bankruptcy • Prior to joining Capstone, Mr. Chadwick worked as a restructuring advisor at Policano & Manzo and FTI Consulting • Mr. Chadwick holds an MBA in finance from the Olin School of Business at Babson College and a BA from Pennsylvania State University, and is a Certified Insolvency Restructuring Advisor

  7. Automotive Industry in Crisis (Negotiating in the Shadow of Bankruptcy)

  8. Automotive Industry in Crisis (Negotiating in the Shadow of Bankruptcy) Historic Decline in Auto Sales – 2009 Lowest Level in 40 Years!

  9. Delinquency Rates Repossessions Issuance of Auto Asset Backed Securities ($Billions) Percent (%) … and Increasing Repos Hurt Lenders … … which Shrinks Available Capital for Auto Loans … Delinquency Rates are Soaring … Auto Loan Interest Spread Over Commercial Paper Rate Basis Points Auto Loan-% of Down Payment Chrysler Financial Consumer Financing Approval Rates Down Payment Percent of Purchased Price Auto Loans … And Credit is Difficult To Secure For those Who Want To Purchase Jan ‘09 … Leading to Higher Borrowing Costs … … and therefore Credit Approval Rates are Down 25% Points from the End of 2007 …and Higher Down Payment Requirements Automotive Industry in Crisis (Negotiating in the Shadow of Bankruptcy)

  10. Current Environment Normal Environment Automotive Industry in Crisis (Negotiating in the Shadow of Bankruptcy) Change in Operating Environment • Automakers are paid immediately after vehicles are shipped from their plants (financial institution draft) • Automakers typically have 45 – 50 days to pay suppliers for materials • Therefore: Normal Environment Automaker Cash Balance Automaker Cash Balance Production/Shipments Production/Shipments Dec Jan Dec Jan A Total Of ~ $50B Cash Drain For The Detroit Three In 2008

  11. Automotive Industry in Crisis (Negotiating in the Shadow of Bankruptcy) Historic Decline in Auto Sales • Dramatic drop in SAAR (Includes light, medium and heavy duty vehicles) 2007 CY: 16.5 Jan-Jun ’08: 15.0 Jan-Jun ‘08 15.0 2007 CY Average est. 16.5M 3Q ‘08: 13.1 2008 CY: 13.2 640K units, approx. $15.5B in lost revenue for Chrysler 2009 CY Average est. 10.1M 6.4 Million Unit Net Reduction 6.4 Million Unit Net Reduction

  12. Automotive Industry in Crisis (Negotiating in the Shadow of Bankruptcy) November and December 2008 • The CEOs of the Detroit Three fail to obtain emergency funding from Congress • This left Chrysler with a real conundrum as liquidity approached zero • Keep producing cars without knowing if credit will be available to purchase them • Needing to generate some liquidity to fund working capital drain and fixed cost burden • Chrysler was heading towards the precipice of liquidity crisis from which it likely could not emerge Built on Experience, Leading with Excellence

  13. Government Forced Secured Lenders to do a Deal that Violates Bankruptcy Doctrine?

  14. Government Forced Secured Lenders to do a Deal that Violates Bankruptcy Doctrine? Most Common Criticisms • Lack of creditor consent • Administrative agent for secured lenders consented to sale • Remaining creditors did not oppose sale ultimately • Sale violated absolute priority • Misstates creditors entitlement – entitlement is to the extent of collateral • $2 billion purchase price was paid to lenders • Remaining liened assets are liquidated to satisfy respective DIP/Secured Lender debt • New equity contributed new value • Use of section 363 side stepped the bankruptcy process • Well-established law allows for emergency asset sales in a “melting ice cube” scenario • Even Indiana Pension Funds conceded this was a “melting ice cube” • Speed of process maximizes asset value as a going concern Built on Experience, Leading with Excellence

  15. Government Forced Secured Lenders to do a Deal that Violates Bankruptcy Doctrine? Most Common Criticisms • Use of a liquidation value as basis for fair value • Liquidation estimates showed recoveries to be a fraction of the sale value • Best deal available? – Alternative was liquidation • Marketed company for 24 months to GM, Toyota, Volkswagen, Tata, GAZ, Magna, Hyundai, Mitsubishi, Honda and 3 Chinese • No alternative financing • 60-day DIP expiring in June • Fiat drop-dead date June 15 • In fact: Government threats to end funding and force bankruptcy resulted in: • A realistic review of the Company’s outlook • Genuine viability analysis • Creation of a structure that emphasizes minimization of damage Built on Experience, Leading with Excellence

  16. Government Forced Secured Lenders to do a Deal that Violates Bankruptcy Doctrine? Sale Provided Critical Test for GM

  17. About Capstone

  18. About Capstone Capstone Advisory Group, LLC is a leader in providing multidisciplinary services and solutions to lenders, companies, and investors through its core practice areas: • 130+ senior professionals including turnaround experts, forensic investigators, and valuation and insolvency experts • Senior professionals average over 20 years of experience • Many are former COOs, CFOs, controllers, and have certifications in valuation, accounting, fraud examination, etc. • Capstone professionals have collectively worked on over 900 matters involving both small and Fortune 500 companies • Experience extends to companies with revenues of less than $100 million to over $10 billion and complex capital structures • Experience advising all constituencies affords us an in-depth understanding of the issues and provides the background to build consensus • Capstone has advised on numerous cases where adverse conditions necessitated operational and/or financial turnarounds, debt refinances and/or capital raises • This enables us to quickly understand and predict the concerns, requirements, and actions of constituents Built on Experience, Leading with Excellence Restructuring and Transaction Advisory Services Litigation and Forensic Services Valuation Services

  19. About Capstone Restructuring and Transaction Advisory Services Companies that are restructuring, involved in a merger or acquisition, or considering a new loan or investment turn to Capstone for the expert knowledge and resources that will help evaluate the undertaking, and maneuver effectively through the process Restructuring Services Transaction Advisory Services Fiduciary Services Strategies to Conserve Liquidity; Implementing Cash Management and Forecasting Strategic and Business Planning; Financial Modeling Profit Improvement and Cost Rationalization Analysis and Negotiation of Restructuring Alternatives Bankruptcy Planning and Process Management Interim and Crisis Management, Including CRO Negotiating Debtor-in-Possession, Bridge, and Exit Financing Expert Testimony Developing Key Employee Compensation Programs Monitoring Financial Performance and Collateral Going-Concern and Liquidation Valuations Integrity of Business Plans and Cash Flow Projections Quality of Earnings and Control Environment Management and Managerial Systems Obstacles to Growth Synergy and Shutdown Analysis Design and Implementation of Integration Plans Accounting Policy Issues Debt Capacity and Capital Structure Compliance Reviews Business Valuation Services Post-Closing Transaction Support Related to Adjustments and Disputes Transition Services Agreements Bringing and Resolving Avoidance and Other Causes of Action Pursuing Recoveries of Contingent Assets, such as Insurance, Credit Cards and Tax Refunds; Converting Assets to Cash (i.e., Real Estate, Securities, International Assets) Claims Management Administration and Resolution Managing Trust Registries and Distributions to Creditors Accounting, Reporting and Compliance, Including Tax Returns Interacting with Stakeholders; Providing Informational Reporting and Projected Recoveries Identifying Key Debtor Personnel to Wind Down the Business Managing Orderly Wind Down of a Business or Trust Within Budget Guidelines Interacting as Appropriate with Bankruptcy Court and U.S. Trustee

  20. About Capstone Litigation and Forensic Services Capstone has been instrumental in resolving hundreds of disputes, both in and out of court, putting our professional consulting, expert litigation and forensic services to work for our clients Typical Litigation and Forensic Services Complex Commercial Litigation Arbitration, Mediation and Dispute Resolution Bankruptcy Avoidance Actions and Analysis Damages Claims Preparation and Assessment Analysis of Relationship Between Events and Damages Construction Damages Analysis Project Reconstruction and Job History Analysis Internal Investigations SEC Matters Purchase Price Disputes Critique of Reports by Other Experts Analysis of Leveraged Transactions, Solvency and Insolvency Business Fraud Investigations Third-Party Inspections • Forensic accountants • Valuation experts • Our credentialed professionals include: • Certified Public Accountants • Certified Fraud Examiners • Our services include: • Development of litigation issues and strategies • Assessment of alternatives • Damages assessments • Creation and challenge of claims • Evaluation of strengths/weaknesses of litigation positions • Comprehensive financial discovery and analyses • We have successfully testified in both state and federal courts, in numerous disciplines, and on diverse issues • Meticulously-prepared, expertly-executed testimony • Credible, verifiable information that stands up to the most rigorous scrutiny • We have advised on and achieved success in the following areas: • Claims and litigation in intellectual property matters; construction claims; surety claims; lost profits; product liability; fraud; accounting malpractice; solvency; breach of contract; breach of fiduciary duty; purchase price and other contract disputes

  21. About Capstone Valuation Services Due to the specialized nature of this work, Capstone established a discrete entity, Capstone Valuation Services, LLC, in 2006 and staffed it with senior accredited valuation professionals Typical Valuation Services Financial/Accounting/Tax Valuations – Fair Value & Fair Market Value Purchase Price Allocation Goodwill and Asset Impairment Testing Transfer Pricing International and Domestic Holding Companies Litigation and Arbitration Support Expert Reports and Testimony Settlement Analysis Tax Controversies Tactical/Strategic Joint Venture and Alliance Contributions/Breakups Intellectual Property Portfolio Assessment License Program Development Transactional Set Value Expectations Buyer/Seller Identification Buy/Sell-Side Transactions Negotiation Support Due Diligence • Valuations are critical to the strategic decisions in managing or evaluating a business, and are rigorously examined by investors, lenders, boards of directors, corporate advisors, and regulatory agencies, including the IRS and SEC • Capstone’s valuation experts have performed thousands of business and intellectual property valuations in the last decade, and bring tested, real-world experience to bear in providing opinions of value where your business enterprises, interests, noncore assets and liabilities are concerned • We help eliminate the controversy and inject the credibility and confidence that are paramount in moving forward • Specialists in going-concern, liquidation, fair value, tax and intellectual property valuations, Capstone provides thorough, defensible valuation reports and expert testimony • Not only do we have broad industry coverage; we specialize in knowing the market conditions critical to valuing equities, derivatives, fixed income and intangible assets • We take time to understand and evaluate your underlying business and industry, then present comprehensive conclusions based on research and backed by years of experience

  22. About Capstone The business landscape continues to change and present new and complex challenges. Volatile economic conditions, ever-advancing technology, growing international competition, failed growth strategies, and other major issues like fraud and mega-litigation can dramatically affect a company and its stakeholders Critical to success is the unbiased counsel of experienced professionals who can navigate through it all. Capstone Advisory Group, LLC is a leader in providing multidisciplinary services and solutions to lenders, companies and investors The Capstone Difference Big-Firm Expertise with a Boutique Personal Touch Full Service Attention to Every Unique Need We partner each client with a select and qualified team whose background best serves their specific challenges We quickly determine, investigate and understand the core issues and factors at hand so we can get the facts, take positions, and give straight answers We conduct in-depth analysis to assess strengths and weaknesses, identify opportunities and risks, understand the big picture, and maintain a global view with an eye for the details We communicate, early and often, to keep clients informed and processes streamlined We have forged long-term relationships with loyal clients, a testament to our success • Capstone has led the resolution process in some of the most complex corporate domestic and international matters • Our broad experience and superior service, coupled with our personal, hands-on approach, have benefited hundreds of clients — from small businesses to Fortune 500 companies, in a wide array of industries • What truly sets us apart beyond the exceptional knowledge and results we bring to our clients, and the strong leadership position and track record we hold in our industry, is our greatest asset: a top-tier team of senior professionals who are at the forefront of their respective disciplines • These professionals are completely committed to meeting the needs of each client The Capstone Approach

  23. Locations

  24. Appendix: Large Case Experience

  25. Appendix: Large Case Experience Selected Large Case Experience Financial Advisor to the Company Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Unsecured Creditors’ Committee Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Company Financial Advisor to the U.S. Trustee Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Unsecured Creditors’ Committee

  26. Appendix: Large Case Experience Selected Large Case Experience (cont’d) Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Various Project Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Unsecured Creditors’ Committee Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders

  27. Appendix: Large Case Experience Selected Large Case Experience (cont’d) Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Unsecured Creditors’ Committee Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Unsecured Creditors’ Committee Financial Advisor to the Unsecured Creditors’ Committee Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Unsecured Creditors’ Committee Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Lenders Financial Advisor to the Interim CEO and Board of Directors United Companies

  28. VALCON 2010 Case Study: The Delphi Corporation Restructuring The Role of the Hypothetical Liquidation Analysis: How Will Approaches in the Auto Cases Affect General Restructuring Practices?

  29. Delphi Background • Delphi filed for bankruptcy on October 8, 2005 with significant legacy liabilities, a number of non-core businesses, uncompetitive labor agreements and a host of other issues. At the time, Delphi had a significant liquidity. • During its chapter 11 process, Delphi actively engaged in the process of restructuring its operations and successfully: • Maintained its customer and supplier relationships; • Negotiated competitive labor agreements with its unions; • Came to an agreement with GM; • Wound-down or divested various businesses; and, • Achieved all other aspects of the Transformation Plan that it set forth upon its filing for chapter 11. • In April 2008, following the confirmation of its Plan of Reorganization, Delphi was prepared to emerge when its plan sponsors decided not to consummate the deal. • For the next couple of quarters, Delphi was able to maintain its operations, in part through renegotiations with GM, while searching for a path to emergence. • Then the world changed: • The credit markets completely dried up • The stock market plummeted • Major financial institutions failed or needed rescue • A global recession took hold and many predicted a depression would follow 29

  30. Delphi Background • At the same time, the automotive industry experienced an unprecedented decline: • Volumes dropped to approximately 50% of recent historical levels • Automotive companies fell completely out of favor with the markets • Numerous bankruptcy filings and liquidations occurred in the sector, including major OEMs such as Chrysler and GM • Extensive and previously unheard of governmental intervention occurred • In the first half of 2009, these factors combined to put Delphi into a crisis: • Liquidity was extremely tight. The Company was burning in excess of $100 million a month. The ability to continue operations was being measured in weeks. • Financing options were ultimately limited to the U.S. Government /GM and the DIP lenders • Delphi requested and was denied emergence capital from: • The unsecured bondholders • The DIP lenders • GM and the U.S. Treasury • The DIP Lenders were unwilling to extend exit financing to Delphi when the recovery offered on their DIP debt was below par value. • The Auto Task Force stated that it was unwilling to allow GM provide additional liquidity to Delphi outside of the context of a global resolution. • The U.S. Government further strained Delphi’s liquidity when it prevented GM from purchasing one of Delphi’s divisions, which would have yielded material incremental cash. • Delphi was placed on new business hold with almost all of its customers, further deteriorating the business. 30

  31. Role of the Hypothetical Liquidation Analysis • The Hypothetical Liquidation Analysis (“HLA”) played a more active role in the Delphi (and other automotive cases) than it traditionally is relegated to. • Confirmation of a Plan under Chapter 11 requires that the proponent show that each holder of a pre-petition claim or interest of such class will receive or retain under the plan on account of such claim or interest property of a value, as of the effective date of the plan, that is not less than the amount that such holder would so receive or retain if the debtor were liquidated under chapter 7 (the “Best Interest Test”). • In auto cases, the Executive Branch wielded extraordinary influence and effective control as the sole allocator of emergence capital and the picker of the winners and losers in a government sponsored rescue of an entire industry. Arguably, acting in this role, the Executive Branch distorted the dynamic tensions that exist in more traditional bankruptcy contexts by (a) seeking to convert the recovery floor (Best Interest) into the recovery ceiling and (b) neutering the role of the DIP. • Government argued that it had the ability to lend to the auto manufacturers, but did not have to, and would allow Delphi to liquidate unless the deal met its terms • Clear that government was not going to allow GM fail (though Chrysler was a closer call), but courts presiding over the OEM cases held that the respective company board of directors were exercising business judgment by accepting government’s terms rather than face threat of liquidation • The Delphi creditors fared better than the creditors in GM and Chrysler because they were senior secured DIP Lenders with consent and foreclosure rights that partially re-leveled the playing field, ultimately preventing unilateral imposition of a government backed plan. 31

  32. The Hypothetical Liquidation Analysis • In 2009, Delphi provided the DIP Lenders with a HLA that demonstrated a recovery to the $2.9B DIP C tranche of between 5% and 36% in a chapter 7 liquidation. • Delphi further informed United States Treasury and the DIP lenders that it was prepared to recommend that its board approve a GM/private equity transaction that provided the C tranche with recoveries around the midpoint of that range. • This HLA was eventually filed as an exhibit to Delphi’s Modified Plan of Reorganization which sought approval for a private sale of assets to GM and a private equity partner. 32

  33. General Perspectives DIP Lenders’ Perspective Management was desperate to get out of chapter 11 and was not willing to take the necessary steps to obtain sufficient recovery for the DIP Lenders. The HLA was clearly manipulated to an inappropriately low value in order to obtain government support of an emergence plan and was inconsistent in methodology with previously filed versions. HLA recovery values for the tranche C lenders coincidentally equaled the market value of the tranche C debt By successfully challenging a private sale and opening up the process to competition, the DIP Lenders were able to expose the failings of the HLA and credit bid their claims via collective action. The Delphi Board did not meet its fiduciary responsibilities by seeking to confirm a plan that vastly shortchanged the DIP Lenders and contained elements that advantaged the board members personally. Delphi Perspective • The HLA represented management and its advisors’ best estimate of what would happen in a chapter 7 liquidation of Delphi where there was no source of additional funding. • The HLA reflected the dramatic changes to the macro economic environment, automotive industry and Company that had taken place. • Management had a fiduciary duty to maximize the value of the estate and pursued the path to do this. The DIP Lenders could always have foreclosed if they felt that they had a better alternative. • The government made it abundantly clear that it would not allow GM to provide further funding absent a complete resolution with GM and that it was prepared to fund GM for the costs necessary to resource away from Delphi. • The DIP Lenders ultimately agreed to a transaction that was strangely similar to that proposed by management in early 2009. The DIP Lenders only took action after there was a “crisis.” 33

  34. Controversy Related to the HLA – Key Issues DIP Lenders’ Perspective The HLA did not reflect the realities of other auto supply cases, in particular Ford-Visteon, Plastech Engineered Products and Collins and Aikman The HLA was premised on a “cold shutdown” of Delphi, which was utterly unsupportable given historical precedents in the automotive sector and GM’s need for parts. The HLA did not ascribe value to Delphi’s foreign operations - arguably the most valuable portion of Delphi. Delphi Perspective • The circumstances surrounding the Delphi case were far different than those that influenced the cited auto supply cases. • This is a good sound bite, but patently untrue. The HLA did not reflect a “cold shutdown” but reflected the fact that customers would not compensate Delphi for costs beyond those incurred to allow them to resource. • The valuation of the foreign operations of Delphi would have been severely compromised by a chapter 7 liquidation of the U.S. business. 34

  35. Controversy Related to the Alternative Liquidation Analyses (“ALAs”) – Key Issues Delphi Perspective The DIP Lender ALAs were upwardly biased to demonstrate greater recoveries than could possibly be obtained under the circumstances. The ALAs reflected an unrealistic scenario that would be extremely difficult, if not impossible, to execute. The ALA was premised on support from the U.S. Treasury/GM both in terms of funding and the purchase of assets that simply did not exist. The ALA also assumed that other, thus far non-existent, sources of funding would be available, including a $200 million loan from the Mexican government and other, undefined sources of capital in the event that the wind-down did not go as planned. DIP Lender Perspective • The ALAs reflected a more reasonable approach to the liquidation of Delphi and was based on historical precedent in the industry. • The ALAs assumed that GM and, by extension, the U.S. Treasury, would act in a manner that is rational and consistent with their self-interest. • Delphi was the single largest employer in Mexico and was already negotiating for a loan from the Mexican government. 35

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